Adam Drummond

@adamdrummond

Head of Quant Research at Public First. Professional collector of other people's opinions

522 Folgt7.308 Follower1.930 Posts

YouTube YouTube Bluesky

Ist das dein Profil?Übernimm es — dann gehört dir adamdrummond.dirty.social.Profil übernehmen

Adam Drummond@adamdrummond· 1d

Inspired by @stephenkb.bsky.social's mention of Ned Beauman, Venomous Lumpsucker is a wonderful book but my favourite line is:

It was just one blow, but Halyard took it with all the fortitude and dignity of somebody trying to pull off a personal injury scam.

Adam Drummond@adamdrummond· 6d

"he's been there all along"

The photos of the captains of the ship in WALL-E each one with Otto the Autopilot behind them

Adam Drummond@adamdrummond· 6d

Given a) how hard constituency polling is b) how unusual this one was and impossible to predict turnout, this from @survation.bsky.social has held up pretty well. The only consistent lesson in polling: never prompt for Laurence Fox

Survation poll of Clacton, Farage on 70%, Binface on 20%, Fox on 2%

Adam Drummond@adamdrummond· 24d

Can't believe the film took so many liberties with the canonical text

A children's book called "The Amazing Adventures of Ulysses"

Adam Drummond@adamdrummond· 26d

This feels like it doesn't need 78 minutes to answer

Ezra Klein podcast: "Platner's top campaign strategist on what went wrong", 1 hour 18 minutes

Adam Drummond@adamdrummond· Jul 7

This is classy from both of them. Belgium got the result that justice demanded but Balogun was put in a no-win situation and has handled it as best anyone could

Garcia, who had previously criticised FIFA’s decision, comparing it to April Fool’s Day, said Balogun had spoken to him after the game.
“He came to talk to me. I really liked that. It's not his fault. ⁠He's not the one to blame. And that's what I told him. I really appreciate that he came to see me,” Garcia said.

Adam Drummond@adamdrummond· Jun 22

Relevant chart today

Views of Keir Starmer:
Good person and good PM 18%
Good person but bad PM 37%
Bad person but good PM 6%
Bad person and bad PM 30%

Adam Drummond@adamdrummond· Jun 15

This is ideal goalkeeper. You may not like it but this is what peak performance looks like

Adam Drummond@adamdrummond· Jun 14

Andy after his first meeting with the Treasury

Andy Burnham realising he's losing the 2015 Labour leadership election

Adam Drummond@adamdrummond· Jun 2

This is a cat check point. Relinquish your most recent cat picture on your phone #ProofOfCat

Adam Drummond@adamdrummond· May 20

Questions such as "do they know who he is?" and "are they fucking insane?"

"Fresh questions have been raised over the US and Israeli effort to depose the Iranian regime after it was claimed that Israel wanted to put the populist Mahmoud Ahmadinejad in power." From the Guardian

Adam Drummond@adamdrummond· May 16

Pick a Bond from photos you already have on your phone.

Tom Daley doing that look at Kate Garraway

Adam Drummond@adamdrummond· May 11

For context, Chris used to join Teams calls with a Starmer version of the Obama "hope" poster visible in the background

Chris Curtis MP said:

"But I think the moment, the dramatic situation that we face – the geo-political context, the fact that we had such a difficult economic inheritance – does mean that we need more radical change than the government has set out so far.

I don’t think we saw a plan from the prime minister this morning in order to implement the kind of change that this country needs.

And I therefore think it’s time for us to look for new leadership.

And I think what that means is the prime minister rightly now setting out a timetable and an orderly process for a leadership election, and one in which Labour has a discussion about the vision for the country and what changes we think are needed in order to face the very real challenges that Britain currently faces."

Adam Drummond@adamdrummond· May 11

The man has an MO

"However, Rayner and Ed Miliband would overtake Streeting once second and third preferences were taken into account, according to the poll.

Adam Drummond@adamdrummond· May 4

Counterpoint: no it isn't

"Nobody is watching the Star Wars sequel trilogy — and that's a problem"

Adam Drummond@adamdrummond· Apr 22

Just realised that in 2066 someone will have to explain this image in an exam

Adam Drummond@adamdrummond· Apr 21

Context:

Team selection
edit

In what was later described by writers for BBC Sport as the "great World Cup final mystery",[51] Ronaldo was omitted from the official teamsheet which Zagallo presented to FIFA at 7:48 p.m. local time (5:48 p.m. UTC), 72 minutes before kick off, with Edmundo named in his place. Reporters for the BBC and other media received the news shortly after 8 p.m. and had not expected this development, with John Motson describing scenes of "absolute mayhem and chaos" in the commentary box. At 8:18 p.m., however, Brazil submitted a modified teamsheet with Ronaldo's name reinstated.[52] It was revealed several years later that Ronaldo had suffered a convulsive fit on the afternoon of the final, had lost consciousness and spent three hours in hospital, but decided shortly before the match began that he still wished to play.

Adam Drummond@adamdrummond· Apr 13

Plot twist: they did it in 2013

FT headline: "Meta builds AI version of Mark Zuckerberg to interact with staff"

Adam Drummond@adamdrummond· Apr 11

Watching a documentary about rail privatisation, some might say that's a sad way to spend your Saturday evening but then you get to a gem like this

Subtitle saying "transport secretary Grant Schnapps". And yes that's how it was pronounced

Adam Drummond@adamdrummond· Apr 2

Daniel Radcliffe when someone points out what the haircut looks like

The other guy in the hotdog man sketch realising that he too is dressed as a hotdog

Adam Drummond@adamdrummond· Mar 26

18-24 men have the lowest response rate of any demographic group and results are frequently weird

Adam Drummond@adamdrummond· Mar 24

Shocked, not shocked

Text from the article saying this guy has just the extensive criminal history you'd expect

Adam Drummond@adamdrummond· Mar 11

That painting that the woman ruined in Italy

Adam Drummond@adamdrummond· Mar 9

Not only are betting markets less reliable than polling, they're also less reliable *than no polling* because that just leaves space for all sorts of hunches and nonsense