lines down (@linesdown) · DIRTY

lines down

@linesdown

Economic indicators for the left.

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lines down@linesdown· 3d

Tooze lol

Twitter post from Adam Tooze:

Adam Tooze
@adam_tooze
X.com
Saw the film of the moment ... and what have we even been discussing? Forget finer points of historical detail or textual interpretation, even on its own terms, just as an action-quest this version of the Odyssey is a grotesque, puerile failure.
Last edited 6:43 AM • 2026-08-09 • 3.2K Views

lines down@linesdown· 13d

Warsh makes the bond market vomit

Bonds Bewitched, Bothered and Bewildered
Treasuries swung violently during the Warsh press conference, then reshuffled
Press Conference
/ 30-Year Treasury Yield
2-Year Treasury Yield

lines down@linesdown· 14d

US home sales

— Pending Home Sales (2mma) - Existing Home Sales (1m Lagged)
130
6500K
120
6000K
110
5500K
100
5000K
90
4500K
80
4000K
70
2021
2022
2023
2024
2025
2026
The Daily Shot"

lines down@linesdown· 14d

The Korean stock market

Korea SE KOSPI Index
— 5,663.24 / - 5.98%
•.•-• 200dma

lines down@linesdown· 14d

China is leading on electrification

China has electrified more quickly than Europe and the United States
Electricity generation as a share of total energy supply (%)
China
20
Europe
US
15
10
5
1985
1990
1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025
This data is a proxy for electrification rates, normally calculated using final energy consumption.

lines down@linesdown· 14d

Eurozone wage growth

Euro-Zone Wage Growth to Accelerate Into
2027
/ Wage tracker
/ Wage tracker excluding one-off payments
Wage tracker with unsmoothed one-off payments

lines down@linesdown· 14d

Rhine River level

Rhine Water Level at Record Low for July
The key Kaub chokepoint is the shallowest for this time of year since at least 1990, and is close to breaching the October 2018 low of 0.25 meters
2026
/ 2018
1990-2025 excluding 2018

lines down@linesdown· 21d

Tanker traffic through the Strait of Hormuz, Bab el-Mandeb and Suez Canal.

Chokepoint Crossings: Tankers
30 Day Moving Average -- Updated Every 30 Minutes
-70
-60
- 50
• Hormuz
•Bab el-Mandeb 15
• Suez
11
18
- 40
-30
Number of Vessels
20
18
15
11
ECAN HORMUZ<GO>
- O
2021
2022
2023
2024
Source: Bloomberg, ECAN<Go>, WSL SHIPPING< GO>
TRHBTKCD Index (HOR Tnkr Xings) Chokepoint Traffic 30D Daily 23JUL2021-223UL2026
2025
Copyrights 2026 Bloomberg Finance L.P.
2026
22-Jul-2026 09:31:17

lines down@linesdown· 26d

US retail sales

US Real Retail Sales vs. Pre-Pandemic Trend
— Real Retail Sales (In)
— Pre-Pandemic Trend
8.20
11w8.10
8.00
7.90
7.80
7.70
7.60
2010
2015
2020
2025
The Daily Shot"

lines down@linesdown· 26d

Model of what’s coming for southern Ontario and the US east coast from Firesmoke.ca

lines down@linesdown· 27d

Prices of electronic components and accessories

Chart 2: Al demand and supply shortages pushing up electronics prices
US: PPI for electronic components & accessories
% y/y
30
Posted on
The Daily Shot
16-Jul-2026
@SoberLook
25
20
15
10
5
-5
2021
2022
2023
2024
2025
2026
Sources: Oxford Economics, Haver Analytics

lines down@linesdown· 27d

Oil and growth really started separating in the late 70s

Global fossil fuel growth is slowing while GDP continues to grow, having started decoupling in 1979
Fossil supply and GDP, rebased (1965 = 100)
GDP
600
400
200
Fossil fuel supply
0
1965
1985
2005
Source: World Bank
Global GDP is at constant 2015 USD prices. Fossil fuel demand refers to total energy supply from fossil fuels.
2025
Almost all of the growth in fossil fuel consumption in the last decade has taken place in the Asia-Pacific region. Global fossil fuel consumption grew by 47.8EJ in the period from 2016-2025, with Asia-Pacific alone growing by 44.5EJ.

lines down@linesdown· 27d

The growth of solar energy in Pakistan

Pakistan's rooftop solar revolution pushed solar to account for a fifth of its electricity generation in 2025
Solar
Other low carbon
Fossil
Rooftop solar capacity (GW)
Electricity generation (%)
20
15
10
5
100
80
60
40
20
2015
2020
2025
Rooftop solar capacity includes behind-the-meter and off grid solar capacity
Source: S&P Global Energy
2015
2020
2025

lines down@linesdown· 27d

North America was the only part of the world to increase its carbon intensity in 2025

North America is the only region to increase its carbon intensity of energy in 2025
Change in carbon intensity of total energy supply (%)
North America
CIS
Europe
Middle East
World
Africa
South & Central
America
Asia Pacific
- 1
-0.8 -0.6
-0.4
Measured as CO, emissions per EJ
-0.2
0
0.2
0.4
0.6
0.8

lines down@linesdown· Jun 18

Canada new housing prices

17-Jun-26
Canada New Housing Price Index: Growth Rate
M/M: -0.3% (-0.1% est.) —
- Y/Y: -2.4%
3.0%
12%
May
2.5%
10%
2.0%
8%
1.5%
6%
1.0%
4%
0.5%
2%
0.0%
0%
-0.5%
-2%
2018
2020
2022
2024
Canada New Housing Price Index: Index
2026
125
120
115
110
105
100
2018
2020
2022
2024
2026
The Daily Shot®

lines down@linesdown· Jun 18

Import prices for computer peripherals and parts

chg, month-over-month
12
Import Prices of
Computer Peripherals, Accessories, and Parts (Seasonally Adjusted by GS)

lines down@linesdown· Jun 18

Stocks in the US strategic petroleum reserve fell to their lowest level since the early 80s

The United States Strategic Petroleum Reserve
6/15/26
714M
Desert Storm Sales
(22 million)
eb
Barr
700M
650M
600M
550M
500M
450M
400M
Clinton Administration Ordered
Non-Emergency Sales (28 million)
Arab Spring Sales
(30 milion)
Hurricane Katrina
(14 million)
9/16/21
621M
12/22/00
542M
4/17/86
497M
Clinton Adminstration Ordered Sales
Due To Low Heating Oil Inventories
(30 million)
Ukarine/Russia
War
SPR Capacity
SPR Inventory
3/16/26
415M
350M
300M
134203
342M
1985
1990
Source: Department of Energy, Bloomberg
7/28/23
347M
6/15/26
340M
1995
2000
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
© 2026 Bianco Research, L.L.C.

lines down@linesdown· Jun 18

US equities price vs earnings ratio

Shiller P/E (CAPE)
45
40
35
30
25
20
15
10
5
1920
1940
1960
1980
2000
2020

lines down@linesdown· Jun 18

US building permits

US Building Permits: Units
— May: 1.413M (1.42M est.)

lines down@linesdown· Jun 18

US retail sales

US Real Retail Sales vs. Pre-Pandemic Trend
— Real Retail Sales (In)
• Pre-Pandemic Trend
12.30
12.20
12.10
12.00
2010
2015
2020
2025
The Daily Shot®

lines down@linesdown· Jun 18

Cattle prices

18-Jun-26 04:47
Live Cattle Futures (1st Nearby)
- 255.93 / +0.08%
240
220
200
Jan 2025
Apr 2025
Jul 2025
Oct 2025
Jan 2026
180
Apr 2026
The Daily Shot®

lines down@linesdown· Jun 17

US housing construction

US Housing Units Under Construction
— Single-Family -
- Multifamilv

lines down@linesdown· Jun 17

US retail sales for cars

16-Jun-26
Retail Sales ex. Auto (M/M)
• Actual
CARTS Tracking: -0.2%
2.0%
1.5%
1.0%
. ..اما للاد. ١
0.5%
0.0%
-0.5%
- 1.0%
Jul 2023
Jan 2024
Jul 2024
Jan 2025
Jul 2025
Jan 2026
The Daily Shot®

lines down@linesdown· Jun 17

Chinese industrial production, high tech dominates growth

FIGURE 9. High-tech IP accelerated further...
% y/y
16
14
12
10
8
6
4
2
0
- IP
— IP: high-tech sectors
May-23
Nov-23
May-24
Nov-24
May-25
Nov-25
May-26
Source: Wind, Barclays Research

lines down@linesdown· Jun 17

US labor share of GDP 📉 vs profits 📈

Exhibit 5: Labour share declines as profit share dominates in the 21st century
Profits and wages as shares of GDP (%) - US
14
— Profits share of GDP (%)
Labour share of GDP (%, RHS)

lines down@linesdown· Jun 17

Effective tax rates 📉

Exhibit 1: Corporate tax rates fell from 1980s to 2020
Effective corporate tax rate. Historical constituents kept constant before year: 1989 (S&P 500), 1996 (FTSE 350), 2000 (SBF 120 and CDAX)
75%
65%
55%
- Germany (CDAX)
UK (FTSE 350)
-France (SBF 120)
— US (S&P 500)
45%
35%
25%
29%
26%
24%
• 20%
15%
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
Source: Datastream, Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research

lines down@linesdown· Jun 17

Iron ore demand is dropping

Iron Ore Slumps Below $100 as Supply Fears Build
( SGX futures
$115 a ton
110
105
100
95
90
Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr
May
Jun
2026
Source: Singapore Exchange

lines down@linesdown· Jun 17

Singapore electronics exports

Singapore Electronic Exports Grow Fastest on Record
/ Last Price
2000
2005
2010
Source: Statistics Singapore, Enterprise Singapore
2015
2020
Source: Statistics Singapore, Enterprise Singapore
100%
80
60
40
-40
2025
Bloomberg

lines down@linesdown· Jun 17

US housing starts

US Housing Starts: Units
— May: 1.177M (1.43M est.)

lines down@linesdown· Jun 14

What year is this?