Georgy Tarasenko
@tarasenkogeorgy
PhD Student in Government at Cornell University Fellow at the Center on Global Democracy Behavioral Political Economy | Political Psychology | Authoritarian Politics HSE University & Leiden University alum 🏳️🌈 georgytarasenko.com
I'm also building a companion website (still in development - may have bugs and errors) to explore the data before downloading: interactive maps from regions down to individual polling stations, a comparison builder, and a searchable codebook. georgytarasenko.com/red
The result is a longitudinal panel of 195,366 unique polling stations, including 31,237 stations observed in every federal election since 2000
To reconstruct continuity, we combined dynamic-programming sequence alignment, standardized address matching, fuzzy matching, and archival digitization.
Why panels matter here: fewer than a third of quantitative studies of Russian elections use panel designs, almost none below the region level. With RED, for example, you can watch the evolution of electoral fraud.
Resolving those changes across 11 election cycles is the core of RED: 195,366 unique precincts, 31,237 of them observed in all eleven federal elections since 2000. That turns two decades of cross-sections into a polling-station panel.
Precinct-level Russian returns have been scraped before, and we build on that work. Precinct numbers don't mean the same thing across years. Stations get renumbered, split, and merged, so official files can't follow the same station over time.
🚨 Our (w/ @konboga and @nikitasavin today in Scientific Data: RED — Russian Electoral Data. Polling station-level results for every Russian federal election, 2000–2024: 1.04 million precinct-level records, harmonized into one open dataset. 🧵 nature.com/articles/s4159…
Just back from an incredible two days at the NYU CESS Experimental Political Science conference! 🎓 Happy to share that my poster, "Do Wartime Casualties Affect Support for the Autocrat? Evidence from Russia," won the Rebecca Morton Poster Prize !
Joel Mokyr just won the Nobel — what full-circle moment for me! Back in 2018–19, my sophomore thesis on the political economy of innovation (published in 2020) cited him twice. I may study other things now, but I’m still a Mokyr reader at heart. www.sciencedirect.com/science/arti...
Tonight I had my very first lecture by a Nobel laureate — Claudia Goldin (‘67) at Cornell. Back when I thought of becoming an economic historian, her work was among the most important I read. And her famous blind auditions experimental study inspired my own interest in experiments.
Had a great time at my first #PolMeth conference! Grateful for the chance to visit Emory and Atlanta, meet brilliant folks, and share some work-in-progress “Using AI to Explain Classifiers: A Framework and Application to Text-Based Experimental Outcomes.”
Photo evidence that #EPSA2025 went more than well! Thanks to Madrid and to @epssnet.bsky.social
@bogatyrev.bsky.social presents are joint work w/ @nikitasavin.bsky.social 📄 “Do Wartime Casualties Affect Support for the Autocrat? Evidence from Russia” 🗓️ Fri, 27 June | ⏰ 15:00–16:40 | 📍 Room 1A.04
🧵 Also I present the work in progress on the wonderful project w/ @bogatyreva-nat.bsky.social 📄 “The Growing Divide: State-Level Ideological Majority–Minority Position Influences Framing Susceptibility on Transgender Policy Attitudes” 🗓️ Fri, 27 June | ⏰ 11:20–13:00 | 📍 Room 0A.02
📚 Here I’ll present “The Anti-Authoritarian Personality: Psychology of Opposition Under Repression”.
🎉 Thrilled to be at my first EPSA in beautiful Madrid —and to be busy in the best way! I’ll be: 🔹 Chairing and presenting at the panel "PUBOPI – Personality and Emotions" 🗓️ Sat, 28 June | ⏰ 09:30–11:10 | 📍 Room 1A.13
The most disturbing fact about Nord-Ost I learned later is that unconscious people were loaded into buses (due to a lack of ambulances). Many died from suffocation while lying on their backs, as rescuers weren’t instructed on aiding victims of the secret gas.
“I cannot stand the idea of being a Russia specialist” - sounds like Moore said everything for me ahaha
Book thrifting in Ithaca went so productive, especially excited about Chayanov’s “Theory of Peasant Economy”
First American football match and I went fully Cornelian! Still struggling with the rules though!