Catch Probability
@catchprobability
🤖 that calculates catch probability for MLB games. I post times of a 40% catch probability. Created by @cory.catchprobability.com and @apalen.bsky.social
Zach McKinstry flies out to center fielder Pete Crow-Armstrong. Catch probability: 22% Est. Distance Covered: 80.9 ft Exit Velo: 72.9 mph Launch Angle: 26 deg Hit Distance: 252 ft
Nasim Nuñez lines out to left fielder Jake McCarthy. Catch probability: 14% Est. Distance Covered: 98.2 ft Exit Velo: 99.6 mph Launch Angle: 18 deg Hit Distance: 334 ft
Elias Díaz lines out to right fielder Braden Montgomery. Catch probability: 24% Est. Distance Covered: 59.2 ft Exit Velo: 90.0 mph Launch Angle: 16 deg Hit Distance: 277 ft
Andrés Giménez lines out sharply to right fielder Victor Mesa Jr. Catch probability: 13% Est. Distance Covered: 119.5 ft Exit Velo: 106.1 mph Launch Angle: 20 deg Hit Distance: 334 ft
Javier Sanoja lines out to center fielder Lucas Spence. Catch probability: 28% Est. Distance Covered: 60.2 ft Exit Velo: 84.8 mph Launch Angle: 20 deg Hit Distance: 288 ft
Spencer Torkelson lines out to center fielder Mike Trout. Catch probability: 13% Est. Distance Covered: 112.4 ft Exit Velo: 92.9 mph Launch Angle: 23 deg Hit Distance: 330 ft
Victor Caratini lines out to second baseman Nico Hoerner. Catch probability: 24% Est. Distance Covered: 52.7 ft Exit Velo: 65.8 mph Launch Angle: 23 deg Hit Distance: 188 ft
Junior Caminero lines out to left fielder Jarren Duran. Catch probability: 22% Est. Distance Covered: 72.3 ft Exit Velo: 79.4 mph Launch Angle: 22 deg Hit Distance: 270 ft
Kyle Tucker lines out to shortstop Anthony Volpe. Catch probability: 28% Est. Distance Covered: 46.3 ft Exit Velo: 67.2 mph Launch Angle: 20 deg Hit Distance: 181 ft
Nolan Schanuel lines out to right fielder Matt Vierling. Catch probability: 20% Est. Distance Covered: 54.3 ft Exit Velo: 93.7 mph Launch Angle: 15 deg Hit Distance: 283 ft
Jarren Duran lines out sharply to left fielder Ryan Vilade. Catch probability: 24% Est. Distance Covered: 54.7 ft Exit Velo: 104.0 mph Launch Angle: 14 deg Hit Distance: 309 ft
Isaac Paredes out on a sacrifice fly to right fielder Dylan Beavers. Jeremy Peña scores. Catch probability: 17% Est. Distance Covered: 113.0 ft Exit Velo: 87.3 mph Launch Angle: 27 deg Hit Distance: 299 ft
Wilyer Abreu lines out to shortstop Taylor Walls. Catch probability: 24% Est. Distance Covered: 55.4 ft Exit Velo: 58.7 mph Launch Angle: 26 deg Hit Distance: 162 ft
Nicky Lopez lines out to right fielder Brewer Hicklen. Catch probability: 22% Est. Distance Covered: 89.8 ft Exit Velo: 82.2 mph Launch Angle: 23 deg Hit Distance: 293 ft
Yandy Díaz lines out to left fielder Jarren Duran. Catch probability: 6% Est. Distance Covered: 71.5 ft Exit Velo: 96.6 mph Launch Angle: 15 deg Hit Distance: 276 ft
Jake McCarthy lines out to right fielder Jung Hoo Lee. Catch probability: 22% Est. Distance Covered: 87.9 ft Exit Velo: 92.0 mph Launch Angle: 20 deg Hit Distance: 288 ft
Brayan Rocchio lines out to center fielder Jakob Marsee. Catch probability: 20% Est. Distance Covered: 54.3 ft Exit Velo: 88.9 mph Launch Angle: 16 deg Hit Distance: 285 ft
J.P. Crawford lines out to right fielder Jonny DeLuca. Catch probability: 24% Est. Distance Covered: 104.8 ft Exit Velo: 93.6 mph Launch Angle: 22 deg Hit Distance: 352 ft
Myles Straw lines out to left fielder Gavin Sheets. Catch probability: 27% Est. Distance Covered: 98.7 ft Exit Velo: 93.2 mph Launch Angle: 22 deg Hit Distance: 337 ft
Jacob Young lines out to left fielder Cody Bellinger. Catch probability: 8% Est. Distance Covered: 87.8 ft Exit Velo: 99.0 mph Launch Angle: 17 deg Hit Distance: 347 ft
Kody Clemens out on a sacrifice fly to right fielder Jo Adell. Trevor Larnach scores. Catch probability: 4% Est. Distance Covered: 99.8 ft Exit Velo: 106.4 mph Launch Angle: 16 deg Hit Distance: 316 ft
Yandy Díaz lines out to left fielder Randy Arozarena. Catch probability: 23% Est. Distance Covered: 63.6 ft Exit Velo: 80.1 mph Launch Angle: 20 deg Hit Distance: 267 ft
Gabriel Moreno flies out to right fielder Fernando Tatis Jr. Catch probability: 25% Est. Distance Covered: 126.5 ft Exit Velo: 93.5 mph Launch Angle: 29 deg Hit Distance: 351 ft
Wilyer Abreu lines out sharply to left fielder Sam Antonacci. Catch probability: 24% Est. Distance Covered: 53.3 ft Exit Velo: 106.2 mph Launch Angle: 14 deg Hit Distance: 311 ft
José Caballero lines out to shortstop Taylor Walls. Catch probability: 24% Est. Distance Covered: 54.7 ft Exit Velo: 55.8 mph Launch Angle: 27 deg Hit Distance: 164 ft
Lane Thomas flies out to right fielder Carson Benge. Catch probability: 23% Est. Distance Covered: 101.2 ft Exit Velo: 97.0 mph Launch Angle: 25 deg Hit Distance: 371 ft
Jasson Domínguez lines out to right fielder Ryan Vilade. Catch probability: 6% Est. Distance Covered: 85.0 ft Exit Velo: 100.0 mph Launch Angle: 16 deg Hit Distance: 344 ft
Cooper Pratt out on a sacrifice fly to left fielder Lars Nootbaar. Garrett Mitchell scores. Catch probability: 13% Est. Distance Covered: 108.2 ft Exit Velo: 91.8 mph Launch Angle: 22 deg Hit Distance: 302 ft
Kody Clemens lines out sharply to left fielder David Fry. Catch probability: 17% Est. Distance Covered: 81.4 ft Exit Velo: 103.8 mph Launch Angle: 17 deg Hit Distance: 335 ft
Tyler Soderstrom lines out sharply to right fielder Matt Vierling. Catch probability: 5% Est. Distance Covered: 61.8 ft Exit Velo: 110.2 mph Launch Angle: 12 deg Hit Distance: 307 ft