🩷🖤 NEW FEATURES in version 3.0 of bsvarSIGNs 🩷 BVAR with COVID-specific volatility as in Lenza, Primiceri (2022, JAE) 🖤 Small-open economy model with sign and narrative restrictions 🩷 Even faster parallel computations for posterior sampling 🖤 More info at: bsvars.org/bsvarSIGNs/ #bsvarSIGNs #rstats

🖤🩷 WOW! 🩷🖤 🖤🩷 Version 3.0 of our R package bsvarSIGNs is on CRAN now! 🩷🖤 🖤🩷 And it has new superb features! 🩷🖤 🌐 have a look: bsvars.org/bsvarSIGNs/ #bsvarSIGNs #rstats #foss #structural #BVARs #macro #forecasting #econsky

🖤🩷 Big news! bsvarSIGNs version 3.0 is on CRAN now! And it's great! 🩷🖤 🌐 have a look: cran.r-project.org/package=bsva... Thanks @adamwang15.bsky.social #bsvarSIGNs #rstats #foss #structural #BVARs #macro #forecasting #econsky

🌟🌟🌟 bsvarSIGNs has reached 10K downloads 🌟🌟🌟 🌟🌟🌟 Thanks to all of you who downloaded and used the package! 🌟🌟🌟 🌟🌟🌟 bsvars.org 🌟🌟🌟 🌟 More goodies is coming soon! #bsvarSIGNs #rstats #foss #econsky

⭐⭐⭐ bsvars has reached 30K downloads! ⭐⭐⭐ ⭐⭐⭐ Infinite thanks to all the users! Thank you! ⭐⭐⭐ ⭐⭐⭐ bsvars.org ⭐⭐⭐ ⭐ Watch this space! There's lots of new things coming! #bsvars #rstats #foss #econsky

🖤💙 Save the date! 💙💛 My Workshop for Ukraine organised by @dariia.bsky.social is "All About bpvars" and takes place on Sep 10! Pls remember to register and see you then! 🌐 sites.google.com/view/dariia-... #w4UKR #bpvars #rstats

This would be the counter argument! cdn2.penguin.com.au/covers/origi...

❤️💛💚 Coming up soon! I'm presenting the newest version of our R package bpvars for forecasting with Panel Vector Autoregressions at Ghana R Conference! 🖤💙 I cant wait! 🌐 ghana-rusers.org/events/?even... #rstats #Ghana #useR #forecasting #bpvars

🌟 we use non-centred stochastic volatility for structural VARs ✨ with a prior for variances centred at homoskedasticity with strong shrinkage 💫 verify partial identification of a shock ⭐ efficient estimation and normalisation 💛 great for fiscal policy 💝 the paper behind my R package bsvars #bsvars

⭐ It's official now! ✨ Our latest paper is out in the Journal of Econometrics 💫 doi.org/10.1016/j.je... ⭐ Partial identification of structural vector autoregressions with non-centred stochastic volatility 💛 #econometrics #bsvars #identification #verification #fiscal

Only good vibes! 🛝 #rstats

🪐Today was the day! …for the final exam for my subject Quantitative Methods 1 at the @unimelb.edu.au 🚀 The students were so brave but also prepared and focused! All the best, y’all! 🛸

✨ I believe we’re all set on the RISE! 📈 My forecasting system predicts this decision with a record-high 88 per cent probability, reflecting market expectations in light of the latest developments. My forecasts are available 🌐 forecasting-cash-rate.github.io #cashrate #forecast #rstats

BTW these dimensions are too small for my taste and I'm printing them larger :) But I have a logo for every package, subject I teach, and a side gig, so I have my own wall/door :) (The STATA sticker is a prank from my colleague who put it up there after a STATA conference at our uni 😍) #rstats

UUuuuu! I'm gonna love this thread! I love cultural archeology! ...and I love HEX logos and STICKERS! It's so much fun with it (and I'm 40yo)! There is even recommended printed HEX sticker dimensions in the book R Packages :) r-pkgs.org/website.html...

Alright! Today we premiered the logo of my subject Quantitative Methods 1. Ofc, it presents linear regression output. My question to you is: what's the applied problem we're talking about here? Can you guess? Reproduction scripts: github.com/donotdespair... #qm1 #unimelb #econometrics #rstats

🪴 Everybody thinks so! My forecasting system, with nearly 200 predictive models, provides an 82 per cent chance of RAISE! 🚀 This probability is in line with those provided by analytical departments and expresses the market expectations ✅ 🌐 forecasting-cash-rate.github.io #cashrate #rba #rstats

I have even better one 💝 same model though!

💖 Our newest working paper is now available on arxiv doi.org/10.48550/arX... 💝 We propose a new volatility model for structural vector autoregressions! 🎀 And it's great for even more precise estimation, homoskedasticity verification, forecasting, and structural analyses! #bsvars #rstats #econsky

We remember about folks inspiring and motivating us! #bsvars #bayesian #macroeconometrics

✨⭐ Here it comes! A new paper with fantastic Fei Shang That's another methodological paper for the R package bsvars! 🩷💛 Just have a look at the abstract! Rest assured we provide solid backing for each of them 🦾💪 More details coming up soon. #bsvars #forecasting #MarkovSwitching #rstats #econsky

The video features the fantastic posters from the previous round of enterprise bargaining ✊ (a new round is now open) and plants! 🪴 @nteunion.bsky.social @nteuunimelb.bsky.social

The new issue of the R Journal is out! Have a look! 👀 🌐 journal.r-project.org/issues/2025-4/ My pick is the paper about the R package elhmc for Hamiltonian MC in Bayesian empirical likelihood 📄 journal.r-project.org/articles/RJ-... What's your fav? #Rjournal #rstats

Have a look at this! 🖤💙 That's my presentation of the forecasting system I developed for the International Labour Organization and implemented in the R package bpvars! Slides are available at 🌐 bsvars.org/2026-03-bpva... #ilo #labourmarket #forecast #bpvars #rstats #econsky

Rather not! I don’t know! 🤷‍♀️ According to my forecasting system, the cash rate is set to hold steady. Despite the forecast mean being on a clear upwards trajectory, the forecast intervals include the current cash rate value decisively. I’m sticking with my call: HOLD! 🛑 #cashrate #forecast #rstats

Hey hey, please join me for my webinar for the International Labour Organization next Wednesday that includes precentation of my R package bpvars 💙🖤 🌐 Registrations and info: www.ilo.org/meetings-and... #bsvars #bpvars #forecasting #labour #un #ilo #rstats #econsky

It’s a RAISE! And maybe for the better! Inflation readings consistently outside of RBA’s target convinced everybody about the inevitability of the RAISEs. The current cash rate value is decisively outside of the predictive interval and the mean indicates an increase in its value. #rstats #rba

⬛🟦⚪ Two years in the making! In a fantastic collaboration with Miguel from the International Labour Organisation! 🖤💙 The 'bpvars' package for Forecasting with Bayesian Panel Vector Autoregressions is out on CRAN! And it's spectacular! cran.r-project.org/package=bpvars #bpvars #bsvars.org #rstats

Let’s take a deep breath! We all know that the RBA will not move the cash rate. Various forces pull in opposite directions, but both, a CUT and a HIKE, are not consistent with RBA’s mandate, communication, and practice ATM. And we mostly benefited from this reserved approach in recent years. #rstats