James
@mcjamesz
I got lost somewhere along the way. 🏳️🌈 I-ADHD, Depression, Anxiety. Nerdy. 🇬🇧🏴 Manchester. Interested in data analysis, politics, maps, dogs, strategic games, history.
I'm not sure ominous is quite the right word. The ominous thing already happened, all that is left is ruins & a grey lady haunting a staircase.
It's much better for the left vote given it's more split, but it's still split 3 ways, & there isn't a clear frontrunner. If people don't vote tactically with both votes (Green & Labour, either order), Reform are still in poll position, they will pick up most Tory (& Restore) supplementary votes.
It's a couple of months old, but More In Common had 24% of Tories would vote anti Reform.
From r/mapporn (no source listed) Gorton & Denton below & South of the ER of MANCHESTER, to Denton. Etihad is North of the E in MANCHESTER, & Old Trafford beneath the M.
The Conservatives are already facing oblivion. Boris Johnson still has attraction for many Reform voters, & Tories remaining voters like him more than current options. There are people that despise him, but they've already gone elsewhere. He is a good communicator, when Tories & Labour have none.
Lancashire Ref +51, Lab -27 LD +3, Gr +4. (Con -40) No boundary changes here & more of a split in Labour's losses, but still majority Reform. Labour's losses Ref -15 Ind -7 Gr -3 LD -1 Oth -1
Northumberland Ref +23, Lab -12 LD=, Gr= (Con -10) 2/3 of its population is in the SE corner, mostly Labour red before the election. More Labour seats went Reform than Tory seats went Reform, & notice those two extra Labour seats in the West replacing Tories.
Durham Lab -49, Ref +65. LD -3, Gr+1. Notice that the sea of red in the East turns light blue Reform. But new constituencies appear red in the rural North & West. That small new red dot is Barnard Castle, in case you need your eyes tested.
Doncaster went from Labour control to Reform. Labour -24, Reform +37. No Lib Dem or Green seats. Looking at the ward map, notice that most of the Labour red areas became light blue Reform areas, & some of the blue Tory areas became light blue.
The 6'3", 224lb man has a BMI of 28, firmly in the overweight category & nowhere near morbidly obese. To say he's morbidly obese would require an accurate weight of at least 320lb (22st 12lb). Attached: a picture of a 44 year old 6'3", 224lb man, with a body shape identical to Donald Trump Senior.
Manchester Transport Museum The route of the late, great Pic Vic Tunnel. Roughly follows the second city crossing Metrolink route, then goes between St Peters Sq & Piccadilly via Whitworth St.
Manchester Transport Museum. Women conductors wanted. Stay out of the Men's dining room though.