Elise Thomas
@elisethomas
Senior OSINT Investigator at @cen4infores.bsky.social. Opinions, hot takes, mistakes all my own.
Turns out we didn't even have to wait for the government of the day to crumple. We barely had to wait for ONE day for the government of THIS day to do it. www.theage.com.au/national/us-...
Even better, apparently the supposedly more safety conscious Anthropic ALSO don’t actually know what their models are doing most of the time www.anthropic.com/news/investi...
In 2032 the US will tell us they don't have any Virginias to spare and won't be giving us any, and then they'll generously offer to continue to base THEIR Virginias in Stirling and frame it as being for our protection 🙄 www.abc.net.au/news/2026-07...
Ah cool. So normally they just don't really know what their models are doing as a matter of general practice and it takes something unusual for them to actually read the logs. Seems fine.
I know we've all heard this before but I do actually feel like it's quite important to not normalise the President of the United States publicly announcing his intent to commit war crimes. This is not normal.
The one-two punch of "we're going to dismantle the International Criminal Court" and "we plan to commit war crimes"
US: 48 hours of massive firing US President: The ceasefire is over Media: The ceasefire is under strain
Good point here from Sam Roggeveen @lowyinstitute.bsky.social www.thesaturdaypaper.com.au/news/defence...
On 1-10 the scale of "reassurances which are not reassuring", this is about a 14
Australia should be thinking about this pretty hard. Easy to foresee that in any US-China war, the US would rapidly run down its stockpiles. We, if dependent on the same US manufacturers, would see our own orders kicked to the back of the queue at the exact moment we need them most. archive.is/BZj72
And if they can get their money into a few Sydney mansions before Tranche 2 FINALLY comes into effect July, which I'm sure they can, they're home and hosed because real estate agents here are currently not regulated under anti-money laundering laws www.theguardian.com/world/2026/a...
Three metres wide. 'Unliveable'. Over a million dollars. The real estate agent says it was a bargain. We are so cooked. www.smh.com.au/property/new...
Mostly India and China but there are a few others sprinkled in there
This is fascinating. I've never seen AIS details changed to message "don't hit us we're X country" on a scale like this before.
Timely. Are we talking about making sure our spending is effective and value for money? No, only about spending more to hit assorted arbitrary benchmarks. The metric has become the measure and it is fundamentally not a good way of measuring what we're (presumably) trying to achieve.
It gets better. We, the entire rest of the world which buys fuel shipped through the Strait, will get to pay money to the Iranian regime *in compensation* for the damage the US and Israel have done. Slow clap. 10/10 no notes. www.nytimes.com/2026/04/06/w...
Wait so the upshot of Trump's war is that Iran gets to continue running its toll-booth in the Strait (and now Oman does too)? And they get to go on selling their now-unsanctioned oil at wildly inflated prices? Dealmaker in Chief really knocked it out of the park on this one.
Anti-vax, erectile dysfunction and the Epoch Times all in one go, this is a whole new level of... something
Every damn time, it's genuinely wild this keeps working www.news.com.au/finance/mark...
The article really is every bit as openly arguing for ethnic cleansing as the tweet made it sound www.jpost.com/opinion/arti...
This is utterly unworkable at scale or for any sustained period of time. www.ft.com/content/bb6a...
I'm so curious whether he knows that his timeline is used to advertise cures for erectile dysfunction. I'm betting he has no idea, and I would pay money to be in the room when someone told him.
There are drones falling out of the sky and hitting (presumably) ground staff at Dubai Airport and they're not even stopping flights? WTF?
Similarly, we should think about the arm twisting which parts of the US administration are trying to do to the Gulf states to make them actively participate in a war which they didn’t start, don’t want and weren’t even warned about in advance.