EU Institute for Security Studies
@euiss
The EUISS is the EU’s foreign & security policy think tank. We provide critical analysis and insights to inform the EU’s strategic choices. 🌐 iss.europa.eu
(7/9) Gallium is just one example. China controls more than 70% of the production or refining of 17 of the EU's 34 critical raw materials, creating similar vulnerabilities across industrial and defence supply chains.
(6/9) But the story doesn't end with market dominance. Beijing is now turning that position into a geo-economic weapon: restricting exports, demanding sensitive information from buyers & using access to CRM to coerce or deter countries that challenge its core interests.
(5/9) Without gallium, there are no gallium arsenide wafers. Without those wafers, there are no wireless semiconductors. And without those semiconductors, there are no modern fighter jets, guided munitions, drones, energy grids or smartphones.
(1/9) How China became the world's near-exclusive supplier of gallium. 🧵
Happy national day France! We're proud to call Paris home. Did you know our flagship Chaillot Papers take their name from the Chaillot hill in Paris, where the Institute's original premises were located?
The #NATOSummit avoided a transatlantic crisis, but Europe's biggest challenge still lies ahead: how to transition away from US-led deterrence without creating dangerous capability gaps. Today, we're taking stock of the summit & what it means for European defence readiness.
Europe doesn't need new trade defence weapons to respond to China's export surge. It needs to use its existing powers more decisively to deter coercion, strengthen its negotiating position & restore competitiveness before it's too late, writes @ruehlig.bsky.social. www.iss.europa.eu/publications...
📢 Following NATO's Summit, Europeans need to move beyond capability development. Europe must replace the US 'backbone' in deterrence and turn political commitment into genuine European leadership in defence, argue @lscazzieri.bsky.social & @gspataf95.bsky.social. www.iss.europa.eu/publications...
🇨🇳 Europe must stop postponing the China debate. As Beijing increasingly uses trade, technology and critical raw materials as tools of power, reducing strategic dependencies is no longer just an economic imperative: it's a security one, writes @sbeverts.bsky.social. shorturl.at/Ss1mL
Defence budgets are up by 40%. But money alone won't deliver readiness. @lscazzieri.bsky.social analyses how to 'Europeanise' deterrence by: 💰 Investing in the right priorities, learning from Ukraine's experience 🔗 Creating effective coordination mechanisms 💪 Signalling resolve ➡️ shorturl.at/b19GB
📢 Europe has taken steps to strengthen its resilience, but efforts remain fragmented. Nad’a Kovalčíková & @gspataf95.bsky.social analyse how an EU resilience planning capability can strengthen civilian-military cooperation towards whole-of-society preparedness. www.iss.europa.eu/publications...
⚠️ Europe doesn't lack trade weapons. It lacks the will to use them. @ruehlig.bsky.social argues the EU doesn't need new trade defence instruments. It needs to close the structural gaps that weaken the effectiveness of its existing ones and undermine its deterrence. www.iss.europa.eu/publications...
🛡️ Civil preparedness and resilience are central to deterrence, yet Europe's efforts remain fragmented. Nad’a Kovalčíková & @gspataf95.bsky.social argue an EU resilience planning mechanism can improve threat assessment and guide coordinated capability development. www.iss.europa.eu/publications...
US commitment to NATO is once again under scrutiny ahead of #NATOSummit. Rather than waiting for Washington's plans, Europe should actively shape the transition towards greater responsibility for its own defence, argues @gspataf95.bsky.social. ➡️ shorturl.at/b19GB
For Europe, China is always important but never urgent. That must change. The EU needs to stop procrastinating & take actions to defend its interests against a power that increasingly weaponises trade, technology & interdependence, writes @sbeverts.bsky.social. ➡️ shorturl.at/Ss1mL
As Russia's threat grows & US engagement in European security becomes less certain, the challenge is clear: Europe must build-up its own deterrence. How? ➡️ Resources. Readiness. Resolve. @lscazzieri.bsky.social explains
We're recruiting a Senior Policy Analyst to work on hybrid threats! ⏰ Apply by Friday: shorturl.at/j1OTl
HRVP Kaja Kallas & Commissioners Kos & Brunner are in #Türkiye today. As Ankara expands its global influence, we examine how the country combines diverse diplomatic tools & targeted communication to advance its interests in key regions. ➡️ shorturl.at/quZif
China mines or refines 17 of the 34 materials classified as critical by the EU. Current diversification efforts aren't enough. Europe needs a coalition with the US, Japan & other partners to build viable supply chains outside China. @joristeer.bsky.social explains how: shorturl.at/Nears
(9/10) The 3rd dimension of deterrence is resolve. Does Moscow believe Europeans would defend one another in a crisis? Resolve is built through stronger forward deployments, more demanding exercises, resilience against hybrid threats & closer cooperation on nuclear deterrence.
(8/10) Readiness is also about resilience. Deterrence is not credible if Europe's critical infrastructure and societies cannot withstand attack. Securing critical infrastructure, protecting energy systems and preparing society for conflict are all part of defence.
(7/10) Readiness also means adapting to the transformation of warfare. Cheap drones & rapid innovation are changing the battlefield. Europe must learn from Ukraine and develop, produce & deploy "good enough" capabilities faster, rather than waiting years for perfect ones.
(6/10) A key element of readiness is being able to operate with less US support. That means closing major capability gaps, from air defence to intelligence, and strengthening military cooperation through joint procurement and greater operational integration.
(5/10) Readiness is the ability to turn those resources into military power.
(4/10) Resources are the material foundations of deterrence. 🪖 Military capabilities 🏭 Defence industry ⚡ Secure energy supplies 🔋 Critical raw materials 💻 Advanced technologies
(2/10) Europeans have made significant progress: Defence spending is up. Military production is increasing. New initiatives are multiplying. But much more remains to be done.
(1/10) Europe faces its most dangerous security environment in decades. Intelligence assessments suggest Russia may attack an EU Member State in the coming years. As US engagement in Europe becomes less certain, how can Europe strengthen deterrence? 🧵
Belarus is increasingly becoming part of a single military space with Russia, creating new risks for both the EU and Ukraine. @ditrych.bsky.social on how Europe should respond ➡️ shorturl.at/H3TjX
🗓️ Today at 11.00! Watch here: www.youtube.com/live/B1eaR9P...
Belarus is becoming a platform for Russian military power, coercion & intimidation against the EU. To address this growing threat, Europe needs a strategy combining pressure, conditional incentives & support for democratic forces, argues @ditrych.bsky.social. shorturl.at/H3TjX