Sebastian Schäffer
@sschaeffer
Director @idmvienna.bsky.social Associate Fellow @GLOBSEC Founder and CEO @SSCEurope
I returned to War & Politics 24 to discuss what the Kremlin’s latest statements really tell us about the war against Ukraine. Russia is under pressure at home, while strikes on refineries are hitting its war economy. Thanks to Maxym Krapivnyy for the invitation. www.youtube.com/watch?v=aaw0...
Returned to on Qnewsegy to talk about the upcoming NATO summit, to discuss the upcoming NATO summit, the grim milestone of 2 million casualties in Russia’s war of aggression against Ukraine, and likely future developments on the battlefield and in Western support. www.youtube.com/watch?v=AXHH...
Great discussion today on connectivity, regional cooperation & European perspectives in the South Caucasus with Federica Mangiameli (GLOBSEC) & Rusif Huseynov, moderated by Ninon Bouteloup. Also glad to see IDM and the Topchubashov Center sign an MoU. Recording: www.youtube.com/watch?v=x6kX...
🇲🇩🇪🇺 56% of EU citizens support enlargement but national divides tell a different story. Spoke with Moldova 1 in Chișinău: Moldova may be ready before key EU capitals are. Building alliances matters as much as reforms. 🗓️ Timely on Moldova–EU Summit day. 👉 youtu.be/LOl9LA2VtD4?...
Yesterday’s missile attack on Kyiv and the damage to the Pechersk Lavra cathedral underline what I discuss in a new FO° Talks with Rohan Khattar Singh: how Trump’s focus on the Iran war affects support for Ukraine and European security: www.idm.at/en/idm-direc...
Great format by Qnews, pleasure to appear on Think Tank. The momentum in the Russian war of aggression against Ukraine is shifting, we do want to have Kyiv on our side, therefore we need to continue and expand our support. youtu.be/zPdCTY5RF1o?...
🇺🇦🇪🇺 Friedrich Merz has proposed "associate membership" for Ukraine, presenting it as a pragmatic bridge toward full EU accession. Together with @sophiabeiter.bsky.social, I argue that European history should give us pause. Read the full article here: www.linkedin.com/pulse/associ...
🇦🇹🇭🇺🇨🇿🇸🇰🇸🇮🇭🇷 Neuer Gastbeitrag in Die Presse PéterTechet: www.diepresse.com/24805725/die... Warum die Zeit reif ist für eine „Schönbrunn Six" – und wie sie funktionieren könnte. 📄 IDM Policy Paper dazu: www.idm.at/idm-pps-5-20...
Nuclear threats and parade warnings project strength at home but in foreign policy terms, they can equally be read as signs of growing weakness. New interview on Kremlin propaganda, factions inside Russia, and the question: what comes after Putin? www.youtube.com/watch?v=Kkn-...
If you had told me that I would be arguing for a new minilateral format in a policy paper, I would have laughed. But here we are. Drafted somewhere in the Carpathian Mountains, and sharpened together with Peter Techet. Many thanks to our excellent editors! www.idm.at/idm-pps-5-20...
Since January, I have been teaching a course together with the wonderful Oleksandra Demianenko. We had a series of excellent guest lectures, thanks to Iryna Tsilyk, Sophia Beiter, Rebecca Thorne, and Peter Techet. It was an enriching experience overall, and I am very grateful for the opportunity.
Today I had the pleasure of delivering opening words at the International Research and Practice Conference on the transformation of private law in the context of EU integration.
Looking forward to returning to Ivan Franko National University of Lviv for what has now become a bit of a tradition. This time on the question of why there is no nostalgia for EU enlargement: www.idm.at/events/why-i...
Buchpräsentation heute: Werner Anzenbergers Aufbruch ins Innere Europas 📚 Großartige Diskussion darüber, warum Europa – bei allem Frust – noch immer das Verteidigen wert ist. Und ich bin jetzt offiziell „Direktor schwieriger Gespräche”. Könnte schlechter laufen. m.youtube.com/watch?v=1qS2...
Nostalgie für den Schilling, für nationale Selbstgewissheit – aber nicht für Erweiterung. Dabei ist sie Europas größte Erfolgsgeschichte. Neuer Gastkommentar mit @sophiabeiter.bsky.social in @diepressecom.bsky.social 👇 www.diepresse.com/20767975
A lame-duck supermajority can still reshape the constitutional landscape before a new government takes office. This is not without precedent it's exactly how Orbán's system was built.
🇭🇺 While democratic forces are celebrating what looks like a path toward Scenario E "Democratic Renewal", a reminder: The old parliament still sits and Fidesz has a two-thirds majority there. That makes Scenario D "Constitutional Crisis" a live threat, not a hypothetical.
Shortly before the polls opened, I talked about the wider geopolitical implications of Hungary’s pivotal vote with AzerNews www.azernews.az/analysis/256...
Russia is not just fighting one war – it is enabling two. I spoke with Asharq News on the links between Russia’s aggression in Ukraine and the escalation involving Iran, and what this means for EU unity and Europe’s strategic capacity: www.idm.at/idm-director...
At IDM, my colleague Péter Techet and I have just published a new study outlining six possible scenarios for the aftermath.
Almost two weeks before Hungary’s parliamentary elections on 12 April, the political landscape remains uncertain. Depending on the outcome, the vote could lock in more years of Orbán’s course, open a phase of political fragmentation, or trigger deeper institutional and constitutional tensions.
Great exchange today at the Lithuanian Embassy in Vienna with Ambassador Lina Rukštelienė, together with Sophia Beiter. We discussed Lithuania’s role in the region, continued support for Ukraine, and what comes next for EU enlargement. Looking forward to taking this forward together!
Great to welcome Igor Kogut at IDM yesterday! We worked together on the study “Ukrainian Parliament in Wartime“ and are planning to deepen our cooperation in the coming months. We also discussed my upcoming visit to Kyiv. Always a pleasure to build on our shared efforts for Ukraine’s future.
The initial idea for this publication started almost exactly a year ago, when I asked myself a simple but unsettling question: what can the EU actually do if a head of state or government refuses to accept that they have lost an election and still shows up at the next European Council summit?
Back in Berlin again, keynoting tonight at the 11th Danube Salon at the Representation of Baden-Württemberg. My case: EU enlargement is Europe’s smartest strategic investment. The Danube doesn’t ask permission to flow eastward. Neither should Europe. 🌊
Since one month I have been giving lectures together with Oleksandra Demianenko on European integration for the Austro American Institute of Education. Today we had the pleasure of welcoming the wonderful author and filmmaker Iryna Tsilyk as our guest. Thank you Ganna Gnedkova for the connection!
TIL: CIA shuts down its global reference after decades, leaving researchers, educators, and the curious in the dark. Knowledge dies in silence. Knowledge dies in silence: www.cia.gov/stories/stor...
Back on Alghad TV last night. Trump’s June deadline is creating pressure and has coincided with limited movement, including a POW exchange. That matters. But the pressure is volatile: Washington’s priorities shift quickly, and speed currently outweighs sustainability. #Ukraine
Lectured on EU enlargement for Next Visionaries, solid talk with young Ukrainians on WB/Ukraine. Thanks Oleksandra for the invite, @sophiabeiter.bsky.social’s Charlemagne Prize Fellowship research laid the solid foundation that let me build on with a few thoughts. #EUenlargement #Ukraine
EU-Erweiterung, Ukraine, Moldau, Westbalkan – das sind keine abstrakten Themen, sondern Fragen unserer europäischen Zukunft. Im Rahmen des @oeadworldwide.bsky.social-Programms „Wissenschaftsbotschafter/innen“ durfte ich an der HLS Erla mit Schüler:innen darüber diskutieren.