Charlotte Swasey
@charlotteeffect
Data witch for good causes and bad datasets
Time is a flat circle and older people still watch a lot of traditional TV
It turns out talking like a combo of Sephiroth and the villain from a children's cartoon doesn't make voters feel better about your product www.searchlightinstitute.org/research/ame...
Doing some extremely preliminary poking at the MI results and the biggest factor seems to be education (although MASSIVE caveat that country demographics dont always match primary electorate demographics!)
Last night was the deadline for quarterly FEC filings, including from the Platner campaign, so I dug into their spending. Most of it went to 2 firms- Helix Campaigns and LC Media open.substack.com/pub/cauldron...
I'm in the NYT today with a group of experts writing about my projections for the midterms! Tldr yes of course Democrats are going win the house www.nytimes.com/interactive/...
Got a copy of Sublimation from a local bookstore and convinced the person at the register to go read Kim's short stories (probably), successful shopping trip
This sucks man. Grasping at straws to avoid acknowledging that the dude is a creep.
There's a lot wrong with the DNC autopsy, but the sheer laziness of it all is perhaps the worst
Transparency and fairness are the biggest ways to improve the experience of paying taxes, and people care somewhat less about paying less or only supporting programs they like
Happy tax day! New from Searchlight: Voters think paying taxes is part of being a good citizen....and feel like they're "a punishment". But, the thing that would make them feel better is increased transparency, not paying less.
also republicans love to pay for twitter but i don't think anyone is really using Grok
I'd be happy to see more specific examples in this piece, but Democrats broadly are absolutely saying Voter ID is bad in all cases. Here's Indivisible on this indivisible.org/resource/vot...
New polling today- voters oppose supplemental funding for the Iran war. Unsurprisingly, there's a big gap on partisanship. www.searchlightinstitute.org/research/a-m...
You can compare across filings to see who shares donor populations with who. Everyone pulls from Ossoff's massive donor base, but oddly, Platner and El-Sayed share a bunch as well.
This guy doesn't know that women love to take surveys (or like, presumably he does and is just being a dick)
More stuff from our polling that is also kind of a rorschach test- 23% of Trump voters say ICE tactics are too forceful. Is that a. depressingly low or b. surprisingly high? I lean towards b, personally.
58% of voters want changes that rein in ICE, with the plurality landing on reform (rather than eliminating the agency, or replacing it).
New from Searchlight today, some hopefully helpful polling on ICE. Voters reeaaaally hate ICE detaining Americans and entering homes without warrants. www.politico.com/news/2026/01...
I've been reading about historical changes to technology and trying to grapple with the alternatives, here's an extremely rambling take about that open.substack.com/pub/cauldron...
I kind of thought we were past this sort of thing but Bowen Yang posted an apology about his (correct!!) comments on Jasmine Crockett. He was right and should say it, etc
it was actually higher than i remembered it! apnews.com/article/elec...
Finally, neither extreme position is right- people don't want unregulated AI, and they don't want it banned. They want a safe, regulated industry, and assurances that they will be protected.
Third, people don't really buy that AI is incredibly important. We gave current technology benchmarks for "not very important" (digital camera), somewhat important (smartphone), and very (steam engine), and people mostly put it on par with the smartphone.