Avishay BSG (Ben-Sasson-Gordis)
@avishaybsg
Normative Theory of Civ-Mil | Senior Lecturer (AP) Tel Aviv University PoliSci | Head of U.S. Research at the INSS | Napper extraordinaire | Kartofellophile
“Yes, we can name a building after rich Jews if that will make it feel more familiar. But we’re slapping some succulents on it so don’t get too excited” 6/6
“You said memorial chapel but mission style so that’s what they did” 5/6
“No. For the thousandth time. It not Smith. It’s Westwood. Get over it” 4/6
“We thought of naming the street after JFK but that felt too New England” 3/6
“ I told you! It’s not Rebecca Brooks, it’s Sarah Leonard!!” 2/6
It is now ten hours since we got the IAD, our flight has been rescheduled (again) to 2am. Who knows if that’s going to happen…
Subsequent to the Israeli government announcing today that it won’t honor a Supreme Court decision (that plays into the ability of non-Bibi billionaires to buy one of Israel’s tv broadcast channels)
For those interested, I set up the US-Iran MoU in a table based on timeline and relevant actor. LMK if I missed something
JCPOA comparison here. According to this, upon completion of the deal, Iran will have a timeline for the removal of all sanctions. The JCPOA, since it only handled nuclear issues, only removed nuclear sanctions, and w. snapback mechanism. This looks like a much bigger concession on the US side.
Again, I doubt Israeli actions were a surprise to DC given degree of mil to mil cooperation and coordination. But Trump very clearly looking to shut it down.
OTOH, we’re getting reports on explosions in Iran. OTOH this. And, school has been cancelled all over Israel tomorrow. THIS IS FINE.
Hey, so cautiously sharing a thing: For a long time I've been looking for an academic literature triage tool to stay on top ofmy reading. I gave up and built one with LLMs. I have a working mac beta version to share. If we've been in touch on here and this sounds interesting to you, DM me. 1/4
The Dem collapse is obvious. But these data suggest a deeper failed bet. Under Netanyahu, and following Ron Dermer's theory of the American electorate, Israel doubled down on white evangelicals and Republicans. Among the younger subsets of both groups, Israel is in the red now.
In the MAGA civil war over Israel and the Jews, Trump isn’t winning. Every outcome is bad here, but this is worse.
I was asked to write a quick response to the ceasefire agreement for the INSS website. Here’s what I had to say. Text in first alt. (P.S. I wrote it in Hebrew and am not responsible for the translation)
This is what I wrote when Netanyahu convinced Trump to exit the JCPOA back in 2018 @molad-institute.bsky.social www.molad.org/en/articles/...
Can we go back to discussing the bad enough things that are bad enough as is?
Huge boom in Jerusalem right now. Impact hundreds of meters from Al-Aqsa and Temple Mount. (Not my video, but definitely my hearing of the boom)
