Guy Yeomans

@guyyeomans

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Guy Yeomans@guyyeomans· 2d

Sunday afternoon. In the sun, next to the Moray Firth. Beer & starting my next holiday book, 'Preparing for War' by @olivierschmitt.bsky.social, whilst overlooking RAF Lossiemouth & P-8A's & an E7 Wedgetail. Perhaps a visual representation of the 'Strategy of Means'...

Photo showing a book on a table next to a pint of Guinness. The table is on a terrace which overlooks the Moray Golf Course & then further in the distance RAF Lossiemouth. Four maritime patrol aircraft can be seen on the tarmac.

Guy Yeomans@guyyeomans· 2d

Plot #2: facing North West & bearing 313 degrees. This is the direction to Reykjavik, crossing part of the Gap & a distance of approximately 760 miles... 5/6

Map showing the direction, bearing and distance from Lossiemouth, Scotland to Reykjavik, Iceland.

Photo of Lossiemouth West Beach. The photo shows a single landing approach light on a yellow pole, the beach and the sea, facing a bearing of 313 degrees.

Guy Yeomans@guyyeomans· 2d

Plot #1: facing North-East at 039 degrees. Direction to Zapadnaya Litsa in Murmansk Oblast, home base to the Northern Fleet's Yasen class SSBN submarines. Distance approximately 1,300 miles... 4/6

A map plotting direction, bearing and distance to Zapadnaya Litsa in Murmansk Oblast, Russia.

Photo showing Lossiemouth West Beach. Looking back towards the town from behind the set of final approach landing lights and facing in a north east direction, bearing approximately 039 degrees

Guy Yeomans@guyyeomans· 2d

As an attempt to visualise elements of this geography & its teleconnections, here's the establishing shot. On the West Beach at Lossiemouth sits a bank of final approach lights, 8 in the set. Standing at the mid-point behind the set, I tried to make two rough plots... 3/6

A photo taken at West Beach at Lossiemouth, showing the beach, sea and Cove sea Lighthouse in the distance. In the left of the image is a bank of 8 final approach lights for RAF Lossiemouth.

Guy Yeomans@guyyeomans· 2d

A further personal #GIUK-NGap klaxon. RAF Lossiemouth is a frontline base. From the RU perspective, it sits in the World Oceans, proximate to the Far Seas Zone & covering the Gap, the #atlanticbastion & the broader #highnorth. Kaushal & Black (RUSI, 2025) assert an RU... #thoiranaire 1/6

Map from Kaushal and Black's 'The Atlantic Bastion' paper (RUSI, 2025), showing a representation of the area and boundaries of the Atlantic Bastion concept.

Guy Yeomans@guyyeomans· 4d

And I don't want any of you QRA Typhoon fans to feel left out... #thoiranaire

A Typhoon on final approach to landing at RAF Lossiemouth, Scotland

A Typhoon on final approach to landing at RAF Lossiemouth, Scotland, showing Covesea Lighthouse

Guy Yeomans@guyyeomans· 4d

Yesterday evening, I watched several PA8-A's from the fleet come back into land after being out all day... 3/3

PA8-A Poseidon coming back into land at RAF Lossiemouth, over the Moray Firth

PA8-A Poseidon coming back into land at RAF Lossiemouth, over the Moray Firth with Covesea Lighthouse

PA8-A Poseidon coming back into land at RAF Lossiemouth over the golf course

Guy Yeomans@guyyeomans· 4d

Earlier, I watched ZP804 - Spirit of Reykjavik take off from runway 05/23... cc @puca.bsky.social... 2/3

PA8-A Poseidon ZP804 - Spirit of Reykjavik at stand prior to take off at RAF Lossiemouth

PA8-A Poseidon ZP804 - Spirit of Reykjavik taxiing at RAF Lossiemouth

PA8-A Poseidon ZP804 - Spirit of Reykjavik moments before commencing take off at RAF Lossiemouth

Guy Yeomans@guyyeomans· 4d

I am obliged to sound (a personal) #GIUK-NGap klaxon. I'm here at QRA-1 North: RAF Lossiemouth on the Moray Firth, Scotland. The homebase of the UK's P-8A Poseidon MRA1 fleet, the central airborne platform for maritime patrol capability in the Gap... #thoiranaire #atlanticbastion 1/3

Photo of three PA8-A Poseidon aircraft and one E-7A Wedgetail on the ground at RAF Lossiemouth, Scotland.

Guy Yeomans@guyyeomans· Jul 1

Image from journey: London, Fitzrovia, W1T 4JZ from the top of the BT Tower... #OnXII

Photo taken from the top of the BT Tower looking towards the City of London

Photo of the view from the BT Tower viewing floor looking out towards the City of London. At the top is a perspex display sign printed with the key buildings which can be identified at this position. The signs change as the floor rotates 360 degrees.

Photo of a certificate verifying a visit to the BT Tower, positioned on a table, with a small gold coloured metal paperweight in the shape of the BT Tower at the top right hand corner

Guy Yeomans@guyyeomans· Jun 9

I am obliged to sound the #GIUK-NGap klaxon... A perspective from @chathamhouse.org on the UK's DIP & the strategic choices it may reveal (or not)... #highnorth bsky.app/profile/chat...

Screenshot of a quote taken from an article published by Chatham House, published on June 8th 2026, and titled "Will the UK’s Defence Investment Plan finally be honest about Britain’s defence?". The quote references the Defence Industrial Plan, or DIP, and reads "If it’s honest, the DIP will finally have to make a choice between focusing on capabilities to defend the mainland UK and the Arctic and ‘High North’ or opt for a massive effort to reconstitute its ability to project force around the world – with all the associated costs."

Guy Yeomans@guyyeomans· Jun 4

Image from journey: Birmingham, Southside District, B5 4RX at 04.50hrs... #OnXII

Photo taken in Ladywell Walk in Birmingham, UK. Image shows the Mapstone building in the foreground, with the Radisson Blu hotel tower in the background.

Guy Yeomans@guyyeomans· May 25

UK: I haven't yet read the National Preparedness Commission / Smith-Bingham report cited, but this summary reflects the wider concerns I've heard over the last couple of months at a number of cross-industry events... #nationalresilience h/t @chkopp.bsky.social www.theguardian.com/politics/202...

Screenshot taken from an article titled "UK supply chain unprepared for major shocks such as war, report warns" published by The Guardian on Sunday 24th May 2026. The text extract reads "It comes nearly a year on from the publication of the government’s national security strategy, initiatives such as moves to prioritise British suppliers for contracts in sectors vital to national security, and calls by Keir Starmer for a “whole-of-society” approach to security and resilience.

But there are concerns that the issue has lost focus amid other political distractions, while the Commons defence committee reported last November that the “national conversation” sought by the prime minister had yet to start, with little public engagement and no clear central direction."

Guy Yeomans@guyyeomans· May 9

Norway: "What are the municipalities' responsibilities in a war & which areas must plan for evacuation? Perspective on the primacy of role: not just #warpreparedness & response, but they "must function & deliver their critical services..." #highnorthberedskapen www.forsvaretsforum.no/beredskap-ds...

Machine translated screenshot of part of an article titled "Forberedes på krig: – Hva blir vår rolle?" published by Forsvarets forum on 27th April 2026. The screenshot reads "The new guide will be completed in June 2026, and will be published together with the scenarios for the emergency preparedness exercise "Norway exercises". It is a national preparedness exercise for the municipalities, where they will practice what they do if Norway is hit by war this autumn."

Guy Yeomans@guyyeomans· May 9

Coffee, listening to North & Beyond radio & watching the morning maritime activity at #hammerfest: the Seapeak Meridian at anchor & for order, laying beyond Håja. While Kystvakt W324, Polarlys & Rowenta come into harbour... #highnorth

Screenshot of Hammerfest harbour, Norway. The ships Seapeak Meridian, Kystvakt W324 and Polarlys can be seen.

Guy Yeomans@guyyeomans· May 1

UK: excellent Resilience First members Spring Reception event last night in London. Some very interesting perspectives from speakers @elisabethbraw.bsky.social (on hybrid activities) & Roger Hargreaves (COBR Unit & central government resilience work)... #nationalresilience

Photo taken at the Resilience First Spring Reception held at the British Academy, London on Thursday 30th April 2026. Image shows keynote speaker Elisabeth Braw.

Guy Yeomans@guyyeomans· Apr 25

I am obliged to sound the #GIUK-NGap klaxon... #highnorth #atlanticbastion

Quote from an article titled 'Ready Or Not, We Fight' published by Minna Ålander on 24th April 2026. The text reads "The Nordic countries have hitherto prepared to hold the line until allied (i.e. American) reinforcements arrive. But now it looks increasingly evident that Europeans are on their own and no such reinforcements will arrive from North America, apart from whatever Canada can contribute."

Guy Yeomans@guyyeomans· Apr 20

Resilience & 'landscape shift': a call to reimagine, through new capabilities in experimentation, simulation & rehearsal... #crisismanagement #recoveryforesight

Screenshot of a text extract from an article titled 'Risk management must evolve to remain fit for purpose' published in the Financial Times on 29th April 2026. The extract reads "Greater emphasis must be placed on the ability of institutions to withstand extreme shocks, the robustness of their crisis management frameworks and the effectiveness of their contingency planning."

Guy Yeomans@guyyeomans· Apr 18

I am obliged to sound the #GIUK-NGap klaxon... #highnorth #atlanticbastion

Screenshot of text from an article titled 'Defence dithering is harming the UK' by Camilla Cavendish, published by the Financial Times on Saturday 18th April 2026. The text reads: "In the north Atlantic, the Greenland-Iceland-UK gap, patrolled by Iceland, Denmark, Norway and the UK, remains critical to protecting America’s eastern seaboard from Russian submarines."

Guy Yeomans@guyyeomans· Apr 15

UK: very interesting discussion yesterday at PwC's 'Connecting for continuity: Strengthening UK resilience' event in London. A sobering introduction from @lordtoby.bsky.social, some illuminating cross-government-sector perspectives & framing of a "Minimum Viable UK" approach... #nationalresilience

Screenshot of a webpage providing details of the 'Connecting for continuity: Strengthening UK resilience' event hosted by PwC in London on Tuesday 14th April 2026.

Guy Yeomans@guyyeomans· Apr 6

UK: delayed Defence Readiness Bill. Concerns were raised in January in the Defence Committee report 'UK contribution to European Security: Government Response'. It also observed "With the move to warfighting readiness, pace is a key consideration..." (p.17) #nationalresilience #warpreparedness

Screenshot of an extract from the House of Commons Defence Committee report titled "The UK contribution to European Security: Government Response" published in January 2026. The extract, taken from page 22, reads "We welcome the proposal of a Defence Readiness Bill. However, the Government has not yet determined what specific measures it wishes to include in the Bill, let alone written it. This should be agreed within Government and legislation published as soon as possible. (Recommendation, Paragraph 127)"

Guy Yeomans@guyyeomans· Mar 27

UK: 4th Report – The National Security Strategy published & I am obliged to sound the #GIUK-NGap klaxon... #highnorth #atlanticbastion publications.parliament.uk/pa/jt5901/jt...

Screenshot taken from the 4th Report – The National Security Strategy published by the National Security Strategy Joint Committee on 27th March 2026. The extract title is "Changing security dynamics in the Arctic and need for greater UK attention" and the text reads "It was stated that Russia has significant interests in the Arctic, despite
frailties that Operation Spiderweb exposed in the Russian ‘Bastion’. Despite its important status in polar science, the UK was seen by some experts as not sufficiently serious in considering its Arctic interests and assets when regional stability is under challenge. There were calls for greater UK focus on Norway, as well as awareness of future challenges to both Iceland and Greenland. Svalbard and the Greenland-Iceland-UK (GIUK) gap were flagged as possible flashpoints in future."

Guy Yeomans@guyyeomans· Mar 26

Happy JEF Summit Day to those who celebrate... #highnorth

Guy Yeomans@guyyeomans· Mar 25

An update @jsargentr.bsky.social, from the 19th. I thought the reflected green light from an adjacent building lent this a certain, but apt, oil-slick-like coating...

Photo of the side of the Lloyds Building in The City, London, England.

Guy Yeomans@guyyeomans· Mar 25

UK: very interesting launch of the Resilience Imperative in London yesterday. An independent, non-partisan awareness campaign to "alert the nation to the threat of the undeclared, hybrid war being waged against us"... #resilienceimperative #nationalresilience #warpreparedness

Photo taken at the launch event of the Resilience Imperative campaign in London on 24th March 2026. Photo shows rows of seated people in front of a presentation screen & a standing presenter. The presenter was Lady Olga Maitland.

Guy Yeomans@guyyeomans· Mar 22

My sense (which may be wrong) is this should fall under the National Security Council (Resilience) first, but then may still be fed through the Lead Government Department (LGD) model which the Government has retained as the basis for ownership of, & organising response to, civil contingencies (1/2)

Screenshot of an extract from a written answer to a UK Parliament question tabled on 11 July 2025 (UIN 67219). The answer was provided by Ms Abena Oppong-Asare (Labout) and the extract reads: "The UK Government Resilience Action Plan is underpinned by well-established Cabinet Office governance structures, including the National Security Council (Resilience), which oversee the implementation and delivery of resilience matters across UK government."

Guy Yeomans@guyyeomans· Mar 21

"Both figures face out to sea to emphasise that the waters dividing our islands are also the trade routes that unite...": As represented by the later day For & Voyage scultures - separated by 1534 Km - installed in Vik & Hull respectively...

Photo of the Voyage sculpture in Hull with The Deep aquarium in the background.

Guy Yeomans@guyyeomans· Mar 18

London: Lothbury, EC2R 7DB. Excellent Institute of Strategic Risk Management Chapter event in the City last night. Overlooking Wheeler's golden statue of Ariel (spirit of the air) atop the Bank of England in the foreground... #ISRM

Photo of the City of London taken from Lothbury / Prince's Street and showing Wheeler's golden statue of Ariel (spirit of the air) atop the Bank of England in the foreground

Guy Yeomans@guyyeomans· Mar 2

Sorry... #getmycoat

Guy Yeomans@guyyeomans· Mar 1

I know the article is about Finnish domestic consumption & household debt levels, but I'm going to fondly recall sitting in that Espresso House drinking coffee & watching the rain struggling to change to snow in front of Helsingin päärautatieasema in December 24... #OnXII