According to the Federal Reserve Cleveland, inflation expectations over a 1-year horizon are 2.39% y/y, above the Fed's target of 2%. Looking out further, longer-term expectations move closer to 2%. #econsky

7-day weighted av. for Diesel currently at $4.8, up 21.8 cents from last week. Diesel engines in trucks, trains, boats, and barges transport nearly all products people consume. Relative to 12 months ago, this is a $1.04 increase. #econsky

7-day weighted av. price for gas currently at $3.99, up 7.6 cents from last week. Relative to 12 months ago, this is a 73 cent increase. #econsky

Banking and Finance Job Postings on Indeed in the United States at 102.6of the pre-pandemic baseline of 100% #econsky #indeed

How will dramatically lower energy consumption affect relative pricing of crypto currencies? Since the 'merge' on Sept. 15, 20222 Ethereum has gained approx. 20.4% in value, while Bitcoin has gained approx. 216.05% #crypto #econsky

Rents in the US have increased by 2.8% y/y in Jun 2026, down -0.08 p.p. from last month. #econsky

How broad based is the increase in #Inflation? Comparing all major CPI components to pre-pandemic levels #econsky

Core CPI inflation inflation for Jun 2026 came in at 3.4% y/y, down -0.68 p.p. from last month. CPI ex. energy and food at 2.53%. #inflation #econsky

On average, prices for alcoholic #beverages (away from home) have increased 3.32% y/y, down -0.16 p.p. from last month. Posting for a friend ;-) #econsky

#CPIs for medial goods, recreation, education: Showing details behind the topline number #Inflation #econsky

#CPIs for food, housing, apparel: Details behind the topline number #Inflation #econsky

On 10 July the Nominal Broad U.S. Dollar Index stood at 120.5046. Relative to a month ago, this is approx. an increase of 0.96%. Relative to a year ago, USD is about 0.49% higher. The index is weighted against a broad group of trading partners #exchangerate #usd #econsky

The IMF's Global Food Price index has risen by 4.3% in Jun 2026, relative to last year #foodprices #commodities #econsky

Global prices for Natural Gas for the month of Jun 2026 averaged $15.09 per Million Metric British Thermal Units. Relative to the prior month, that's down $-1.06 or -6.6% #naturalgas #commodities #econsky

Global Copper prices for the month of Jun 2026 averaged $13552.04 per metric ton. Relative to the prior month, that's up $39.88 or 0.3% #commodities #copper #econsky

Update on prices for Liquified Natural Gas (LNG): The IMF's index for LNG prices in Asia in Jun 2026 came in at 17.19, which is a decrease of -5.04%, relative to the prior month #energy #commodities #econsky

The IMF's Global Energy Price index for the month of Jun 2026 came in at 198.8, which is a decrease of -14.31%, relative to the prior month #energy #commodities #econsky

Total Assets for all Commercial Banks have increased from 25541.8298 last week to 25617.1981 on 01 July. Relative to a year ago, this represents an increase of about 4.95%. Evolution of the main asset categories shown in the chart below #commercialbanks #assets #econsky

High-frequency labor market update: On 25 November postings on job site Indeed were 49.3% above their pre-pandemic level. New job postings, defined as on Indeed for seven days or less, are 56.6% above their pre-pandemic level #jobs @indeed #econsky

Corporate Bond Market Update: Using data as of 10 July, Moody's Seasoned Aaa Corporate Bond Yield for bonds with 20+ years maturity is at 5.72% for the AAA (NANAp.p. from the prior week). The BAA is at 6.14%. #econsky

Bitcoin at $63809.21; Ethereum at $1810.11. Bitcoin is about -0.9% down from a month ago, and about -46% down from a year ago. Ethereum is about 7.8% up from a month ago and about -50% down from a year ago. #crypto #econsky

Comparing the evolution of job posting on Indeed for Germany and the UK since the pandemic. All posting indexed to 100% on Feb. 1, 2020 #econsky #indeed

At the end of this week, the GDPNow forecast from the Altanta Fed for Q2 2026 stands at at 1.26%. GDPNow is a nowcasting model for GDP growth projecting 13 GDP subcomponents with monthly source data, a factor model and a BVAR. #econsky

The average rate on a U.S. 30-Year Fixed Rate Conforming #mortgage on 09 July was at 6.542%. Relative to the prior week, the rate has increased by about 0.07 p.p. #mortgagerates #econsky

The U.S. Dollars to U.K. Pound Sterling Spot Exchange Rate stood at 1.3364 USD/GBP last week (02 July). Relative to a month ago, this is -0.6% lower. Relative to a year ago, the exchange rate has fallen by -2.1% #exchangerate #gbp #usd #econsky

Last week (02 July) the U.S. Dollars to Euro Exchange Rate was 1.1448 USD/EUR. Relative to a month ago, this is a decrease of approx. -1.6%. Relative to a year ago, the exchange rate is about -2.6% lower. #exchangerate #eur #usd #econsky

High propensity business applications for Jun 2026 at 149.7K, up 2863K from prior month. These are business applications with a high-propensity of turning into businesses with payroll, based on the characteristics of the applications. #econsky

Emerging Market Update: Longer-term view of currency movements since the start of the post-pandemic monetary tightening cycle. All currencies indexed to 100 on March 16 (date of the first Fed rate hike); latest data point is 02 Jul #fx #emergingmarkets #econsky

Longer-term view of Weekly Claims data. Relative to the peak during the pandemic, where the 4-week moving average of continued claims reached 21243K in the week of 16 May 2020, today's reading of 1808K continued is a decline of about -91% #claims #econsky

Weekly Initial Claims (first-time applications for unemployment benefits), a proxy for layoffs, decrease to 215K (down -2K from prior week); 4-week moving average of continued claims increase from 1801K to 1808K in Jul 2026 #claims #econsky