Allan Rose
@allanrose
Retired in Tucson after years in Oregon but born down south Horticulturist & hobby birder-Tree hugger & animal defender Politics Hound forever gay man and Democratic Socialist-love my dogs & cat Trying to live by the Golden Rule
El Nino pattern is fully expressed here in Mid-August Issued: August 7, 2026 Valid: August 13-17, 2026 Big monsoon pattern over interior west-better late than never? Gulf coast is below normal
Outlook for middle of August is here- Issued: August 7, 2026 Valid: August 13-17, 2026 PNW gets no relief from the dryness Southern US across the board is above average Midwest to NE is cooler than average
Computers want to give the SW a monsoon in 2026 Mother Nature remains stingy-we'll see, but the east looks wet. No relief for very dry PNW Issued: August 1, 2026 Valid: August 7-11, 2026
Hello August-as usual, you are HOT Issued: August 1, 2026 Valid: August 7-11, 2026 SW Alaska is "near normal" Everywhere else is "Above normal"-not a surprise by now
Will there actually be a monsoon-I'm in the show me stage! Issued: July 29, 2026 Valid: August 4-8, 2026
The heat is on....first week of August Issued: July 29, 2026 Valid: August 4-8, 2026
Here's the forecast for the first week of August Looks about normal to me except a HOT New England? Issued: July 27, 2026 Valid: August 2-6, 2026 This week, Tucson will have some of the hottest temps we've seen all summer-not much will change-
Issued: July 27, 2026 Valid: August 2-6, 2026 East coast looks wet and on into the Gulf of MEXICO Looks like the SW monsoon is still active-
East Coast is wet-PNW has rain-they are also average to below average temps Mid-section-dry SW Monsoon remains active-with higher heat, we get more thunderstorms here Valid: July 27-31, 2026 Issued: July 21, 2026
We are already looking at the tail-end of July! Heat Low firmly centered over W TX & NM Looks like NE is the place to cool off from the heat Valid: July 27-31, 2026 Issued: July 21, 2026
Seems the SW has a "normal" monsoon up into Montana & Dakotas, who get rain Normal temps and above average rain Fine by me East coast wet from FL to ME Issued: July 15, 2026 Valid: July 21-25, 2026
Unusually cool in the Midwest and NE for mid-July Hot in the Gulf to FL and the PNW heats up Issued: July 15, 2026 Valid: July 21-25, 2026
Heading into later July, the heat low has allowed monsoon moisture to return to the SW and the gulf states This is much needed after multiple "dry" monsoons Rest of the nation-esp upper midwest-are HOT and DRY Issued: July 9, 2026 Valid: July 15-19, 2026
Heading into later July now (it's HOT but for NE) with the Heat Low staying put-which is good news for the SW Monsoon. But the high heat will be affecting temps well into Canada and centered on the Dakotas Issued: July 9, 2026 Valid: July 15-19, 2026
For mid-July, the Upper Midwest heats up and dries out Meanwhile the El Nino weather pattern sets up for precipitation. The SW "lost Monsoon" finally kicks in for good? Gulf Coast/TX is wet-these are "make-up" rains. Issued: July 7, 2026 Valid: July 13-17, 2026
The persistent heat dome now moves far to the north giving the northern plains southward very hot temperatures into mid-July Issued: July 7, 2026 Valid: July 13-17, 2026
Our June, 2026 statistics for Tucson More days over 100F but fewer over 105 and none over 110F
Dry across the wheat/corn belts & Rockies Monsoon appears in the SW & California? Gulf Coast up the East Coast is wet w/probable thunderstorms-all areas that need rain Issued: July 4, 2026 Valid: July 10-14, 2026
Heading into mid-July, the heat low has moved back west giving the east coast/Midwest a break but now we in the West have a "normal" heat low that often gives us monsoon moisture. Finally- Issued: July 4, 2026 Valid: July 10-14, 2026
Chance for SW monsoons? Not yet on local forecasts but one can hope! Meanwhile, this map of precipitation looks just like "El Nino" pattern. SE gets some good rains Issued: June 30, 2026 Valid: July 6-10, 2026
The heat expands over the USA in this time period but look at the hottest areas! It's all turned on it's head Issued: June 30, 2026 Valid: July 6-10, 2026
Spoke too soon? July 4th may be rainy or thunderstormy in many areas over the 4th? Would be nice for outdoors World Cup games to be dry! Arizona would love monsoon season to start-doesn't look good for now- Issued: June 27, 2026 Valid: July 3-7, 2026
It's July in this forecast and it's HOT across the eastern 3/4ths of the nation! Looks like a nice July 4th except in the PNW (no surprise) Issued: June 27, 2026 Valid: July 3-7, 2026
Look at this pattern: Looks like a west to east pattern like is being predicted for El Nino Could the SW monsoon be about to kick in? The PNW has been mostly dry but here comes rain across the entire northern tier into New England Issued: June 23, 2026 Valid: June 29-July 3, 2026
The summer pattern is about to FLIP for First of July Get ready Midwest/Great Lakes! Meanwhile, the west gets a reprieve from the heat Issued: June 23, 2026 Valid: June 29-July 3, 2026
Issued: June 10, 2026 Valid: June 16-20, 2026 El Nino summer underway? Seems so. Many parched areas of the nation in the east & south look to get rain. Even FL Seems a tropical system may impact W Gulf coast & perhaps monsoon starts in AZ & 4 corners PNW/N CA drying out
Issued: June 10, 2026 Valid: June 16-20, 2026 The weird cool down in mid-June for the Midwest/NE manifests itself. Perhaps it's better than hot & humid! Meanwhile, it's hot out west and coastal SE/Gulf/FL
We are promised rain with El Nino & perhaps it's about to rain! PNW is usually happy with a dry June SW AZ is anxiously awaiting the start of monsoon about the time of this forecast. We need rain with the heat-up this coming week Issued: June 7, 2026 Valid: June 13-17, 2026
Into the mid-June Outlook and we have a cool anomaly from Canada down the central USA-well below normal Meanwhile both coasts heat up Issued: June 7, 2026 Valid: June 13-17, 2026