Rundown of the 5 Council By-Elections taking place this week: 🌹 Rumworth (Bolton) 🔶 Hedge End South (Eastleigh) 🌼 Bro'r Llynnoedd (Isle of Anglesey) 🙋 Long Sutton (South Holland) 🏘️ Great Dunmow North (Uttlesford)

It's *just one poll* for now - but replicated in a General Election, it could see Labour retain 268 seats. Comfortably the largest party, albeit 58 short of a majority.

Aggregate Result of the 82 Council By-Elections Since the 2026 Local Elections: RFM: 16 (+5) | 22% (+12) CON: 16 (-) | 19% (-1) LDM: 14 (-) | 15% (-) LAB: 11 (-3) | 17% (-6) GRN: 10 (+1) | 15% (-) PLC: 8 (-1) | 4% (+1) Ind: 4 (-3) | 5% (-3) SNP: 2 (+2) | 2% (-1) electionmaps.uk/council-by-e...

Finalised Summary of Cabinet Changes: 29 Parliamentarians will attend Cabinet, unchanged from the previous administration. New Cabinet Positions include the Ministers for Intergovernmental/EU Relations, AI, and Housing/Planning.

Summary of Cabinet Changes that doesn't require you to read a whole article behind a paywall :)

coalition builder final boss

The churn of British PMs continues, as does that of Council By-Elections, with 5 contests taking place this week: 🌳 Exmouth Brixington (East Devon) 🌳 Cuxton, Halling & Riverside (Medway) 🌳 Longwell Green (South Gloucestershire) ➡️ Grays Riverside (Thurrock) ➡️ Grays Town (Thurrock)

Starmer's Approval Rating during his time as Labour Leader & Prime Minister. Current: -41.3% (20.7% Approve, 62.1% Disapprove). Peak Approval As: LOTO: +14.5% in June 2020 PM: +0.4% in July 2024 Lowest Approval As: LOTO: -16.2% in August 2021 PM: -48.9% in December 2025

General Election Nowcast - 19/07/26: RFM: 217 (+212) | 25.1% (109 Short) LAB: 135 (-276) | 21.0% CON: 102 (-19) | 19.8% LDM: 76 (+4) | 11.6% SNP: 44 (+35) | 2.8% GRN: 35 (+31) | 12.6% PLC: 15 (+11) | 1.3% RES: 1 (+1) | 2.9% Min: 6 (+1) | 2.9% electionmaps.uk/nowcast

Polling Average at the End of Starmer's Tenure: ➡️ RFM: 25.4% (+10.7) Lowest Since Apr 2025 🌹 LAB: 21.3% (-13.4) Highest Since Sep 2025 🌳 CON: 20.1% (-4.2) Highest Since Apr 2025 🌍 GRN: 12.8% (+5.9) 🔶 LDM: 11.8% (-0.6) Lowest Since Dec 2024 ◼️ RES: 2.9% (New)

Aggregate Result of the 77 Council By-Elections Since the 2026 Local Elections: RFM: 15 (+6) | 22% (+12) CON: 14 (+1) | 18% (-1) LDM: 14 (-) | 15% (-) GRN: 10 (+1) | 15% (-) PLC: 8 (-1) | 5% (+1) LAB: 7 (-3) | 17% (-7) Ind: 4 (-3) | 5% (-3) SNP: 2 (+2) | 2% (-1) electionmaps.uk/council-by-e...

Early summer's deluge of by-elections may be over, but there's 8 more to sink your teeth into this week: LAB (4) 🌹 Dereham Toftwood (Breckland) 🌹 Fletton & Woodston (Peterborough) 🌹 Wellington (Rushmoor) 🌹 Manor (Stafford) RFM (2) ➡️ Ramsey & Bury (Cambridgeshire) ➡️ Old Catton (Norfolk) [1/2]

Aggregate Result of the 69 Council By-Elections Since LE2026: RFM: 14 (+7) | 22% (+13) LDM: 13 (-) | 16% (-) CON: 11 (-1) | 17% (-1) GRN: 9 (-) | 15% (-) PLC: 8 (-1) | 5% (+1) LAB: 7 (-3) | 17% (-7) Ind: 4 (-3) | 5% (-3) SNP: 2 (+2) | 2% (-1) Loc: 1 (-1) | 1% (-2) electionmaps.uk/council-by-e...

Current Nowcast Projection for Clacton: ➡️ RFM: 48.5% (+2.3) 🌳 CON: 19.2% (-8.7) ◼️ RES: 12.0% (New) 🌍 GRN: 8.2% (+4.0) 🌹 LAB: 6.2% (-10.0) 🔶 LDM: 4.6% (+0.2) electionmaps.uk/nowcast

Another SIXTEEN Council By-Elections will grace your timelines this week, 2 of which are on Tuesday: Lib Dem Defences (5) 🔶 Haselmere (Surrey) - Tuesday 🔶 Haselmere West (Waverley) - Tuesday 🔶 Argoed & New Brighton (Flintshire) 🔶 Suffield Park (North Norfolk) 🔶 Kinwarton (Stratford-on-Avon) [1/3]

General Election Nowcast - 05/07/26: RFM: 250 (+245) | 26.2% (76 Short) LAB: 121 (-290) | 20.3% CON: 87 (-34) | 19.1% LDM: 78 (+6) | 12.0% SNP: 45 (+36) | 2.8% GRN: 34 (+30) | 12.3% PLC: 8 (+4) | 1.2% RES: 1 (+1) | 3.2% Min: 7 (+2) | 2.9% electionmaps.uk/nowcast

The 2024 General Election took place 2 Years ago, Today. Here's how opinion polls have changed since: ➡️ RFM: 26.6% (+11.9) 🌹 LAB: 20.6% (-14.0) 🌳 CON: 19.4% (-5.0) 🌍 GRN: 12.4% (+5.5) 🔶 LDM: 12.3% (-0.3) ◼️ RES: 3.3% (New) electionmaps.uk/polling/vi

Aggregate Result of the 53 Council By-Elections Since LE2026: RFM: 11 (+5) | 23% (+13) CON: 9 (-3) | 19% (-1) GRN: 8 (+2) | 14% (-) LDM: 8 (-) | 14% (-) PLC: 6 (-) | 5% (+1) LAB: 5 (-3) | 18% (-7) Ind: 3 (-2) | 5% (-4) SNP: 2 (+2) | 1% (-1) Loc: 1 (-1) | 1% (-2) electionmaps.uk/council-by-e...

Another 12 council by-elections to feast on this week: 🌳 CON Defences (4) - Peterhead South & Cruden (Aberdeenshire) - Weaver & Cuddington (Cheshire West & Chester) - St Leonards & St Ives (Dorset) - Yscir with Honddu Isaf & Llanddew (Powys) [1/3]

Aggregate Result of the 41 Council By-Elections Since LE2026: RFM: 8 (+2) | 22% (+11) CON: 8 (-) | 19% (-) GRN: 8 (+2) | 17% (-) LDM: 5 (-1) | 14% (+1) PLC: 5 (-) | 5% (+1) LAB: 4 (-2) | 18% (-7) Ind: 2 (-1) | 4% (-3) SNP: 1 (+1) | 1% (-1) Loc: 0 (-1) | 0% (-3) electionmaps.uk/council-by-e...

ElectionMapsUK, making council by-elections popular since 2017...

🚨| NEW: Approval Ratings Dashboard: 📈 Weighted ratings of all leaders since the General Election 📊 View Net ratings, or individual +/- scores 🟡 Advanced Mode: Filter by pollster, question wording, toggle weighting and smoothing. electionmaps.uk/polling/approval

Starmer's premiership comes to a close with a net approval rating of -44% (19% Approve, 63% Disapprove). 📈Full dashboard coming to the website later this week.

A massive TWENTY-ONE Council By-Elections are taking place this Thursday, alongside 2 Countermanded Elections: Labour (5) 🌹 Goldsmid (Brighton & Hove) 🌹 Rhyl South (Denbighshire) 🌹 Farnworth (Halton) 🌹 Woodside (Haringey) 🌹 Camp Hill (Nuneaton & Bedworth) [1/3]

General Election Nowcast - 21/06/26: RFM: 281 (+276) | 27.3% (45 Short) LAB: 96 (-315) | 19.6% LDM: 82 (+10) | 12.2% CON: 71 (-50) | 18.8% SNP: 46 (+37) | 2.8% GRN: 37 (+33) | 12.9% PLC: 10 (+6) | 1.3% RES: 1 (+1) | 2.8% Min: 7 (+2) | 3.1% electionmaps.uk/nowcast

Composition of Parliament after Last Night's By-Elections: LAB: 403 (-8) CON: 117 (-4) LDM: 71 (-1) Ind: 13 (+7) RFM: 8 (+3) SNP: 8 (-1) GRN: 5 (+1) DUP: 5 PLC: 4 SDLP: 2 YP: 2 (+2) ALL: 1 UUP: 1 TUV: 1 RES: 1 (+1) Labour Majority: 156. electionmaps.uk/parliament

Aggregate Result of the 20 Council By-Elections Since the 2026 Local Elections: CON: 6 (-2) | 24% (-) LDM: 4 (+2) | 16% (+1) RFM: 3 (+1) | 24% (+17) GRN: 3 (+1) | 16% (+2) PLC: 3 (-) | 4% (-) LAB: 1 (-) | 14% (-10) Ind: 0 (-1) | 3% (-6) Loc: 0 (-1) | 0% (-3) electionmaps.uk/council-by-e...

Weighted Average of Makerfield By-Election Constituency Polls: 🌹 LAB: 46.9% (+1.7) ➡️ RFM: 39.4% (+7.6) ⬛️ RES: 7.1% (New) 🌍 GRN: 2.9% (-1.5) 🌳 CON: 2.2% (-8.7) 🔶 LDM: 1.1% (-5.7) Changes w/ GE2024.

This is the first time the Green Party have been in single digits in any poll since 4th Feb, as the party's aggregate share also falls to its lowest since early Feb. electionmaps.uk/polling/vi

It's the inaugural instalment of a summer by-election deluge, with 11 by-elections and 4 countermanded contests taking place this week: By-Elections: 🌳 Gogarth Mostyn (Conwy) 🌳 Tudno (Conwy) ➡️ Rayleigh West (Essex) 🌍️ Crofton Park (Lewisham) [1/3]