Running Backs in the +95th Percentile in my Prospect Model - Rookie Year Averages (~2025 rank): 13.7 Expected Fantasy Points (RB10) 15.3 Half-PPR Points (RB8) Jeremiyah Love is set to join the list below as a 97th-percentile prospect:

Looking back at recent rookie WR seasons, two clearly stand out: Odell Beckham Jr Malik Nabers They are the only rookie WRs to average +16.0 Expected Fantasy Points (99th percentile usage value) since 2013

How do this year's TE1 & TE2 compare to the last decade of prospects in my rookie TE model? Brock Bowers remains the highest-graded TE (99.9th %ile) Kenyon Sadiq is in solid company as a 95th percentile prospect Still hopeful Michael Mayer eventually gets an opportunity as TE1

Running Back Prospects This was the case pre-draft, and still holds true post-draft … the 2026 class has the largest drop-off from RB1 (Jeremiyah Love) to RB2 (Jadarian Price) Christian McCaffrey and Saquon Barkley remain the highest-graded RBs in the model

How do this year's WR1 & WR2 compare to the last decade of prospects in my rookie WR model? 2010 & 2011 had four of the most elite WR prospects 2016 & 2017 with some disappointing misses 2020 to 2023 with a solid run of WR1s. TBD on whether 2024/2025 will continue that streak

The closest I’ve gotten to 82-0

The fun of playing Dynasty Football is how drastically values can change over time. Looking back at this trade, I remember thinking how risky it might be to trade away both Dak and Aiyuk for an upgrade at TE.

Updated RB chart with NFL Landing Spots and with the "grade" column correctly sorted. Percentiles and metrics remain unchanged.

Jeremiah Smith - Ohio State Here's where Smith currently ranks in my rookie model through 2 years at Ohio State Assuming mid-1st round draft capital (and he’ll likely get drafted even earlier), Smith already projects to be an elite WR prospect in the +99th percentile.

Lastly, how does the 2026 class compare to the previous two drafts? • Brock Bowers remains the highest graded TE in my process • Sadiq ranks as the TE4 over the last three years • Fannin Jr. continues to stand out as the most productive prospect in recent history [8 of 8]

Max Klare vs Terrance Ferguson Ironically, both have similar grades (~85th percentile) in my model for different reasons. Ferguson is the better athlete, but I prefer Klare, who has the superior receiving profile (95th percentile R-Sophomore season + earlier breakout) [5 of 8]

Eli Stowers - Vanderbilt There's a lot of green in his production profile, leading the class in best-season Rec Yards per Team Pass Attempt (2.11) and Yards per Route Run (2.34) Despite missing the 90th percentile mark, there's a lot of upside in his dynasty outlook [4 of 8]

Kenyon Sadiq - Oregon Despite only a 78th percentile schedule-adjusted production score, his elite athletic profile (99th %ile) + 1st Round Capital are enough to push him into the +90th percentile Closest comps: OJ Howard (TE5 in PPG in Year 2) Noah Fant [3 of 8]

Tight End Prospect Model 2026 Class Below are the post-draft results of my TE prospect model, which uses production, athleticism & projected draft capital to evaluate the 2026 class Breakdowns, hit rates, & comps in the thread below! [1 of 8]

Lastly, how does the 2026 class compare to the last two drafts? While there isn't a prospect that grades as high as MHJ, Nabers, or McMillan, the 2026 class still holds 4 of the Top 10 WR prospects over the last three years [11 of 11]

Day 3 WRs rarely hit at only a 3.3% breakout rate However, we do see higher hit rates (9%) among WRs with positive experience-adjusted production The only Day 3 WR to check this box is Elijah Sarratt, who remains my favorite mid-round WR [9 of 11]

What makes KC Concepcion such an intriguing prospect? ✅ 1st Round Capital ✅ Positive Experience Adj. Production ✅ 97th Percentile Freshman Season at NC State As one of the most versatile receivers, he has the potential to emerge as the WR1 for the Browns [6 of 11]

Makai Lemon grades as the WR3, narrowly missing the 90th percentile mark. Despite that, he remains one of the top WR prospects after a ~90th percentile Junior year Assuming AJ Brown is traded, Lemon should find plenty of opportunities in Philly [5 of 11]

Jordyn Tyson leads this class in Experience-Adjusted Production, one of the most predictive metrics. Assuming he stays healthy, he holds significant upside for fantasy Keep in mind that WRs in the +90th percentile have averaged a 71% hit rate since 2013 [4 of 11]

Why is Carnell Tate the WR1? Beyond draft capital, Tate ranks near the top in schedule/team adjusted production, QB Rating when Targeted, and Success Rate Despite a late breakout (playing next to Jeremiah Smith), he was highly efficient throughout his entire career [3 of 11]

Wide Receiver Prospect Model 2026 Class Below are the post-draft results of my WR prospect model, which uses experience-adjusted production, efficiency, & draft capital to evaluate the 2026 class Breakdowns, hit rates, & comps vs 2024/2025 class in the thread below! [1 of 11]

Finally, how does the 2026 RB class compare to the last two drafts? • Jeremiyah Love ranks right next to Ashton Jeanty and ahead of Hampton, Judkins, and Henderson • The 2025 class is clearly one of the deepest in recent history • Jadarian Price: RB10 since 2024 [9 of 9]

Overall, this is clearly one of the weakest RB classes in recent history For one, only 13 RBs were drafted this year, the lowest since 2010 My RB model also only has 3 prospects graded above the 60th percentile, the lowest of any class going back to 2013 [2 of 9]

Running Back Prospect Model 2026 Class Below are the post-draft results of my RB prospect model, which uses experience-adjusted production, efficiency, & draft capital to evaluate the 2026 class Breakdowns, hit rates, & comps vs 2024/2025 class in the thread below! ⬇️ [1 of 9]

Below are Navy RB Eli Heidenreich’s Percentiles among RBs drafted since 2013 Because of his heavy usage as a receiver, his efficiency metrics are off the charts. He’s essentially a WR among RBs, which makes him a tougher evaluation from an analytical perspective.

Outside of the top prospects, I'm looking forward to seeing where Elijah Sarratt gets selected in the NFL Draft Among the 2026 class, he ranks as: WR3 in Experience-Adjusted Production WR2 in Receiving Yards/Team Pass Attempt WR1 in QBR when Targeted WR4 in Yards per Route Run

How do this year's RB1 and RB2 compare to the last decade of prospects in my rookie RB model? 2026 projects to have the largest gap between the RB1 (Jeremiyah Love) and the projected RB2 2017 has the smallest percentile gap with two elite prospects in CMC & Leonard Fournette

Finally, how does this class compare to recent drafts: • Sadiq is a Top 5 prospect, but would only be the TE3 in the 2025 class • Stowers ranks within the top 6, right behind Fannin Jr • Brock Bowers remains the highest graded TE in my model since 2013 [7 of 7]

Tight End Prospect Model 2026 Class Below are the pre-draft results of my TE prospect model, which uses production, athleticism & projected draft capital to evaluate the 2026 class Breakdowns, hit rates, & comps in the thread below! [1 of 7]

Carnell Tate’s combine performance barely moved him in my process. For now, he remains the 94th percentile when we factor in adjusted production, efficiency, and estimated draft capital He still projects to be one of the better WRs in recent drafts: