Cannon "like boom" Cloud
@cannoncloud
Development econ PhD Student at Goethe Universität Frankfurt and WZB. Doing research at the corner of development, transport and remote sensing. You can find he/him knitting silly hats or riding funny bikes.
Friends also don't let friends claim causality from a spatial random forest just by throwing variables at it. I never thought I'd be here, yet here I am 😅. To test for confounding, I compared PDPs and mapped local marginal effects against a municipality fixed-effects spatial sponge. Maybe it works?
Not that many blocks. Did you say something mean to Jimmy Kimmel?
I updated my DiD Visualizer tool for TWFE/OLS. 1. I added a break the model button to correlate treatment effects with treatment timing, making negative weight more likely. 2 Made the heterogeneous treatment effects more responsive to make things wacky with uniform distribution ranges instead 1/2
Unless they think moving to a oligarchic type system (or something similar) favors incumbents that can use current resources to maintain advantages and extract more rent. Never works out long term when the fascist state eats all, but
In your original example you used Vermont as the "bluest, yet still purple" state. I just pointed out in the image Hawaii was more blue. As an aside, the color used in that image is #5E35FE which seems a bit blue, whatever that means. Closest named color is "MediumSlate Blue"
In the example you chose to show, quite blue. I'm just pointing to that slight irony in your first image.
I added to the OLS/TWFE_play_around shiny app the option to include heterogeneous dynamic treatment effects by cohort, and you can click a button to include the BJS estimator. cannoncloud.shinyapps.io/TWFE_OLS_Pla... Share your ugly TWFE plots
I created a shiny web tool to play around with OL/TWFE so you can teach how this stuff can get so screwy. You can mess with temporal and cohort heterogeneity, treatment timing, whether you have any controls, etc. Share your worst plots! #econsky cannoncloud.shinyapps.io/TWFE_OLS_Pla...
I made a helpful meme for all the economist running into various strains of econ-mumbo jumbo out there at the moment.
I was disappointed to hear Georgetown's yellow-bellied response to one if it's students, Badar Khan Suri, and employees illegal detention so I wrote a letter to interim President Groves demanding some backbone. I'm hoping fellow alumnus will as well. I'm happy to share a draft of what I sent.
Subjective, but -0.5 lets you fill in the 0 and 1 with multiple estimates from different models.
Nice just saw this morning you'll be presenting at out seminar series at Goethe in January. Looking forward to it!
I used McCloskey a lot in a paper where I reviewed a bunch of big picture books, though I wasn't so convinced by her shtick either. Mainly I came away from that paper thinking the whole theory-of-all-growth books was not such a valuable exercise (besides for the authors).
So I looked at the data from 2000 to 2013 in the UN data, and I also see that decrease in resources, but the trend has completely reversed since then.