Robbie Andrew
@robbieandrew
Senior scientist at Oslo-based CICERO Center for International Climate Research • 🌍Global Carbon Project
No, no luck there. You might be interested in Nepal, though. robbieandrew.github.io/carsales/?la...
With data in for 77.3% of the EU car market, BEVs reached 23% in June with PHEVs at 12%.
Since the late 2000s, US power generation from fossil sources has declined from a peak of about 250 TWh/month to about 220 TWh/m. Meanwhile, non-fossil generation has increased from about 100 TWh/m to well over 150 TWh/m.
Total passenger car sales in China are well behind 2025 levels, 20% lower overall, although only 13% lower for NEVs. Economic uncertainty is dragging on purchases in 2026.
📢New-energy vehicles (BEVs+PHEVs) made up more than 60% of total new passenger cars sales in China for the third month in a row, fully recovering ground after a dip at the start of the year due to reductions in incentives.
Certainly a lot of two-wheelers, with around 2 million new registrations every month at the moment, compared with around 400,000 for cars. But two-wheelers nationwide also still have a low rate of electrification.
AEADE just pushed four monthly reports at once, so now Ecuador's data are caught up to May, when 7% of new passenger car sales were full-electric.
Someone might wonder (as I did) at the huge peaks in April of 2024 and 2025. Data error! Fixed now.
In June, 51% of cars sold in Ireland were BEV. But June is always a month with very few sales. We need to wait until July to see what's really happening in the market. Ireland has two peak months each year because of the licence plate system.
India was dry in June, with 39.8% less rain than normal. That's the fifth-lowest since records begin in 1901.
Russia submitted its emissions inventory to the UNFCCC a couple of days ago, the last party to do so in this year's round. No obvious changes at the high level compared to last year's submission. robbieandrew.github.io/country/?cou...
I was also playing with estimating 'potential'. The top curve here is based on state-level capacity and state-level clear-sky insolation, while the second curve down adjusts for a rough estimate of temperatue derating. I need to label this better, since those two are more illustrative.
No, it's scraped directly from the chart in the monthly ancillary reports. This graph in the PDF is vector data with all 96 data points every 24 hours.
Yesterday in California (CAISO): ▸State gas squeezed to almost nothing (but there's some in imports from other states) ▸Hydro squeezed out much of the day, saving valuable reservoir water ▸SunZia wind delivering ▸Batteries discharging all night
Often on India's grid there's too much solar at midday and not enough storage (batteries and pumped hydro) for the surplus. A daily auction solves this, paying participants not to generate so grid stability is maintained. But this is wasted generation, and storing would be better.
Wind power is a little higher. Obviously wind is highly variable and so is sunshine. Zero solar for about half the day, and only maximum in the middle of the day. On top that comes curtailment because there isn't enough transmission capacity or coal plants can't ramp down any more.
Lots of things going on at the moment in India. robbieandrew.github.io/india/
Note that they only started reporting storage (pumped hydro and batteries) in May, but as you can see here, they're still small.
The largest solar contribution so far in India was on 3 March 2026 in the period 13:30-13:45 at 39.0%.
India's solar generation is starting to make a clear dent in coal generation during daylight hours, reaching a peak of 39% on the 3rd of March this year. Coal has little flexibility, so further increases in solar generation would be greatly facilitated by more storage, which is currently minimal.
India has been using non-fossil (including large hydro, nuclear, and bioenergy) as its metric, and the share of installed capacity passed 50% already last year. Meanwhile the share of generation has been growing, but much more slowly because of the low utilisation rate, and is still below 30%.
The nature of solar and wind is that they do not generate evenly across the day. Their 'utilisation' rate can never be as high as coal is now. Coal now is running around 60% utilisation, while renewables are under 20%. So actual renewable power generation is a much lower share of the total.
Renewables have been growing strongly in India, and at the end of May the total installed capacity of variable renewables (excludes large hydro) reached 230.8 GW, surpassing for the first time ever the installed capacity of coal (230.1 GW). This is a significant milestone. With caveats... 🧵
"Urhobo women bake krokpo-garri, or tapioca, in the heat of a gas flare in Afiesere. [P]eople have worked in this way since 1961, when Shell first opened this flow station. Pollutants from the flare cause serious health problems and life expectancy is short." www.premiumtimesng.com/news/496891-...
Direct link to the PDF of the preprint: essd.copernicus.org/preprints/es...
I have an idea for the reflecting pool. "with no algae growth" "A pilot program is building solar panels over irrigation canals to generate electricity. As a bonus, the shade prevents water from evaporating." www.nytimes.com/2026/06/22/c...
Here's the same day showing both curtailment and demand. So there's a little solar curtailment (darker yellow at the top), and most of the excess supply over demand goes to batteries, but yes, some is exported.