Tarik Abou-Chadi
@tabouchadi
Professor of European Politics at Nuffield College, University of Oxford. Elections, parties, social democracy & the radical right. he/him. 🏳️🌈
Would the Left not be more successful if it only focused on economic redistribution and not social progressivism? The answer is no. People who want redistribution also want “woke” policies. One could know that if one engaged with the research. But then one couldn’t write the same article every year.
Für das Lesekreis Sommerfest haben wir Spiderweb Capitalism von Kimberly Kay Hoang gelesen und mehr darüber gelernt, über welche Wege Ultra High Net Worth Individuals in globalen Märkten investieren. Leider ohne eigene Recherchen auf den Cayman Islands.
Lots of talk about if/how Burnham can win back Labour defectors. But there is a high risk of Labour losing even more voters. About half of the people still supporting Labour consider voting Green or Lib Dem. Nearly none Reform. If Burnham continues with Starmer's policies it could go down a lot more
Vielleicht zur Erinnerung, dass Kai Wegner nur deshalb Regierender Bürgermeister ist, weil Franziska Giffey und die SPD keine Koalition mit Grünen und Linken fortsetzen wollten. Mit kleinbürgerlicher Politik und Koalition wollte man sich neue Wählergruppen erschließen. Das läuft ausgezeichnet…
The fact that people are treating Morocco winning against the Netherlands as a huge sensation tells you so much about how we look at football. Morocco: semi-finalist at the last world cup, Africa cup winner, 6th in the Fifa world ranking. I wonder what makes people treat them differently.
It seems a good day to remind people that in the UK 3 times as many people work in Indian restaurants or for McDonalds as in the whole coal and steel industry. 5 times as many are academic staff at universities. If Labour does not understand its electorate, there is no way to appeal to it.
The Oxford Union is a useless, anachronistic institution. A circus of privilege. It has about as much to do with meaningful debate and the pursuit of knowledge as GB News. Unbelievable that serious people still participate. Glad that many students here stand up against racism and the far right.
Die AfD Wählerschaft speist sich zu einem sehr großen Teil (67%) aus Menschen, die sich 2017 nicht einmal vorstellen konnten die SPD zu wählen. Bei allen anderen Parteien im Bundestag (sogar CDU) ist das Verhältnis andersrum. Mehr Wähler:innen kommen aus der Gruppe der potenziellen SPD Wähler:innen
Die Idee, die SPD hätte massiv Wähler:innen an die AfD verloren dominiert weiter den politischen Diskurs. Sie ist schlicht falsch. Mit dem Panel der GLES sieht man bspw. dass nur 11% der 2013 SPD-Wähler:innen 2025 AfD gewählt haben. Diese Tatsache muss doch mal in Politik und Medien ankommen.
The Berlin Social Science Center (@wzb.bsky.social) is looking for a new director for the study of international relations. The director will establish and lead a new research research department. I am happy to chat with interested candidates. www.wzb.eu/en/jobs/dire...
Another day of far-right violence and pogroms in the UK. A country that still labels these thugs “protesters”, that claims “this isn’t Britain”, that fails to take responsibility for empowering and enabling these thugs, where the media is too afraid to call the forces behind this “far right”
Dank an Carsten Linnemann, der nochmal bestätigt, dass der Begriff Brandmauer ein bizarres Eigenleben angenommen hat…
Für die @fesonline.bsky.social habe ich darüber geschrieben, wie etablierte Parteien zur Stärkung radikal rechter Parteien beitragen. Restiktivere Migrationspolitik gewinnt nicht nur keine Wähler:innen zurück, sie verschiebt auch die öffentliche Meinung in Richtung radikal rechts (Jetzt auf deutsch)
Eine Ministerin einer Regierung, die eine Mehrheit im Parlament hat, sagt es gäbe keine „politische Mehrheit“ für eine Maßnahme die im Koalitionsvertrag dieser Regierung steht. Das muss dieses quiet quitting sein…
Heute Nachmittag spreche ich beim IM/PULS Forum für Zukunft darüber wie progressive Mehrheiten wieder gewonnen werden können. Die ganze Veranstaltung kann man im livestream verfolgen: impuls.gruene.de
On 10 June, I am going to give a talk at the IHS in Vienna on Party Competition and the Normalization of the Radical Right. If you are around, you can sign up with the link below. I am at the IHS for the whole week, so do reach out if you'd like to meet up. www.ihs.ac.at/news-and-eve...
Labour‘s politics of anti-trans and anti-queer segregationism. One of the most vicious attacks on LGBT rights in Europe in decades. It should be clear for queer people that Labour does not represent them. They should not be welcome in our spaces or at our events www.theguardian.com/commentisfre...
Completely unbearable working conditions at @nuffieldcollege.bsky.social today
2% of LE26 Labour voters consider voting for Reform at the next election. Less than 1% of Reform voters consider Labour. Yet, Labour continues to target exactly those voters. Literally, politics for the 1%. Meanwhile, 42% of Lab voters consider the Greens. After already having lost tons to them.
And cruel, inhumane policies to appeal to authoritarian voters in one domain are clearly not enough. These decision will alienate progressives for a long time. Labour is on track to follow other social democratic parties into oblivion.
Attitudes in the UK are significantly more transphobic than in comparative countries. This is exactly a consequence of discourse and politics. Labour's stance on gender identity has actively contributed to it. Their behavior has failed LGBT communities which is why they abandon the party.
It is part of a paragraph that fundamentally misunderstands the history of LGBT rights. Progressive change happened exactly because activists and politicians outpaced public opinion. Where progress happens public opinion follows suit. Waiting for public opinion is the death of progressive politics
Being politely asked “What is the problem with New Zealand?” is certainly one of my highlights of protesting against the far right…
So many Labour councillors lost their seats. People who - independent of party affiliation - had often worked tirelessly for years to improve things in their communities. Voted out not for their mistakes, but the strategic failure and awful politics of their leadership. How must this make them feel?
The electoral decline of social democratic parties is a well-studied phenomenon. If you want to understand what is happening to Labour, I recommend this (open access) edited volume by the world's leading scholars on this question. Other countries have elections, too. doi.org/10.1017/9781009496810
Putting on the special garment for tonight. With a big thank you to the best co-author one could wish for @casmudde.bsky.social