Paul Behrens
@profpaulbehrens
Prof at Oxford Martin School working on food, energy, and climate change. Book: The Best of Times The Worst of Times: Futures from the Frontiers of Climate Science #ClimateChange #ClimateAction
I spoke with @owenjones.bsky.social recently about the withheld Joint Intelligence Committee report on food system pressures, and more. I mentioned that one report makes the point that "a wholesale change in consumer diets would be required" Full conversation here: youtu.be/nTYISpFTIq8?...
"We, the undersigned, urge the Prime Minister to convene a live, televised emergency briefing, delivered by independent experts." We've an open letter in the FT today calling on Andy Burnham to hold a national emergency briefing on climate and nature.
I wrote to the Guardian on the need for a Nature and National Security Bill as proposed by @zero-hour.bsky.social - national security isn't just jets and ships but whether we can feed ourselves and keep homes dry... www.theguardian.com/environment/...
Another scorching day. The Climate Change Committee's ratings on how ready the UK is for climate change. 🟥 Red: Insufficient 🟧 Orange: Limited 🟨 Yellow: Partial 🟩 Green: Good Delivery: 0 good. Policies/plans: just 3. We're sleepwalking into this... but hard to sleep in the heat. 🧵 1/2
40+ scientists (incl. me) warn that new methane accounting metrics such as "no additional warming", "temperature neutrality” are being used to grandfather high emitters, penalise developing countries, and undermine the Global Methane Pledge. Full statement: methanescience.org
New documentary out about climate impacts on food now on Youtube: www.youtube.com/watch?v=AhpQ... Climate change is affecting global agriculture in many complex ways. The documentary is a great way to start understanding what is happening and how we can address it.
On the back of the Climate Change Committee's Well-Adapted UK report today I've been part of this call on the urgency of addressing food and nutrition security. Letter below
Meat and dairy industry communications have been explored in two very recent, interesting papers (figures from each below). TLDR: it's the same old story. 🧵
The majority is there but we keep failing to see each other (and a lot of money is spent to keep things that way). We see this with the spread of @nebriefing.bsky.social screenings around the country. The number of which has taken me off guard (perhaps it shouldn't have given the above).
I moved back to the UK around 18 months ago, after 20 years away, and the country I left no longer exists. A thread on UK climatic changes and how it's left me feeling... 🧵
It was a pleasure to help launch of the Nature and National Security Bill with @zero-hour.bsky.social and if you agree with me, please email your MP asking them to give it their support here: www.zerohour.uk/write. Bill briefing here: cdn.zerohour.uk/upload/file/... And key provisions below 🧵
We have dramatically underestimated the impacts of climate change over time. This is the "burning embers" risk plot for large-scale discontinuities (tipping points), as assessed across IPCC reports from 2001 to 2022. What was once thought to require above 5°C is now assessed at close to 2°C.
The trajectory of emissions based on statistical persistence (nerdy explanation: the second derivative of emissions stays the same). We have moved off the worst-case trajectories, but the central projection still tracks around 2.7°C. But...
This is amazing! A map of screenings of the National Emergency Briefing @nebriefing.bsky.social and it's looking busy. At least 4 in Oxford alone. Really easy to run a screening-you get a whole pack of details and recs Map: www.nebriefing.org/screening-map Sign up: www.nebriefing.org/host-the-film
🌎 Today is Earth Day and the month The People's Emergency Briefing launched. It's a community-led climate film screening across the UK at thousands of locations (I think!). Check out the trailer below 👇
Although the impacts of the climate and nature crises on food are tough, we should also stay focused on transformation opportunities. At the recent @nebriefing.bsky.social, I also shared 15 “wins” that can come from eating more plant‑rich (there are more like animal welfare-I just ran out of time).
What does climate change and nature have to do with social cohesion? Almost everything. Last week I spoke to @carolinelucas.bsky.social, Jagbir Jhutti-Johal, Brendan Cox, and others who are sitting on the Independent Commission on Community and Cohesion. Here are some of the things I said:
I recently had the opportunity to give evidence to the UK Parliament’s Science, Innovation, and Technology Committee on innovation and global food security. I focused on three main points: 🧵
We have a new review out: “Obesity and Climate Change: Co-Crises with Common Solutions”. These aren’t separate crises but two symptoms of the same broken food system. A threat (and thread) 🧵 www.frontiersin.org/journals/sci...
Yesterday we spoke to 100s of the UKs MPs, Peers, faith leaders, CEOs, and celebs for the first @nebriefing.bsky.social on the climate & nature crises. What happened needs to reach millions more, please sign this letter to the PM and media organisations: www.nebriefing.org/open-letter-... 🧵...
"National security threat" "Economic disaster" Not from a thriller, but warnings from the UK Joint Intelligence Committee about climate breakdown and ecosystem collapse. The analysis has been delayed - the threat hasn't Urge your MP to join us at the @nebriefing.bsky.social www.nebriefing.org
This open invitation to the @nebriefing.bsky.social was published in the @financialtimes.com today. Please check whether your MP can make it here: www.nebriefing.org and if not ask them to! We will be briefing on national security, tipping points, food security, nature and more.
This could be a tipping point for decision makers across the UK: we're holding a National Emergency Briefing on the Climate and Nature crisis for national leaders at Westminster Central Hall, and you can help!...🧵
Ah yes, see attached! Trend-wise we can safely assume difficult years ahead due to climate as the crop/climate modelling shows. Open question is when we'll start to see that in the overall figures. Stagnation is also a sign of impacts as all other things being equal we'd expect some increases.