Chris Jones
@chrisjones1
London UK Politics, finance, LFC, Red Sox, snark Lately ChrisJones_1 on the Bad Place
The Times has a guide on the best pubs in London to sit and ignore the football
Updated World Cup probabilities (Monte Carlo, 10,000 simulations of the full bracket, goals scored based on an attack/defence model derived from Elo differences, calibrated on 2022-2026 match data, Dixon-Coles corrected. Penalties 50/50.) tinyurl.com/PT-early-Edit
Updated World Cup probabilities (Monte Carlo, 10,000 simulations of the full bracket, goals scored based on an attack/defence model derived from Elo differences, calibrated on 2022-2026 match data, Dixon-Coles corrected. Penalties 50/50.)
Updated World Cup probabilities (Monte Carlo, 10,000 simulations of the full bracket, goals scored based on an attack/defence model derived from Elo differences, calibrated on 2022-2026 match data, Dixon-Coles corrected. Penalties 50/50.)
FIFA has all this money and still can't afford a chair for the third VAR guy
Updated World Cup probabilities (Monte Carlo, 10,000 simulations of the full bracket, goals scored based on an attack/defence model derived from Elo differences, calibrated on 2022-2026 match data, Dixon-Coles corrected. Penalties 50/50.)
As they've done for 5000 years in times of crisis, Egypt gather in a circle and pray to a couple of water bottles
Updated World Cup probabilities - 3 July (Monte Carlo, 10,000 simulations of the full bracket, goals scored based on an attack/defence model derived from Elo differences, calibrated on 2022-2026 match data, Dixon-Coles corrected. Penalties 50/50.)
Updated World Cup probabilities (Monte Carlo, 10,000 simulations of the full bracket, goals scored based on an attack/defence model derived from Elo differences, calibrated on 2022-2026 match data, Dixon-Coles corrected. Penalties 50/50.)
A dominant performance from England, in a comprehensive win over DR Congo. There's no team we can't beat.
Updated probabilities from my World Cup simulation model* * Monte Carlo World Cup model: 10,000 simulations of the full bracket, goals calibrated on real match data, Dixon-Coles corrected. Penalties 50/50.