Inequality and Distributive Politics - IDP
@inqdp
The IDP is a research group at ZfK & IfP, University of Marburg, Germany. In our website ( you can find more about us, our research, & our outreach activities, including the "Maps of Inequality in Marburg"
6/6 🧵 In @polanalysis.bsky.social, Griswold, Robbins & Pollard show LLMs beat traditional sentiment/stance tools for classifying political stance. They find major improvements over classic text-as-data approaches on 2020 election tweets about Biden & Trump. doi.org/rfsd
5/6 🧵In @ejprjournal.bsky.social, @iguinaudeau.bsky.social & coauthors study electoral effects of group-targeted campaign pledges in 🇩🇪. Results: Group pledges don’t outperform broad ones & lead to trade-off: Higher support among recipients, exclusion-driven losses among other groups doi.org/rfp5
4/6 🧵 In @ejprjournal.bsky.social, @janabelschner.bsky.social, @aaronjohnspitzer.bsky.social, Ingrid Faleide & Josefina Sipinen look at data from 14 countries & find proxy representation a weak substitute for the ballot. Migrant non-voters are left largely underrepresented. doi.org/rfp4
3/6 🧵 Romero, Chaparro & Wibbels’ @cpsjournal.bsky.social study is on how migrants select smugglers. Original conjoint, survey & in-depth interviews with 🇬🇹 citizens with experiences with or intention to migrate to the 🇺🇸. Safety-related factors more relevant than financial doi.org/rfqb
2/6 🧵 In @wepsocial.bsky.social Kriesi & @ztruchlewski.bsky.social ask what Europe do citizens want? Consider two dimensions: bounding (hard EU borders) & binding (common central capacity). Surveys in 16 🇪🇺 countries & FA. Overall support for bounding but division on binding doi.org/rfp6
6/6 🧵in @poqjournal.bsky.social, Egendal Leipziger et al want to understand if group vs. interpersonal inequality have stronger effect on fairness perceptions. Priming experiment 🇿🇦, 🇮🇳 & 🇺🇸. Results inconclusive as respondents conflate group & interpersonal inequality. doi.org/q9ws
5/6 🧵In @epsrjournal.bsky.social, @elisadeisshelbig.bsky.social, @theresmatthiess.bsky.social, Guinaudeau find that ideology shapes how people rate the deservingness of different social groups. Showing that left leaning citizens weigh need; right-leaning citizens weigh merit. doi.org/q9wp
4/6 🧵 In Sociological Science Enns questions recent findings that policy responds more to the preferences of more affluent citizens. Restricting attention to cases of disagreements under certain conditions can generate a spurious estimate of unresponsiveness to the poor doi.org/hb2f6c
3/6 🧵In @cpsjournal.bsky.social, a theory of bureaucratic constraints facing female politicians by @bhumi.bsky.social advances. Original elite survey, interviews & conjoint in 🇮🇳. Shows different gendered discretion mechanisms, such as bureaucrats' biased perceptions of competence doi.org/q9wn
2/6 🧵 In @bjpols.bsky.social, Gingrich et al introduce a new database, Regional Human Capital Database, and show that urban-rural education gap growing - though not everywhere - populist-vote is linked to lower education - with some caution doi.org/rbc9
6/6 🧵In @bjpols.bsky.social Kenney studies influence of firms on OECD tax evasion regulation process, using interviews and natural language processing methods of firm’s submitted comments. Those that are more technical and positive are more likely to be reflected in regulation doi.org/q5fx
5/6 🧵In @poppublicsphere.bsky.social, @julianachueri.bsky.social shows AI automation threatens jobs across all skill levels. People fearing AI replace their jobs support robot tax & basic income - signalling new conflicts over definition of work & welfare policies in future doi.org/q5fw
4/6 🧵 In @sociologyjnl.bsky.social @emmaischinsky.bsky.social studies press mentions of 1718 super-rich in 🇩🇪 by founding period of company. Dynastic (pre-1918) & new wealth (post 1914) more likely to be mentioned, possibly because of illegitimacy of NS originated wealth. doi.org/q5fz
3/6 🧵Do taxes mobilize rich voters? In @electoralstudies.bsky.social Aaskoven finds a short uptick among 🇩🇰 affluent (1898-1914) voter turnout when income taxation is threatened - but no lasting effect. doi.org/q5fv
2/6 🧵In @bjpols.bsky.social Klasnja Fazekas & Al-Shaibani show that increasing politicians’ wages reduces corruption. Use different designs, with discontinuous mayoral wage increases & measure corruption with risk index based on public procurement data from ~18,000 🇪🇺 municipalities doi.org/q5ft
6/6 🧵In @apsrjournal.bsky.social, Tuñón shows religion ⇏ conservative politics. In 🇧🇷, progressive bishops helped the leftist PT win votes - especially where labor unions were weak. When Pope John Paul II replaced them, PT support dropped. The church filled the gap unions couldn't. doi.org/qzk8
5/6 🧵In @cpsjournal.bsky.social Huberts shows that when public services are broken but hard to fix, politicians don't solve the problem, they suppress it. Evidence from 🇲🇽-City finds that by monitoring & quietly appeasing vocal opposition they keep issues as water off the ballot. doi.org/qzk3
4/6 🧵 In @electoralstudies.bsky.social Fonseca, @deborathome.bsky.social & @guedesneto.bsky.social use DiD with 🇧🇷 reform to answer: do party funding incentives help promote underrepresented groups? No, as parties seek to secure rewards by investing in non-competitive candidates doi.org/qzkw
3/6 🧵In @apsrjournal.bsky.social, Bowles show that elite-preferred candidates performed better in providing local public goods in 1960s 🇹🇿. IV design leveraging ballot symbols allocated deterministically that happened to influence voting choices doi.org/qzk6
2/6 🧵In @ajpseditor.bsky.social, @kbuzard7.bsky.social, Canen & Saiegh study risk from policy uncertainty & lobbying. Stock market data from 🇺🇸. Results show that policy uncertainty is lower for lobbying firms & that only few firms lobby b/c of high costs and diminishing returns. doi.org/qzk7
6/6 🧵In @ajpseditor.bsky.social @judgelord.bsky.social, @ellieneffpowell.bsky.social & Grimmer ask: when MPs gain power, do they prioritize constituency service or policy work? Massive database of 🇺🇸 MPs agency contacts. More powerful MPs prioritize policy, but keep service levels doi.org/qtvx
5/6 🧵In @bjpols.bsky.social, Cho, @miacosta.bsky.social & @yusakuhoriuchi.bsky.social study trade-offs between descriptive & partisan representation for Asian-Americans. Clear preference for partisanship over ethnicity. True co-ethnics preferred over pan-ethnic & cross-ethnic. doi.org/qtv8
4/6 🧵 In SER @sasemeeting.bsky.social Fastenrath & Marx show the “taboo” on taxing rich can be broken in the cases of 🇩🇪 & 🇬🇧, when policy entrepreneurs promote progressive taxation and when the right faces an economic trilemma between low taxes, balanced budgets & public investment. doi.org/qtv3
3/6 🧵In @psrm.bsky.social, Dias, Lucas & Scheffer study origins of conservative bias in politician perceptions of voters in 🇨🇦. Perceptions more accurate when asked about voter distributions instead of average voters; portion of bias in point estimates survey artefact of little https:/doi.org/qtv2
2/6 🧵In @jplaeditor.bsky.social Vommaro and Wills-Otero ask when do business actors enter party politics? Most different systems comparison; 🇦🇷 & 🇨🇴. In-depth elite interviews & process tracing. Other than perception of threat, positioning of conservative party serves as catalyst doi.org/qtvs
6/6 🧵In @bjpols.bsky.social Pedersen asks: how do voters rank politicians tasks? Relational & functional tasks framework + original voter surveys in 🇩🇰🇩🇪🇬🇧🇺🇸: Voters like both, but prefer functional to relational; but for vote choice functional tasks matter more in 🇩🇰🇩🇪 doi.org/qqjv
5/6 🧵In @wepsocial.bsky.social @mhaslberger.bsky.social @madselk.bsky.social & @benansell.bsky.social: homeownership is tied to political efficacy. While young renters may still expect to buy, older may won’t reach the property ladder & feel less politically included. Read here: doi.org/qqjx
4/6 🧵In @bjpols.bsky.social, @corinnakroeber.bsky.social and coauthors study gendered working conditions of ministers. Admin data & interviews in 🇩🇪🇦🇹🇪🇸🇩🇰🇧🇪. Results show that women ministers are subject to stricter legislative oversight because of gendered perceptions doi.org/qqjz
3/6 🧵In @thejop.bsky.social, Frey & Santarrosa study politization of bureaucracy in 🇧🇷 municipalities. An RDD shows that bureaucrats (but not voters) are more likely to join parties in the winning coalition. Effects stronger for those with more interactions with voters doi.org/qqjs
2/6 🧵In @cpsjournal.bsky.social Koob & Justesen study protest & public opinion in 🇿🇦. Observational & experimental data. Peaceful protest & blame attribution increases public support for protest & addressing grievances. In-group more likely to tolerate violent protest doi.org/qqjw