?whispers?
@whispers-actual
Hoping to put the ECO in ECOnomics. Once you understand how economics shapes our world and can be used to help in most of our crises, you will get it. #MMT
Stop asking "how will you pay for it?" Start asking "do we have the resources to deliver it?" The former is an accounting fiction. The latter is the actual economic constraint. Fiscal responsibility is about managing real outcomes, not balancing a imaginary ledger. #MMT
This means the constraint on Government spending is not financial. It is real resources. Can we build the hospital? Do we have the nurses, bricks, and the technology? If we have the capacity, we have the money. If we don't have the capacity, issuing more money causes inflation. #MMT
Bank of England cannot refuse to process valid Government spending. Under the 1866 Act, if Parliament has authorised it and the Comptroller and Auditor General has approved it, the Bank must issue the money. There is no legal mechanism for the Bank to say "insufficient funds". #MMT
What about borrowing (gilts)? Debt Management Office sells gilts not because Government is short of cash, but to manage interest rates. If Government spent without selling gilts, banks would have excess reserves, pushing interest rates to zero. Gilts drain these excess reserves. #MMT
So where do taxes fit in? Taxes do not fund spending. They are collected after money has been spent. Their primary mechanical function is to remove purchasing power from the private sector to control inflation and create demand for Sterling. You need Sterling to pay your taxes. #MMT
This instruction creates new central bank money out of nothing (ex nihilo). The Consolidated Fund, the central account of the Exchequer, starts every single day with a balance of zero. It does not hold a stockpile of tax receipts from last year. #MMT
Households must earn before they spend. The UK Government does not. It is the monopoly issuer of Sterling. When Parliament authorises spending via Supply Estimates, the Government does not check its balance. It instructs the Bank of England to credit private sector accounts. #MMT
The biggest misconception in UK economics is that the Government must raise money before it spends it. We are told there is no "magic money tree". This is wrong. The Government does not have a bank account that needs filling. It is the source of the currency. #MMT
The real danger? A public debate that mistakes a £133bn policy error for economic inevitability. Gilts aren't household debt. Yields are a policy variable. The "Bailey premium" is self-inflicted. Read the full analysis 👇 mmtmichael.substack.com/p/gilt-by-as...
The 2022 mini-budget "crisis" proved the BoE can control gilt markets when it chooses. It bought gilts. Markets stabilised. So why sell them now? Not economic necessity. Ideological commitment to shrinking the central bank's footprint. The "bond vigilante" is a phantom.
"But inflation!" MMT's response: draining reserves doesn't control inflation. Bank lending isn't reserve-constrained. If aggregate demand were the concern, fiscal policy (tax/spending) is the tool — not QT, which actively raises long-term borrowing costs.
The cost? Since Oct 2022: £85.9bn transferred from Treasury to BoE to cover APF losses. Projected lifetime cost: £133.7bn. By selling gilts in a falling market, the BoE has crystallised losses that could have remained unrealised. This is burning money.
Enter the "Bailey premium". The Bank of England is aggressively selling gilts via QT — £100bn/year — despite no operational necessity. Result? Yields artificially elevated by 15–34 basis points. That's not market discipline. That's a policy choice.
When the DMO auctions gilts, reserves are simply reshuffled within the banking system. The government already spent those pounds into existence. Bond markets don't "fund" the state. The state issues the currency the bonds are denominated in. Currency sovereignty matters.
First: the UK government cannot "run out" of pounds it issues. Full stop. Gilts aren't funding operations. They're a post-spending reserve drain — a policy choice about interest-rate maintenance, not solvency. Orthodoxy has this backwards.
UK gilts are "debt", right? Rising yields mean we're "running out of money"? Wrong. The Bank of England is currently imposing a £133bn self-inflicted wound on the public purse — and calling it "monetary discipline". Here's the MMT reality 🧵👇
The patient you save may be yourself. And in saving yourself, you save the thousands who need you fit, fairly paid, and standing at their bedside. #NHS #HealthPolicy #SaveOurNHS mmtmichael.substack.com/p/privatisat...
Despite a long-term workforce plan calling for expansion, the NHS is perpetually haunted by the question, “But how will we pay for it?” This essay seeks to break that spell. #MMT mmtmichael.substack.com/p/minting-do...
State expenditure is an act of legal design, not financial discovery. Political will, internal accounting, the final keystroke.
Trans‑Atlantic sovereign plumbing: UK vs US. Same principles, different names. CHAPS/Fedwire, BACS/ACH, CF/TGA.
Government spending funds the private sector so it can pay its taxes. Spend first, tax later. That's the flow.
The moment new money enters the economy: central bank reserves move, and the recipient's deposit is credited. No tax revenue needed – only legal authority.
BACS batches millions of payments into a single net reserve transfer. Massive efficiency instead of millions of tiny moves.
CHAPS delivers instant, real‑time gross settlement. Each payment is processed individually, irrevocably, in central bank money.
Payment fork: CHAPS for urgent, high‑value payments. BACS for high‑volume, low‑value stuff like salaries.
Once the GBS has funds, it credits a department's drawing account. Now the department can pay a citizen or supplier.
A Treasury Direction triggers a pure internal ledger transfer: CF debited, PMG account credited. No private reserves created yet.
The Consolidated Fund is the UK government's main account at the Bank of England. The "issue of sums" is the trigger to move money
All spending begins with a political act: Supply Estimates → resolution → Appropriation Act. That unlocks the Consolidated Fund.