Lil’ Donny B 🍞&🎪🎪
@lildonnyb
Anti-Capitalist, kitten parent, election data nerd, and guy trying to help people where I can. I am fine with spirited debate, my ideas can be annoying to many, but I won’t tolerate insults. Columbus Ohio
This Marquette polling data for Wisconsin Governor primary and how hard Francesca Hong is trouncing the field. I mean it’s a bloodbath. There are still a lot of undecideds but she already has overwhelming majority support 29 and under. 30-44 a clear majority. 16 points up law.marquette.edu/poll/
These two charts are informative. They track excess death data since 1980 in the United States. Before Reagan took office we didn’t have excess deaths. A few years into his term they started growing as neoloberalism swept the western world. Also worth noting the increased rate of growth of excess
They voted for Trump because they would have voted for any Republican. They voted enthusiastically, gleefully even, for Trump because he made it safe for them to be outwardly racist. The Republican vote, aside from the Perot years, has been remarkably stable.
I am blocking this guy because he blocked my ability to reply to him on this thread where he started quote posting me in the first place. But I do want to point out that democrats focus on a handful of districts for this red to blue stuff. They do not try to build the party everywhere.
I blocked this guy because he set it so I can’t reply to him. But he is arguing from a perspective on how he BELIEVES voters ought to behave. We have lots of evidence voters DO NOT behave this way (Trump winning twice paramount among them) which is my point. Democrats need to stop campaigning the
Yeah, post this without allowing replies is kind of funny. Two things: 1. We were not sock puppets. 2. We have moved on.
You can post the cropped manipulatively presented poly market data over and over again. It does not become any less manipulative due to repeated posting. Here is the actual polymarket data since last November.
Aside from that here is what happened to the vote by race and gender equality n the states that flipped compared to what happened in 2020.
Just ignoring facts is gonna cost you. Here is what happened in the states that flipped compared to 2020 numbers. Harris broke even with Biden with white men. Beat Biden with white women. Beat Biden with Latino women, but underperformed Biden with black men, black women and Latino men.
Here is democratic representation in Congress after the 2024 election cycle. This has of course changed as everyone is older now. They have zero people from the youngest half of the adult population in any leadership role for example. 45.8% of ALL democratic congress members are 64 and older.
And half the population, people without degrees, still earning on average about 3% less in 2016 than they were in 2007.
Had the leftists in California voted for Harris she still loses. She got roughly the same vote count Biden got in the 6 states that flipped. She lost a ton of vote in her home state, New York and so on. In the states that flipped she lost ground to Trump with high school or less educated
It was pretty overwhelming. He added 11 million votes to the Dem tally from 2016. An unprecedented surge in vote.
These two charts show the largest individual demographic groups that changed from one cycle to the next. The most lost ground came from high school or less educated likely black likely suburban likely women in households earning between $25k -$50k. Not ideologues or purists. My guess is these