Ryan Stauffer
@ryanswx
2025 J.D. Power #1 Ranked Virtual Storm Chaser
It is going to be very difficult for DC to hit 102 and 103°F with smoke shrouding the sky. Now more skeptical of extreme heat this week
We might be looking at a June 2023 repeat this week. Plenty of uncertainty but the fires are currently raging and pouring tons of smoke towards us today
Unreal. Just look at this outbreak of wildfires near the US/Canada border as seen on radar. Climate change has consequences…
Our paper on the 2024 Satellite Coastal and Oceanic Atmospheric Pollution Experiment 2 (SCOAPE-II) is now posted online in BAMS! Instead of caving on naming convention I spend literally the entire paper just calling it “The Gulf”: journals.ametsoc.org/view/journal...
More showers appear to be incoming. Guests will be treated to a pre-recorded message
A robust bay breeze has pushed nearly all the way to DC. Will be interesting to see how this and the storms + storm outflow interact
The daily Niño 3.4 anomaly is already above +1.5°C and suddenly the +3-4°C forecasts don’t seem so crazy…https://cyclonicwx.com/data/sst/crw_ssta_graph_nino34.png
Who turned the knob to 11 on the NASA GMAO SST forecast? A Nino 3.4 value approaching +4°C? lol gmao.gsfc.nasa.gov/seasonal-for... iri.columbia.edu/our-expertis...
Looks like global ocean temperatures have increased somewhat rapidly to near all-time record values, even without an existing (although emerging) El Nino: climatereanalyzer.org/clim/sst_dai...
Potomac water temperature has gone up about 6°F the past few days but it is still cool enough to noticeably moderate DCA's air temperature with a southerly wind www.ndbc.noaa.gov/station_page...
