Charles A. Gardner, PhD
@chancethegardener
My goals are to reduce smoking-related DEATH and reduce teen nicotine USE. Both involve change. To change something, you need to be able to measure it...
What if you're wrong Gil? If you are wrong, then your health misinformation discourages smoking cessation, protects Big Tobacco's deadly cigarette sales, and causes deaths. Which is bad.
And... you think something bad is happening? Here is what CDC/FDA surveys show. Does this look bad to you? Massive drop in teen nicotine use. Massive drop in adult smoking. Want links to the CDC/FDA surveys? I'm happy to share them.
6% of GB teens use #SaferNicotine vapes "at least one time in the past 30 days." That is 25% lower than 3 years ago. Daily use, which is what you SHOULD worry about, is 2%. So what is your real goal when you try to make this good news seem alarming? ash.org.uk/resources/vi...
PROBLEM: This one, if it succeeds, will reduce smoking cessation and protect sales of Big Tobacco's deadly cigarettes.
Kids should not smoke, vape or use nicotine pouches. Few do, and use is dropping, not increasing. And this good news is an existential threat to the Campaign for Tobacco-Free Kids. fda.gov/media/191376... tobaccocrst.org/data-briefs academic.oup.com/ntr/advance-...
Here is how the US tobacco & nicotine lanscape is changing: - Massive product substitution among adults (deadly -> safer) - Massive drop in teen use of cigarettes and nicotine vapes What is troubling is that none of this good news is being communicated to the public.
Right. Here is what that ASH UK factsheet shows. Teen nicotine vaping dropped 25% over the past three years, and you need a magnifying glass to see how many kids vape "at least one time in the past 30 days." You'd need a microscope to see daily use.
I have been working with Google to help develop their language translator from Tobacco Control Doublespeak to plain English. This will be helpful for the public because, at this point, it is nearly impossible to understand what all these #HarmReduction deniers are even talking about. #parody
Prohibition does not make things magically go away. It drives them underground into the hands of criminals who do not care how old their customers are. In Australia, violent drug gangs are now engaged in what Aussie journalists call "Tobacco Wars." Turf battles. www.youtube.com/watch?v=mOL_...
Here is what happened in the USA over the past 2 decades. Smoking plummeted, plausibly due to product substitution (safer replacing deadly). Lung cancer continues to drop. Adult Use: ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles...; cdc.gov/nchs/data/se... Lung cancer (NIH/NCI): seer.cancer.gov/statfacts/ht...
The availability of 'flavored' nicotine vapes skyrocketed over the past six years, and teen nicotine vaping dropped 74%. Strange then, to believe 'flavors' cause teen vaping. The two new age-gated nicotine vapes FDA just authorized are a drop in the ocean. Will have zero impact on teen use.
UK Teen Use: 1970: 33% smoked deadly cigarettes 2026: 5% smoke deadly cigarettes 2023: 8% used #SaferNicotine vapes 2026: 6% use #SaferNicotine vapes (2% daily) (a 25% drop in 3 years) Strange to portray this good news as a "crisis." ash.org.uk/resources/vi...
21 million adults vape nicotine to avoid deadly cigarettes. Obviously, you have not met any of us. We prefer fruit, dessert and candy flavors. 490,000 smoking-related DEATHS every year is an actual problem. Teen nicotine vaping dropped 74% over the past 6 years, so is much less of a problem.
New Zealand has VERY different Tobacco Control policies. Their smoking rate dropped >50% in just a few years. Teen smoking near nil. Maori smoking rates plummeting... And here is what is happening in Australia: MASSIVE black market; Tobacco Wars; fire bombings; stalled smoking declines...
US billionaire Mike Bloomberg spends $160 mllion dollars a year to convince you vape firms "target teens" and 'flavors' hook teens. His non-profit grantees lobby state governments to manipulate policies. And they ALL hide what CDC/FDA surveys actually show...
5.2% of teens vape "at least one time in the past 30 days" 1.4% vape nicotine daily, so routinely BUY products 3.8% of THOSE buy online Do the math! 3.8% of 1.4% = 0.05% = 1-in-2,000 = nil Shopify's decision harms millions of ADULTS and has zero impact on youth. academic.oup.com/ntr/advance-...
What evidence supports the assumption that 'flavours' and packaging cause teen nicotine vaping? At what point do journalists finally realize Tobacco Control zealots are just making sh*t up? (They like to ban things.) When can we care about preventing 125,000 UK smoking-related deaths every year?
Right... "Youth-targeted vaping." And they believe that? FYI: That is an insane conspiracy theory, utterly divorced from objective reality. REALITY = EVIDENCE from CDC/FDA surveys.
I wonder who is paying those First Nations youth to kill their own People.
How many teen nicotine "addicts" do you think there are? Honest question. NOTE: In Tobacco Control, daily use is a standard indicator of dependence.
The CDC asks the ever-declining number of teens who vape why they do that. Here is what they say. Question the honesty of ANYONE who claims 'flavors' are a "key driver" of teen nicotine vaping. 'Flavors' are 6.8% of all the reasons they give. A very minor "driver." www.cdc.gov/mmwr/volumes...
IMHO: "Flavors appeal to children" is an unexamined assumption at best. A crazy conspiracy theory at worst. I read what US CDC/FDA surveys actually show. This IS what they show. I graph their survey data because they don't. I am annoyed that they don't honestly inform the public.
#FactCheck: FALSE. According to the WHO, Canada has among the lowest teen nicotine vaping rates. Further: Health Canada surveys show teen nicotine vaping dropped 60% over the past five years. Daily use is near nil. WHO: www.who.int/europe/publi... Health Canada: www.canada.ca/en/health-ca...
"Rising vaping trends"? Why are journalists misinforming the public about what CDC/FDA surveys show? US teen “current use” (≥once/month) 2019: 4.5% smoked; 20% vaped nicotine (3.7% daily) cdc.gov/mmwr/volumes... 2025: 1.4% smoke; 5.2% vape nicotine (1.4% daily) academic.oup.com/ntr/advance-...
Smoking is not a red-blue issue (though smoking rates and deaths are much higher in red than blue states). 490,000 smoking-related deaths every friggin year needs to be addressed with EVIDENCE... Not by grandstanding. And not by evidence-deniers like you. NOTE: I am a Progressive Liberal
Prohibition is a blunt instrument. It is coercive. A violation of autonomy... and therefore a harm. 15 legal adults HARMED for every one teen-who-MAY-be-affected is unethical. What "problem" is the ban is meant to solve? Teen nicotine vaping dropped 74% over the past 6 years to a 12-year low.
Behold! The US teen nicotine vaping "epidemic" SPOILER: You need a magnifying glass to see it NOTE: This is "at least one time in the past 30 days" To see daily use, you would need a microscope... fda.gov/media/191376... tobaccocrst.org/data-briefs academic.oup.com/ntr/advance-...
US middle and high school cigarette smoking dropped 90% over the past decade to a 50-year low near nil. Nicotine vaping dropped 74% over the past 6 years to a 12-year low.
"Rising youth vaping concerns"? What planet do you you live on? Not mine. On my planet, here is what CDC/FDA surveys actually show. Youth vaping is NOT rising; it dropped 74% over the past six years. WHY IS EVERYONE LYING ABOUT THIS? Want links to the CDC/FDA reports? I'm happy to share them.
ChatGPT question: "How many confirmed cases of 'popcorn lung' have been caused by nicotine vaping (ever)?" ANSWER: Confirmed cases of "popcorn lung" (bronchiolitis obliterans) caused by nicotine vaping = 0 NOTE: Zero peer-reviewed case studies after 2 decades of use by (now) >130 million people