Philippe Bocquier
@phbocquier
Migration & Health, Urbanisation, Africa, Europe. Event History Analysis, Causality. Others: Paleoanthropology, Paragliding, SBK, Movies, Novels.
Why? A country in a weaker trading position sees: - ↘️ GDP → ↘️ health budgets - ↘️ democracy → ↘️ priority for public services. ...and pays high price in ↗️lives lost. Traditional indices (trade centrality & openness) miss this. Relational tools (asymmetry) help identify power relationships.
I tested on panel data for 140 countries (2000–2024) the impact of relational indices on under-5 #mortality using structural modelling (SEM) in a Fundamental Cause Theory framework. Results were beyond expectations: asymmetry in #trade (a country dominated by others) increases U5MR by 19 to 57%!
New: The Atlas, newspaper from the makers of @codastory.com and @thecontinent.org. With nice photos too! Sign up for delivery via Signal or WhatsApp www.theatlasnewspaper.org
Interesting, as always, and again, what a powerful picture published in that issue!
Meanwhile, my pitiful attempt to get out of the earth attraction... 🪂
Amazing figures! Will be interesting to see post-Covid figures too.
Opening a discussion on the relative perception on fertility decline.
Happening now (cont'd): Maria Rita Testa, Prof. at Luiss Guido Carli University in Roma presenting on Concerns about #environment and #fertility, at a conference organized by Dutch- & French-speaking Belgium associations.
Happening now: Birgit Van Hout,UNFPA representative in Belgium, presenting on The Real #fertility crisis, conference organized by Dutch- & French-speaking Belgium associations.
Excellent ! 🤗 Une petite erreur d'encodage (peut-être à cause de l'accent sur la majuscule) :
Me, before and after marking students' work filled with #AI hallucinations and nonsense. #academia #halloween
Remarquable étude auprès de 900 immigrants d' #Afrique en #Belgique menée par @demographielln.bsky.social, l'IRD, UGent et VUB. Rapport d'analyse bientôt disponible sites.uclouvain.be/roam-be/?Pag...
Sjölander's #DAG (2020) for extended KM doesn't make sense to me. A vertex by def is a **variable** but here Y(0) is always = 0 (i.e. Y(1) is only observed if no event at t=0, as per equation 1 of the paper). Y(0) shouldn't be in DAG. @dingdingpeng.the100.ci @statsepi.bsky.social, any opinion?