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Data for Progress@dataforprogress· 13d

NEW: Do Democrats funded by AIPAC pay an electoral penalty in a general election? We find that a Democrat funded by AIPAC performs significantly worse against a Republican than a Democrat who “rejects all outside financial support from industry groups and PACs.”

"In a Matchup Against a Republican, a Democrat Funded by AIPAC Underperforms a Democrat Who Rejects Outside PAC Money."

In this experiment, respondents were shown hypothetical general election matchups between a Republican and a Democratic candidate, both with a randomized source of outside funding. The chart shows how each funding source affects a Democratic candidate's average performance relative to a Democratic candidate who "rejects all financial support from outside industry groups and PACs."

Planned Parenthood funding is associated with a +1.8pp effect. Nurses unions: -0.8pp. Police unions: -2.0pp. Real estate development industry: -2.7pp. Oil and gas industry: -3.1pp. National Rifle Association (NRA): -4.2pp. Pharmaceutical industry: -4.9pp. Cryptocurrency industry: -4.9pp. Artificial Intelligence industry: -5.3pp. American Israel Public Affairs Committee (AIPAC): -6.2pp.

July 17–19, 2026 survey of 1,207 U.S. likely voters. From Data for Progress.

Data for Progress@dataforprogress· 15d

A majority of voters (55%), including 62% of Independents, think that the U.S. should stop taking military action in Iran.

Bar chart of polling data from Data For Progress.
Title: Voters Want the U.S. to Stop Taking Military Action in Iran.
Description: Do you think the U.S. should continue or stop taking military action in Iran?
All likely voters — The U.S. should stop taking military action in Iran: 55%, Don't know: 10%, The U.S. should continue taking military action in Iran: 36%
Democrat — The U.S. should stop taking military action in Iran: 77%, Don't know: 8%, The U.S. should continue taking military action in Iran: 14%
Independent / Third party — The U.S. should stop taking military action in Iran: 62%, Don't know: 13%, The U.S. should continue taking military action in Iran: 25%
Republican — The U.S. should stop taking military action in Iran: 28%, Don't know: 9%, The U.S. should continue taking military action in Iran: 63%

July 24–27, 2026 survey of 1,058 U.S. likely voters.

Data for Progress@dataforprogress· 15d

As the U.S. enters its sixth month of the Iran War, new Data for Progress polling finds that a majority of voters — including 67% of Independents — think the U.S. is not accomplishing its goals in Iran.

Bar chart of polling data from Data For Progress.
Title: Voters Think the U.S. Is Not Accomplishing Its Goals in Iran.
Description: Do you think the U.S. is accomplishing its goals with the war in Iran?
All likely voters — Yes, the U.S. is accomplishing its goals in Iran: 31%, Don't know: 10%, No, the U.S. is not accomplishing its goals in Iran: 59%
Democrat — Yes, the U.S. is accomplishing its goals in Iran: 13%, Don't know: 9%, No, the U.S. is not accomplishing its goals in Iran: 78%
Independent / Third party — Yes, the U.S. is accomplishing its goals in Iran: 17%, Don't know: 16%, No, the U.S. is not accomplishing its goals in Iran: 67%
Republican — Yes, the U.S. is accomplishing its goals in Iran: 55%, Don't know: 9%, No, the U.S. is not accomplishing its goals in Iran: 36%

July 24–27, 2026 survey of 1,058 U.S. likely voters.

Data for Progress@dataforprogress· 18d

A majority of voters (55%) say they do not trust ICE to provide accurate information about what happens during its enforcement operations.

Bar chart of polling data from Data For Progress.
Title: Most Voters Do Not Trust ICE to Provide Accurate Information.
Description: How much do you trust U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) to give the public accurate information about what happens during its enforcement operations?
All likely voters — Trust: 42%, Don't trust: 55%
Democrat — Trust: 13%, Don't trust: 84%
Independent / Third party — Trust: 37%, Don't trust: 60%
Republican — Trust: 73%, Don't trust: 23%

July 17–19, 2026 survey of 1,207 U.S. likely voters.

Data for Progress@dataforprogress· 18d

NEW: After reading information about the ICE shooting of Johan Sebastián Durán Guerrero in Houston, a majority of voters say they trust the civilian witnesses more than ICE officers to provide accurate information about the event.

Bar chart of polling data from Data For Progress.
Title: Voters Trust Witnesses More Than ICE Agents in Houston Shooting Case.
Description: On July 7, a U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) officer in Houston, Texas, shot and killed a man named Lorenzo Salgado Araujo. ICE argues that Salgado Araujo attempted to use his vehicle as a weapon by charging at ICE officers, and they needed to respond with deadly force. The three witnesses who were in the van with Salgado Araujo dispute this account. They state that no officer was in front of the vehicle and Salgado Araujo did not charge at the officers. Who do you trust more to provide an accurate account of what happened?
All likely voters — The witnesses in the van: 54%, Don't know: 11%, ICE officers: 36%
Read the full poll at: https://www.dataforprogress.org/blog/2026/7/23/voters-have-low-trust-in-ice-trust-civilian-witnesses-more-in-houston-shooting

Data for Progress@dataforprogress· 20d

A majority of voters support creating an American AI Sovereign Wealth Fund, which would require large AI companies to contribute 50% of their stock to give the public a direct ownership stake in AI development.

Bar chart of polling data from Data For Progress.
Title: Voters Favor Creating an American AI Sovereign Wealth Fund.
Description: Some leaders have proposed that the U.S. government create an AI Sovereign Wealth Fund, in which large AI companies would be required to contribute 50% of their stock to the fund. This would give the public a direct ownership stake in the future of AI development. Would you support or oppose the U.S. government creating an American AI Sovereign Wealth Fund?
All likely voters — Support: 51%, Oppose: 32%
Democrat — Support: 52%, Oppose: 34%
Independent / Third party — Support: 49%, Oppose: 35%
Republican — Support: 51%, Oppose: 30%

June 12–16, 2026 survey of 1,090 U.S. likely voters.

Data for Progress@dataforprogress· 20d

Voters also support regulations to protect workers and the public from potential harms of AI, including giving the government a 30-day review window on new AI models (69%) and penalizing companies that use AI to set prices or wages (62%).

Bar chart of polling data from Data For Progress.
Title: Most Voters Favor Policies to Regulate AI Companies and Protect Workers.
Description: Would you support or oppose the U.S. government adopting each of the following policies to regulate artificial intelligence (AI)?
Requiring AI companies to give the U.S. government a 30 day window to review their new AI models before releasing them to the public — Support: 69%, Oppose: 18%
Requiring large AI companies to invest a proportion of their revenue into local development projects and services for the communities they operate in — Support: 68%, Oppose: 19%
Increasing government spending to launch new trade schools and technical institutes in the U.S. to retrain workers displaced from their jobs by AI — Support: 67%, Oppose: 22%
Full results here: https://www.dataforprogress.org/blog/2026/7/21/voters-show-strong-support-for-regulating-ai-to-protect-workers

Data for Progress@dataforprogress· 20d

NEW: Voters support placing a tax on AI companies to fund various proposals, including a new jobs training program for displaced workers (74%), a new jobs creation program (74%), expanded unemployment insurance (70%), and Universal Basic Income (59%).

Bar chart of polling data from Data For Progress.
Title: Voters Strongly Support Policies to Assist Workers Displaced by AI.
Description: In the coming years, experts predict that artificial intelligence (AI) will replace human workers in some jobs. To address this, would you support or oppose placing a tax on the profit of AI companies in order to fund each of the following policies?
Creating a new jobs training program for workers displaced by AI — Support: 74%, Oppose: 17%
Creating a new public sector jobs program that would employ Americans in various roles, such as building infrastructure — Support: 73%, Oppose: 15%
Providing expanded unemployment insurance benefits for workers displaced by AI — Support: 70%, Oppose: 18%
Creating a Universal Basic Income program, which would provide a monthly stimulus check to every American — Support: 59%, Oppose: 28%

June 12–16, 2026 survey of 1,090 U.S. likely voters.

Data for Progress@dataforprogress· 21d

Last week, more than 100 House Democrats voted to end U.S. military aid to Israel. We find that a strong majority of Democrats support this move, as well as majorities of voters overall, Independents, and Republicans. www.dataforprogress.org/datasets/pol...

Bar chart of polling data from Data For Progress.
Title: Voters Support Ending U.S. Military Aid to Israel.
Description: The U.S. currently provides Israel with $3.3 billion in military aid per year. Would you support or oppose ending this U.S. military aid to Israel?
All likely voters — Support: 58%, Oppose: 36%
Democrat — Support: 63%, Oppose: 30%
Independent / Third party — Support: 59%, Oppose: 35%
Republican — Support: 52%, Oppose: 42%

July 17–19, 2026 survey of 1,207 U.S. likely voters.

Data for Progress@dataforprogress· 25d

NEW DFP Insights from @rodonnell.bsky.social: Unity and enthusiasm in 2026 and 2028 require the Dem establishment to accept primary wins by DSA-aligned candidates, not treat them as problems to manage. Rejecting the DSA would be yet another sign the status quo is misaligned with Dem voters.

Data for Progress@dataforprogress· Jul 9

When provided with a list of possible criticisms of the Democratic Party, swing voters' biggest issues are that “leadership is too old and out of touch” (32%) and the party is “not doing enough to lower costs” (32%).

Bar chart of polling data from Data For Progress.
Title: Swing Voters' Top Concerns About the Democratic Party Are Out-of-Touch Leadership and Inaction on Costs.
Description: What's the biggest issue you have with the Democratic Party? Please select up to three options.
Leadership is too old and out of touch — 32%
Not doing enough to lower costs — 32%
Too focused on cultural and social issues — 29%
Too weak on issues of crime and national security — 28%
Weak or ineffective opposition to Republicans — 26%
Doesn't follow through on its promises — 24%
Too beholden to corporate donors and special interests — 23%
Poor messaging and communication — 17%
I don't have a problem with the Democratic Party — 11%
Something else — 5%

May 15–June 21, 2026 surveys with 447 respondent interviews of U.S. swing voters.

Data for Progress@dataforprogress· Jul 9

Swing voters currently favor a Democratic candidate for Congress over a Republican by a 12-point margin, 33% to 21%. However, a plurality of swing voters (46%) remain undecided.

Bar chart of polling data from Data For Progress.
Title: Swing Voters Prefer a Democratic Candidate in 2026, but Are Largely Unsure.
Description: If the election for U.S. Congress in your district was held today, which one of the following candidates are you most likely to vote for?
All likely voters — The Democrat: 51%, Don't know: 6%, The Republican: 44%
Swing voters — The Democrat: 33%, Don't know: 46%, The Republican: 21%

May 15–June 21, 2026 surveys with 5,809 respondent interviews of U.S. likely voters, including 447 swing voters.

Data for Progress@dataforprogress· Jul 9

NEW: Our first report on the swing voters of the 2026 midterms finds that when they are asked which policies would make them definitely vote for a Democrat, the most selected option is “raise taxes on the wealthy,” followed by “create a Medicare for All health care system.”

Bar chart of polling data from Data For Progress.
Title: Swing Voters Say Raising Taxes on the Wealthy Would Move Their Vote to Democrats.
Description: Which of these policies would make you definitely vote for a Democratic candidate in an upcoming election? Please select up to three options.
Raise taxes on the wealthy — 28%
Create a Medicare for All health care system — 24%
Ban artificial intelligence from setting prices or wages based on personal data — 21%
Restrict private utility companies from passing unreasonable costs on to customers — 20%
Raise the minimum wage to $15 per hour — 19%
Stop providing military aid and weapons to Israel — 17%
Increase border security — 17%
Nothing would make me definitely vote for a Democratic candidate — 16%
Invest in building new affordable housing — 13%
Increase oil and gas drilling — 12%
Ban transgender women from playing women's sports — 12%
Increase protections for abortion — 10%

May 15–June 21, 2026 surveys with 447 respondent interviews of U.S. swing voters.

Data for Progress@dataforprogress· Jul 2

Within industries, voters evaluate some actors as worse than others: - Corporate landlords < mom-and-pop landlords - Oil and gas companies < renewable energy companies - Large corporations < small businesses - Multinational banks < small, regional banks

Scatter plot titled "Billionaires and Corporate Landlords Are Seen as Most Harmful to Society and Economy." X-axis shows economic impact (3.0-5.5), y-axis shows societal impact (3.0-5.5), on a 1-7 scale where 4 is neutral. 40 dots are color-coded by category: Politics and institutions (red), Finance and housing (orange), Tech and platforms (blue/purple), Retail and commerce (green), Energy (teal), Health care (magenta), Community and civic (black), and Education (pink). Dots follow a diagonal line, showing economic and societal ratings are closely correlated. Most negative, in a shaded pink zone: Billionaires and Corporate landlords (~3.15-3.2), followed by Sports gambling, AI companies, and Cryptocurrency. Most positive, in a shaded green zone: Libraries and Small businesses (~5.0-5.3), followed by Hospitals and Charitable organizations. A category-grouped legend of all 40 actors accompanies the chart.

Data for Progress@dataforprogress· Jul 2

NEW: Americans are pessimistic about the future. But which actors do they think are having the worst impact on the economy/society? Voters find the most harmful actors to be: 1) Billionaires 2) Corporate landlords 3) Sports gambling 4) Artificial intelligence 5) Cryptocurrency

Data for Progress@dataforprogress· Jul 2

When it comes to scientific research, voters say that grantmaking should be led by scientists and experts — not elected officials. www.dataforprogress.org/blog/2026/7/...

Bar chart of polling data from Data For Progress.
Title: Voters Want Scientists, Not the President's Team, Deciding Which Research Gets Funded.
Description: When it comes to deciding which proposals for scientific research get federal funding, which of the following comes closer to your view, even if neither is exactly right?
Response Options:
A) Decisions should be made by panels of scientists and experts based on scientific merit — research funding is too important to leave to political considerations.
B) Don't know
C) Decisions should be made by the president's team — elected leaders should direct how taxpayer money is spent on research.
All likely voters — 70% chose A, 8% chose B, 22% chose C
Democrat — 83% chose A, 5% chose B, 11% chose C
Independent / Third party — 78% chose A, 10% chose B, 12% chose C
Republican — 52% chose A, 9% chose B, 39% chose C

June 26–28, 2026 survey of 1,182 U.S. likely voters.

Data for Progress@dataforprogress· Jul 2

NEW: Under proposed White House rules, the federal government could limit federal grants to research that "advances the President's policy priorities." We find 60% of voters oppose this proposal, while just 34% support it. www.dataforprogress.org/blog/2026/7/...

Bar chart of polling data from Data For Progress.
Title: After Hearing From Both Sides, Voters Oppose the Proposed Research Grant Rules.
Description: Under current rules, grants for scientific research are decided by scientists and experts in the field. The White House has proposed new rules that would require all research paid for by the federal government to match the White House's priorities. Under this proposal, White House officials would have final approval over all grant funding, and scientists' recommendations could be overruled. Supporters say taxpayer-funded research should reflect the priorities of elected leaders, not just the judgment of scientists. Opponents say letting political officials overrule scientists would hurt the quality of American scientific research. Knowing what you know now, do you support or oppose these proposed rules?
All likely voters — Support: 33%, Oppose: 60%
Democrat — Support: 15%, Oppose: 80%
Independent / Third party — Support: 26%, Oppose: 66%
Republican — Support: 56%, Oppose: 36%

June 26–28, 2026 survey of 1,182 U.S. likely voters.

Data for Progress@dataforprogress· Jun 24

Never in doubt.

TOP: Poll from Data for Progress, June 3-9, finding Avila Chevalier up 4 points against Adriano Espaillat

BOTTOM: Screenshot of results page, "Daraliza Avila Chevalier wins the Democratic primary."

Data for Progress@dataforprogress· Jun 23

Only 13% of voters want to speed up the development of AI in the U.S., while 37% want it to remain the same and 43% want development to be slowed down.

Bar chart of polling data from Data For Progress.
Title: A Plurality of Voters Want to Slow Down the Development of AI.
Description: Do you think the development of artificial intelligence (AI) in the U.S. should be sped up, slowed down, or remain the same?
All likely voters — Sped up: 13%, Remain the same: 37%, Slowed down: 43%, Don't know: 6%
Democrat — Sped up: 13%, Remain the same: 36%, Slowed down: 46%, Don't know: 5%
Independent / Third party — Sped up: 9%, Remain the same: 37%, Slowed down: 45%, Don't know: 9%
Republican — Sped up: 16%, Remain the same: 39%, Slowed down: 39%, Don't know: 6%

June 12–16, 2026 survey of 1,090 U.S. likely voters.

Data for Progress@dataforprogress· Jun 23

NEW: A majority of voters across party lines support a data center moratorium. Sixty-seven percent of Democrats, 66% of Independents, and 58% of Republicans support pausing the construction of new AI data centers for at least one year.

Bar chart of polling data from Data For Progress.
Title: Voters Support a Data Center Moratorium.
Description: Some lawmakers have proposed pausing the construction of new artificial intelligence (AI) data centers for at least one year. Do you support or oppose this proposal?
Response Options:
A) I support this proposal. The U.S. should pause the construction of new AI data centers for at least one year.
B) Don't know
C) I oppose this proposal. The U.S. should continue constructing new AI data centers.
All likely voters — 63% chose A, 11% chose B, 26% chose C
Democrat — 67% chose A, 10% chose B, 23% chose C
Independent / Third party — 66% chose A, 11% chose B, 24% chose C
Republican — 58% chose A, 11% chose B, 31% chose C

June 12–16, 2026 survey of 1,090 U.S. likely voters.

Data for Progress@dataforprogress· Jun 22

More than 60% of voters support anti-bullying protections, mental health investment, and restoring 988 Lifeline funding for LGBTQ+ youth Majorities also back VA benefits for discharged LGBTQ+ vets and banning adoption discrimination. www.dataforprogress.org/blog/2026/6/...

Bar chart of polling data from Data For Progress.
Title: Voters Strongly Support Policies Aimed at LGBTQ+ Youth Mental Health and Anti-Bullying.
Description: Do you support or oppose each of the following policies?
Encouraging school districts to implement anti-bullying and harassment policies that protect LGBTQ+ students — Support: 63%, Oppose: 25%
Investing in mental health services for LGBTQ+ students — Support: 62%, Oppose: 26%
Restoring federal funding for the 988 Suicide and Crisis Lifeline's specialized crisis services for LGBTQ+ youth — Support: 61%, Oppose: 25%
Granting Veterans Affairs benefits to former members of the U.S. military who were discharged for being LGBTQ+ — Support: 59%, Oppose: 29%
Prohibiting discrimination against prospective LGBTQ+ parents in adoption and foster care — Support: 57%, Oppose: 29%
Investing in housing and support services for homeless LGBTQ+ youth — Support: 52%, Oppose: 33%

June 5–7, 2026 survey of 1,196 U.S. likely voters.

Data for Progress@dataforprogress· Jun 22

NEW POLL: By a +19-point margin, voters say they would prefer a candidate who vocally supports LGBTQ+ rights (51%) over a candidate who vocally opposes LGBTQ+ rights (32%). www.dataforprogress.org/blog/2026/6/...

Bar chart of polling data from Data For Progress.
Title: A Majority of Voters Prefer a Candidate Who Is Vocally Supportive of LGBTQ+ Rights Over One Who Is Vocally Opposed.
Description: Which one of the following candidates are you most likely to vote for?
All likely voters — A candidate who vocally supports LGBTQ+ rights: 51%, Don't know: 16%, A candidate who vocally opposes LGBTQ+ rights: 32%
Democrat — A candidate who vocally supports LGBTQ+ rights: 76%, Don't know: 14%, A candidate who vocally opposes LGBTQ+ rights: 10%
Independent / Third party — A candidate who vocally supports LGBTQ+ rights: 54%, Don't know: 24%, A candidate who vocally opposes LGBTQ+ rights: 22%
Republican — A candidate who vocally supports LGBTQ+ rights: 25%, Don't know: 14%, A candidate who vocally opposes LGBTQ+ rights: 61%

Data for Progress@dataforprogress· Jun 18

Voters also support Platner’s proposals to create a strategic national stockpile of clean energy technologies, create a National Energy Infrastructure Fund, and reform the permitting process to more quickly review and approve clean energy projects.

Bar chart of polling data from Data For Progress.
Title: Voters Support Key Pieces of Graham Platner's Energy Plan.
Description: The following are actions some people say the U.S. government should take to build out new clean energy projects. Do you support or oppose each of the following proposals?
Developing a strategic national stockpile of clean energy technologies to lower the cost of domestically manufactured components and products — Support: 69%, Oppose: 15%
Creating a National Energy Infrastructure Fund to fund new clean energy projects across the country — Support: 68%, Oppose: 18%
Reforming the permitting process in order to review and approve clean energy projects more quickly — Support: 68%, Oppose: 17%

May 22–24, 2026 survey of 1,203 U.S. likely voters.

Data for Progress@dataforprogress· Jun 18

NEW: As Americans face rising oil costs, Maine Senate candidate Graham Platner has released an energy plan aiming to “End Big Oil Price Gouging.” We find voters support key elements of the plan, including an oil windfall tax to freeze or lower electricity rates.

Bar chart of polling data from Data For Progress.
Title: Voters Support a Windfall Tax on Oil Companies to Fund an Electricity Rate Freeze.
Description: Would you support or oppose requiring large oil companies to pay a 50% tax on sudden and unusually high profits, such as during the U.S.-Iran war, and using this money to freeze or lower electricity rates for American consumers?
All likely voters — Support: 69%, Oppose: 22%
Democrat — Support: 77%, Oppose: 16%
Independent / Third party — Support: 71%, Oppose: 19%
Republican — Support: 59%, Oppose: 31%

June 5–7, 2026 survey of 1,196 U.S. likely voters.

Data for Progress@dataforprogress· Jun 17

NEW: While a 79% of employed voters feel fulfilled at work, only 48% agree that hard work at their job will lead to financial success. www.dataforprogress.org/blog/2026/6/...

Bar chart of polling data from Data For Progress.
Title: Over Half of Voters Report Hard Work Doesn't Lead to Future Financial Confidence.
Description: When thinking about your financial future, which of the following statements comes closest to your view, even if neither is exactly right?
Response Options:
A) If I work hard at my job, I can feel confident about my financial future
B) Don't know
C) It seems like no matter how hard I work these days, I can't feel confident about my financial future
All likely voters — 36% chose A, 9% chose B, 54% chose C
Democrat — 26% chose A, 9% chose B, 64% chose C
Independent / Third party — 34% chose A, 11% chose B, 55% chose C
Republican — 48% chose A, 9% chose B, 43% chose C
Employed part- or full-time — 48% chose A, 4% chose B, 48% chose C

May 1–4, 2026 survey of 1,159 U.S. likely voters.

Data for Progress@dataforprogress· Jun 10

A plurality of voters say the World Cup will have no impact on the economy, public safety, or America’s image abroad. But voters do think U.S. immigration policy has generally hurt the country's global reputation.

Bar chart of polling data from Data For Progress.
Title: Voters Say U.S. Immigration Policies Have Hurt America's Standing Abroad.
Description: As the U.S. prepares to host the 2026 FIFA World Cup, do you think the U.S.' current immigration policies and recent ICE raids generally help or hurt its standing in the global community?
All likely voters — Generally help: 34%, Don't know: 14%, Generally hurt: 52%
Democrat — Generally help: 15%, Don't know: 12%, Generally hurt: 73%
Independent / Third party — Generally help: 27%, Don't know: 14%, Generally hurt: 59%
Republican — Generally help: 58%, Don't know: 16%, Generally hurt: 26%

June 5–7, 2026 survey of 1,196 U.S. likely voters.

Data for Progress@dataforprogress· Jun 10

NEW: As the World Cup kicks off, we find that a majority of voters (53%) believe that the U.S. has a negative reputation among citizens of other countries. And 62% say that the way citizens of other nations view the United States has worsened under President Trump.

Bar chart of polling data from Data For Progress.
Title: Voters Say America's Global Reputation Has Worsened Under Trump.
Description: Do you think the way that citizens of other nations view the United States has gotten better or worse under President Trump?
All likely voters — Gotten better under President Trump: 32%, Don't know: 5%, Gotten worse under President Trump: 62%
Democrat — Gotten better under President Trump: 5%, Don't know: 3%, Gotten worse under President Trump: 92%
Independent / Third party — Gotten better under President Trump: 28%, Don't know: 6%, Gotten worse under President Trump: 66%
Republican — Gotten better under President Trump: 64%, Don't know: 8%, Gotten worse under President Trump: 28%

June 5–7, 2026 survey of 1,196 U.S. likely voters.

Data for Progress@dataforprogress· Jun 8

NEW POLL with @imeupolicy.bsky.social: Sixty-one percent of New York voters, including 76% of NY Democrats, support blocking weapons transfers to Israel. The polling comes after NY Senators Schumer and Gillibrand voted against blocking weapons transfers to Israel in April.

Bar chart of polling data from Data For Progress.
Title: 6 in 10 NY Voters Support Blocking Weapons Transfers to Israel.
Description: In January, the Trump administration announced the delivery of over 20,000 bombs to Israel. This includes bombs Israel has used in military operations in Gaza, Iran, and Lebanon. The U.S. Senate recently held a vote on whether to stop the transfer of these bombs to Israel. Would you approve or disapprove of the U.S. Senate voting to stop the transfer of these bombs to Israel?
All likely NY voters — Approve: 61%, Disapprove: 34%
Democrat — Approve: 76%, Disapprove: 20%
Independent / Third party — Approve: 57%, Disapprove: 34%
Republican — Approve: 41%, Disapprove: 54%

May 20–26, 2026 survey of 719 NY likely voters.

Data for Progress@dataforprogress· Jun 3

Voters are more split on mail-in ballots, but half say that states should be allowed to count mail-in ballots that arrive after Election Day as long as they were postmarked by Election Day.

Bar chart of polling data from Data For Progress.
Title: Voters Narrowly Back Counting Mail-In Ballots Postmarked Before Election Day.
Description: Which of the following comes closest to your view?
Response Options:
A) States should be allowed to count mail-in ballots that arrive after Election Day, as long as they were postmarked by Election Day.
B) Don't know
C) All mail-in ballots should be required to be received by Election Day in order to be counted.
All likely voters — 50% chose A, 3% chose B, 47% chose C
Democrat — 65% chose A, 4% chose B, 31% chose C
Independent / Third party — 55% chose A, 4% chose B, 41% chose C
Republican — 31% chose A, 2% chose B, 66% chose C

May 29–31, 2026 survey of 1,163 U.S. likely voters.

Data for Progress@dataforprogress· Jun 3

Voters across party lines agree that the president should only be able to fire the heads of independent agencies for cause.