John Holbein
@johnholbein1
Associate Professor of Public Policy, Politics, and Education @UVA. I share social science.
"Economic Spillovers of Tariff Policy: Evidence from Foreign Tourism to the United States" papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers....
Trump's tariffs have reduced tourism to the U.S. a lot. They've led to $1 Billion in lost revenue per month.
Noncompete clauses reduce workers' earnings. Noncompete clauses also provide no measurable protection against trade-secrets being leaked beyond standard NDAs.
This tool builds on our published work about what is in a name. People perceive a lot of things when they see someone's name--not just race! We're trying to get our arms around this. sociologicalscience.com/articles-v9-... nature.com/articles/s41...
Running an experiment to study racial discrimination? Going to use names to signal race? Here's a new tool! This helps you to choose the names you want to use based on: 1.) the strength of the racial signal you want to send 2.) whether you want to hold other factors (e.g., class) constant
The event study results from a widely cited PS article... (They only report static diff-in-diffs)
"The Social Costs of ICE Enforcement" papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers....
Each ICE operation generates roughly $196,000 in monthly losses for nearby businesses and communities. (That's 11x the government's administrative cost of a deportation.) Why? ICE activity decreases foot traffic in those public areas.
Irony is dead. Widely circulated report that slams the humanities for a lack of rigor is ... not itself rigorous. Humanities certainly have lots of issues, but we can do better than this.
Only 9.9% of top Sociology articles from 2019-2024 provided replication packages. And ≈ half of those with replication packages could not be verified due to missing or incomplete materials. www.econstor.eu/bitstream/10...
Which methods savvy person wants to work on this short note with me?
"Growth mindset" may just be the most widely adopted scam finding from psychology. www.nber.org/papers/w35230
After childbirth, mothers take off 7 weeks on average, while fathers take off 3 days.
when reviewers demand endless robustness checks you get papers like this
This is fine. "When effortless understanding becomes the default, human relationships may start feeling like insufficient versions of what AI readily provides."
Conservatives experienced worsening health & higher mortality than liberals in the 2010s Why? "Declining trust in [doctors] among right-leaning individuals, including lower willingness to seek care, follow clinical advice or believe in medication effectiveness, even for issues unrelated to COVID"
"The Effects of a Women’s Mentoring Workshop on Career Outcomes in Political Science" www.cambridge.org/core/journal...
Did APSA's mentoring program for women PhDs... Improve their sense of belonging? ✅ Increase number of presentations? ❌ Lead to more internal/external grants? ❌ Increase submissions to top journals? ❌ Increase pubs? ❌ If anything, it may have decreased submissions/citations (barely not stat sig)
What if the US News ranked political science schools only on # of recent Top 3's? Top 10: 1. UC-Berkeley 2. Rochester 3. Stanford 4. Yale 5. Columbia 6. WashU 7. Penn 8. Harvard 9. UChicago 10. Princeton Big risers: Rochester, Penn, Temple, FSU, GWU, UVA Big fallers: Princeton, Michigan, MIT
Data centers increase employment rates in surrounding communities. They also place upward pressure on home and electricity prices.