GPT
@giantsprospects
Posts about the San Francisco Giants. Substack: Email: giantsprospectsgpt@gmail.com
I’m sure any team would love to have Devers on a 7/106M deal… My model pegs Devers value at 140-150M over the next 7 seasons. My read is Giants would need to eat 50M-60M in a pure salary dump deal, not 100M+. Carlson is worth ~10M, so big win for CHW here blogs.fangraphs.com/lets-make-so...
Good read. One nitpick, Hernandez played in the summer league (LMBP) in Venezuela, not winter (LVBP). Yet to make LVBP debut for Leones del Caracas Quality of talent in LMBP is a lot lower than LVBP. There are a few AAA/MLB guys in LMBP, but LVBP is majority them. www.nytimes.com/athletic/747...
Gonzalez has an average LA of -5° per FG article. That’s consistently pounding the ball into the ground. My preseason note touched on this swing path led ground ball issue, but didn’t have the data then. Looks like Giants haven’t yet unlocked that adjustment. blogs.fangraphs.com/2026-pre-tra...
What does this mean? Does Vitello mean a goal of getting to four runs? www.sfchronicle.com/sports/giant...
Susac has the ball here. Why is he standing there and he didn’t even bother attempting a tag?
Bloomberg: Federal prosecutors are investigating possible financial reporting issues at two insurers tied to billionaire Los Angeles Dodgers owner Mark Walter. news.bloomberglaw.com/insurance/bi...
Write-up on RHP Jackson Flora. Given some of the scary options reportedly under consideration, glad they went with him. His feel for manipulating breaking balls is the key trait, you can't really teach that. Now we’ll see what the dev staff can do with the fastball. 2-3 win SP as soon as early '28.
The DSL squads have lacked any super interesting players, but good to see Gallego assigned. Six figure bonus out of Mexico. Hope he gets in action soon. Had Castro pinned as a deep sleeper, good arm action, needs to get stronger.
Gómez pitch mix changed with MIN: Sinker: 23% -> 6% 4S: 37% -> 49% SL/SW: 19% -> 28% MIN streamlined things, and played the variance game with command. So won 20 good innings already and might have something in a prearb 26 year old who sits 95-96 with avg sweeper. www.nytimes.com/athletic/729...
A bit academic, but interesting read and reference. “The Theory of Modern Baseball” by Masaru Kanemoto.
Interesting article from Julian McWilliams, former Red Sox beat writer for the Boston Globe (6 years). www.cbssports.com/mlb/news/gia... The Devers parts are interesting. The Giants FO section not so much, a bit weak.
The Athletic has a piece about him today: www.nytimes.com/athletic/736... I think this applies to baseball too.
Giants Talk had a few minutes segment talking about why Miami has a better record than the Giants despite talent gap. Not mentioned, but a factor I think is the dugout calling pitches. From the offseason:
Huh, maybe they should call pitches from the dugout then? But hang on, the optics of that, the optics… Never mind.
Manfred: “Unfortunately, this year the Giants communication with players was inadequate and not clear.” MLB says Giants failed to clearly tell players they could opt out of Pride hats/unis. I’m skeptical, given multiple huddles, Hentges (and others) not wearing it, Walker was on team 23-25.
Is it normal to have so much mixing of media roles and the front office? Wotus works as studio analyst and also is in the dugout, advisor to Posey. Lopez does color commentary and also has a role as an advisor for Posey.
SS Josuar Gonzalez is back in action for ACL Giants. He has been out since 5/23 with a hamstring injury.
Vitello has entered bunker mode it looks like. Embarrassing stuff. www.sfchronicle.com/sports/giant...
From what I’ve heard, Posey has standard college grad milquetoast politics, so I doubt he would support the antics from last night, but yeah, they feel emboldened. From 04/25: www.sfchronicle.com/sports/giant...
Maybe in 2027 we can stop uncritically citing Savant’s avg bat speed. From the offseason:
Here is Valdez’s HR from yesterday, 96 mph EV, 360 ft. Looks like he has gotten a bit taller, lots of projection in that frame and age could allow him to get there. For me, the most interesting Giants position player in the DSL outside of Djean Macares
