Nicolas Tenzer
@nicolastenzer
Former guest Prof Sciences Po, Sr Fellow CEPA, Sr civil servant Blogger IR Derniers livres : Fin de la politique des grandes puissances, Notre Guerre Ed. l'Observatoire #HumanRights #InternationalAffairs #SlavaUkraini
Three old, well-worn russian propaganda tricks are gaining ground these days. 1 Threats of nuclear war if we help Ukraine win; 2 The danger of alleged out-of-control chaos in russia following its defeat; 3 A ceasefire agreement. The last narrative is the most dangerous as some are pushing for it.
Words matter. There's no russian-Ukrainian war, but a russian war ag/ Kyiv. There's no russian retaliation for the strikes on their refineries, but a lawful Ukrainian response to russian mass crimes and aggression. The aim isn't to pressure Moscow to come to the negotiation table, but to defeat it.
We must repeat this tirelessly: either Ukraine wins—and with it, Europe—and russia loses, or the opposite happens. It's a zero-sum game. There's no middle ground in the harsh reality of the facts. Hence, logically, there can be no intermediary strategy. Time for Europe to speak and act accordingly.
Glad to see that some leaders—because Kyiv's winning—are now aligning themselves, albeit half-heartedly, with the narrative we’ve been promoting from the start: that of Ukraine’s victory. That's good. I hope they aren’t just jumping on the bandwagon of a victory they didn’t always support as such...
Dear Armed Forces of Ukraine, we love you. You are accomplishing on your own what the allied forces should have helped you achieve since 2022. Note: Moscow Refinery in Kapotnya covers 40% of Moscow’s fuel needs and 70% of regional demand for gasoline and jet fuel. Amazing job! More to come soon!
It was a great pleasure to meet and talk yesterday with Iryna Terekh, 34, CEO and CTO of Fire Point, the leading Ukrainian defense company that is achieving terrific feats with its drones and Flamingo missiles. 6,000 employees in 2026 compared to 20 in 2023: this is Ukraine. Слава Україні!
A theory voiced by one of my contacts tonight: All this talk of discussions with russia being pushed by certain European leaders is just a charade intended for the Americans. Those leaders aren’t that stupid: they know it would actually lead nowhere and there’s nothing to discuss. Hope he’s right.
The very idea that there could be talks, let's alone negotiations, with russia is a major strategic blunder. Not only is it a dead end, but it also puts Europe's security at risk.
Demain, à 8 heures, j'aurai le plaisir d'être l'invité d'@orianemancini.bsky.social sur @publicsenat.fr pour un large tour d'horizon sur les principaux défis géostratégiques - il devrait être question de Chine, de Russie, des Etats-Unis... et d'Europe. Je serais très heureux de vous retrouver.
Mom loved New York, where she worked for six years as the second-in-command at the Belgian Mission to the United Nations. I was conceived there. Was it ultimately another world, or already our own? In Memoriam. 8/8
That duty she expressed must be ours more than ever. Mom passed away on August 31, 2001. So she did not witness September 11. I have often thought of this with a sense of relief. 7/8
I quoted one of her sayings: “My comrades in the Resistance and I were certain of one thing: the duty to fight the absolute evil that stood before us.” She would sometimes add: “We didn’t know if, individually, we would return, but we knew we would prevail.” Those words still haunt me. 6/8
by discovering the world, reading, but also by her commitments. Mom always believed that not only did her own involvement in the Resistance bind her for life, but that the miraculous fact of her survival conferred upon her a special calling. In my book *Our War: Crime and Oblivion*, 5/8
ending in Ravensbrück. When she was rescued by the Swedish Red Cross, she weighed 30 kg. A few more days, and she would not have survived. Afterward, she had a long diplomatic career and a life marked simply by love—my father was undoubtedly not the main one—by wonder, particularly musical one, 4/8
I won’t recount her story in detail again, as I have often done on previous April 30ths. In 1943, while fighting in the Resistance in Belgium, she was arrested by the Gestapo. Fortunately, false papers concealed the fact that she was Jewish. What followed was a long journey from prison to camp, 3/8
due to the pogroms in the early 1900s. On April 30, 1945, Mom was 25 years old. It was also the day Hitler committed suicide. Above all, it was the day of the liberation of the Ravensbrück concentration camp, where mostly women were imprisoned—and murdered. My mother was there. 2/8
April 30 is a day of remembrance and commemoration for me every year. Today, my mother, Martha Sarah Tenzer, would have turned 106. She was the daughter of Osjer Tenzer (1886–1960), born in Roswadów, and Matylda Alte Neuberg, born in Krakow (1891–1960). They had fled what is now Poland... 1/8
Yesterday before my departure from Kyiv. Amazing Kyiv Security Forum, each year more exceptional, three book-launch events/conferences for Our War in Ukrainian, separate talks with Ukrainian officials/friends, some visits also outside Kyiv—always too short. This is not a slogan. Here's the strategy!
An inextinguishable sorrow, but moreover, an unbreakable resolve to crush russia for good and to hunt the russian criminals to the last one. Let's be faithful to the legacy of Nuremberg that Europe is built upon! In Kyiv yesterday. Now back home after a four-day stay in Ukraine. More to come.
Київ Це був чудовий момент: три години розмови з нагоди презентації українського перекладу моєї книги «Наша війна. Злочин і забуття», зокрема з моїм другом Костянтином Сіговим, директором видавництва «Дух і літера», та Сергієм Квітом, ректором Національного університету «Києво-Могилянська академія».
Good morning, Kyiv! Some full days ahead. My seventh trip to Ukraine since February 24, 2022. With emotion and confidence. To predict Ukraine's full victory is nothing but rational thinking.
I just came back from some days in Africa. Here’s what you find on the streets of Dakar. russia’s propaganda channel is running outdoor adverts. One of the slogans reads ‘the future belongs to you.’ Reality check: they’re using Africans as cannon fodder, when their militias aren’t murdering them.
They questioned Lavrov. Would they have interviewed Osama bin Laden, Abu Bakr al-Baghdadi, or Nasrallah? Fortunately not. Yet the russian regime, of which Lavrov is a part, has murdered even more civilians than those terrorist leaders combined. Let us never gloss over this fact.
It was a pleasure to speak with Lithuanian MFA Kestutis Budrys this morning. As always when talking with my Lithuanian counterparts, I am impressed by their strategic acumen, their clarity on principles and objectives, and their deep understanding of key security issues, notably on Ukraine.
His name was Hordiy Udovychenko. He was killed on the night of March 7, 2026, alongside his mother Olena. He was murdered by the russians for being Ukrainian, just as the Nazis assassinated Jewish children for being Jews. And because we, in the West, did not want to take action. Unbearable.
When you consider the forces that the US deployed (not necessarily used) to attack Iran, with a quarter of those assets, they could have striked russian forces in Ukraine in 2014, 2022, and still now. It would have put an end to the war (and sent a strong message to Tehran). Highly frustrating.
Large rally today in Paris in support of Ukraine. Thousands took to the streets. This commemoration should never have taken place: since 2022, the Allies should have defeated russia and spared more than a hundred thousand Ukrainian victims. No decisive action. A tragically bitter taste. #OurGuilt
While russia's all-out and genocidal war against Ukraine began on February 24, 2022, it should be remembered that the war actually began on February 20, 2014, with the invasion of Crimea, followed by that of Donbass. Western leaders looked the other way and did nothing to stop Moscow. Their guilt.
Some ask about the difference between the US lack of regulation of social media and the EU regulation. Notably in France, this would have been prosecuted for incitement to racial hatred—rightly so. Freedom of speech doesn't allow racism, anti-Semitism, or any other form of hatred and discrimination.
Are there still GOP representatives and senators who are sufficiently faithful to the principles of truth, rule of law, dignity and justice—or even just simply human—to condemn the murders of Renee Good and Alex Pretti? The future of US democracy depends on the answer to this question.