Stephen Wild (@stephenjwild) · DIRTY

Stephen Wild

@stephenjwild

I try to put straight lines through things but usually fail. Try to be Bayesian when I can. Views my own. RT/like != endorsement.

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Stephen Wild@stephenjwild· 28d

Ooo, my turn: Oh, you sweet summer child. Use of DiD has been increasing for years. That was fun. Source of image: Source: Paul Goldsmith-Pinkham share.google/WhmEbVb5WelX...

An image showing an increase in papers using difference-in-differences. It shows that 20% - 30% of published papers in some sress use DiD

Stephen Wild@stephenjwild· 28d

You just need a tough nurse to ensure compliance (IYKYK)

Let’s start with the intervention. If we are being dogmatic evidence-based practitioners, the intervention in any physical therapy trial is the invitation to have therapy. According to the intention-to-treat principle, the invitation is the only thing that can be randomized. We can’t look only at the people who comply with every instruction and make it to the end of the rigorous therapy regimen. The model patients who diligently comply might differ from those who don’t, and our statistical signal will be biased if we include only the former. The only way to avoid these selection biases is to count everyone who was randomized, regardless of what happens between randomization and the final assessment. Both committed patients and no-shows contribute to the measured average efficacy.¹

Stephen Wild@stephenjwild· 28d

And, if I understand the movies and academia correctly, they never retire.

Harrison Ford in Indiana Jones and the Dial of Destiny. Indy is old in this movie. Harrison Ford, the actor who plays him, was 80 when the movie was filmed.

Stephen Wild@stephenjwild· 28d

Bring back art

An image from Jurassic Park for NES. It is a top-down shooter, Alan Grant is in the middle of the screen. You can see his hat. He is carrying some sort of weapon. There are trees and dinosaurs around him. A giant door is to Grant's left. In the movie, it is the door that allows entrance to the park.

Stephen Wild@stephenjwild· Jul 12

This is good. I should also accept these athletes as "tactical athletes":

A Turkish man in Olympic shooting. He is dressed in a shirt. He has one hand in his pocket while holding a gun with the other. He is wearing glasses.

Stephen Wild@stephenjwild· Jul 12

The cult of the operator is strong

Screenshot from YouTube. It says, "Stay in the fight: The 6 mobility tests every tactical athlete should pass."

Stephen Wild@stephenjwild· Jul 11

There's always an Ian Malcolm quote (laudatory)

Dr. Ian Malcolm: If I may... Um, I'll tell you the problem with the scientific power that you're using here, it didn't require any discipline to attain it. You read what others had done and you took the next step. You didn't earn the knowledge for yourselves, so you don't take any responsibility for it. You stood on the shoulders of geniuses to accomplish something as fast as you could, and before you even knew what you had, you patented it, and packaged it, and slapped it on a plastic lunchbox, and now
[bangs on the table]
Dr. Ian Malcolm: you're selling it, you wanna sell it. Well...

Stephen Wild@stephenjwild· Jul 11

There is a solution to all this

Scree shot of Homer Simpsons' pay stub. It shows $5.00 for the "Bear Patrol Tax"

Stephen Wild@stephenjwild· Jul 11

This is how you dress when you go fishing.

Tom Skerrit from A River Runs Through It. He is dressed is a dress shirt, a vest, and dress pants he is wearing a fedora.

He is fishing.

Stephen Wild@stephenjwild· Jul 10

Is this a reference to the Fable thing? Or am I missing something? I'm not sure I would be giving them credit for something that was not going to happen anyway. blog.aifutures.org/p/ai-2040-pl...

It’s called AI 2040 because in it, they delay the creation of superintelligence to 2040. It would have happened much sooner (in 2030, to be precise) if not for decisive action on the part of the US and Chinese governments.

Stephen Wild@stephenjwild· Jul 10

Oof www.cbc.ca/news/enterta...

REVIEW

Moana live-action remake is just more slop from the trough

A lifeless and pointless rehash of beautiful source material that Disney seems desperate to strip-mine until even its memory is nothing more than the skeletal remains of something once vibrant and alive. In other words: Moana is Disney's newest live-action adaptation.

Stephen Wild@stephenjwild· Jul 9

Using this as an excuse to share one of my favorite Mr. Rogers memes.

Meme of Mr. Rogers. He is drawing with crayons.

Text, panel 1: "Do you like to draw with crayons?"

Text, panel 2: "I'm not very good at it."

Text, panel 3: "But it doesn't matter."

Text, panel 4: "It's the fun of doing it that's important."

Stephen Wild@stephenjwild· Jul 9

No, no it is not. www.theglobeandmail.com/gift/ef6dee7...

Screenshoy of text:

Here, the power of nutritionist thinking meets with the quantitative logic of elite sports nutrition, which has infiltrated everyday eating habits. The Creme Egg flavour soft core protein bar that crept into our feeds ahead of Easter exemplifies this trend.

Stephen Wild@stephenjwild· Jul 7

Okay but I don't see the issue 😉

Screenahot of text: Illinois Institute of Technology admissions has an acceptance rate of 55% and an early acceptance rate of 73.3%.

Stephen Wild@stephenjwild· Jul 5

I am excited to read this

Cover image for Contested Continent: The Struggle for North America, c. 1000 - 1680

Stephen Wild@stephenjwild· Jul 5

A four-panel meme from Futurama.

Panel 1: Ethan "bubblegum" Tate is speaking. He says, "I've never seen such confident, powerful modelling with a jetpack"

Panel 2: Tate continues, "send someone straight to the hospital."

Panel 3: Martha Stewart's head says, "You've never seen mine."

Panel 4: Tate responds, obviously turned on by Stewart, "No, I haven't."

Stephen Wild@stephenjwild· Jul 5

Mr Burns with a mustache. He says his name is Mr Snrub, and we should invest the money in the nuclear plant

Stephen Wild@stephenjwild· Jul 4

What happened?

A bunch of posts going "OMG"

Stephen Wild@stephenjwild· Jul 2

Interesting take

The neoreactionarv view is that the United States should have bided 1ts t1me and let Hitler and Stalin battle each other to the death or at least to a stalemate. 'Then it would have beer tar easier tor America to come in and finish them both off. Al. ternatively, we could have tinished oft Hitler aT 2 later date 1n which case the outcome would still have been A ll1ed victory an albeit with a tar weaker Stalin A weaker Stalir might have meant a tree north Korea, ditterent outcomes in Maoist China or even a non-Maoist China, saving 45 million Chinese in the process), and freedom for the Soviet satellite countries like Czechoslovakia and Hungary.

Stephen Wild@stephenjwild· Jul 1

This sounds like fun

In the fall, I am planning an unhinged new class on forecasting, the tools we use to do it, and why we’re so obsessed with it. That should be a fun one.

Stephen Wild@stephenjwild· Jul 1

Ditto for ranch *condiment*. Also, wtf?

Ranch condiment and dressing. Who calls ranch a condiment?

Stephen Wild@stephenjwild· Jun 30

Hear me out

Orange creamsicle liqueur

Stephen Wild@stephenjwild· Jun 30

This is funny and accurate because almost all my answers amounted to neutral.

The Shrug
patron saint: Matt Levine
AI is a thing that exists and you regard it with detached amusement, like everything else. It's overhyped, sure, but so is most stuff. You'll use it when it's useful and ignore it when it isn't, and you find the discourse more interesting than the technology. You are unbothered.

Stephen Wild@stephenjwild· Jun 30

Shocked, shocked I say!

Yes, Attia and others over sold the mechanisms and the precision

Stephen Wild@stephenjwild· Jun 30

Yes sickos fans

Why? Because of sciencyness

Stephen Wild@stephenjwild· Jun 29

I prefer solid bets

Can't I just bet that all the fans will have a fun time?

Stephen Wild@stephenjwild· Jun 29

The pretend here is interesting

Event study plot from the paper. It looks like there is a trend in the pre-treatment period.

Stephen Wild@stephenjwild· Jun 28

Okay not where I thought they were going here but a still good option

Screenshot of text:

Fibrefest
Demonstrations and vendors related to fibre goods and textiles.
VARIOUS LOCATIONS

Stephen Wild@stephenjwild· Jun 28

I've seen a bunch of these

A sun hat. I think this style is called a Panama hat.

Stephen Wild@stephenjwild· Jun 28

Two men shaking hands (it is from the movie Predator). It shows both Australia and Canada agreeing on making fun of the US and Europe