Jim Sannes
@jimsannes
Trading Analyst at FanDuel. Former writer & podcaster for numberFire & FanDuel Research. Six-time FSWA award winner. Northwestern graduate living in Lawrence, KS.
New house has carpet in only one place. Rosa is filing her official complaint of this decision.
My wife and I close on our first house tomorrow. Shoutout to Daniel Suarez and Mother Nature for chipping in on the down payment.
Full rooting interests for me tonight. If Jeremiyah Love goes 3, we celebrate. If Gennings Dunker goes R1, I eat Culver's for a week straight.
Food $200 Data $150 Rent $800 Connor Zilisch merch $3,600 Utility $150 someone who is good at the economy please help me budget this. my family is dying
As mentioned yesterday, Fernando Mendoza is the only QB invited to the combine above the 80th percentile. He's in the 94th. His profile is in line with that of past 1st overall picks.
The split is big for non-first-rounders, too. This looks at the 8 non-first-round QBs who have multiple top-10 seasons in Total EPA and compares them to the average Day 2/Day 3 pick.
The hit rate remains high for QBs in the 80th percentile, but bust rate increases the further you go down the rankings.
For first-rounders, you're more likely to hit if you're younger, more experienced, and more efficient. Here, a hit means you've been top 10 in Total EPA in one-third of your qualified seasons. A whiff means you've never ranked top 15 (min. 3 seasons post-draft).
And clearly, having a host with a Canadian/Minnesotan/Wisconsin accent helps your case
It's nice in betting when the "What should I improve?" question is easily answered. Here's my model's spread ROI by week since Week 1 of 2022. Overall ROI is 2.97%. Pretty sure those priors need fixin'!
Relevant workloads for RBs on the Week 12 @FanDuel NFL DFS main slate. Omitted Packers/Cardinals due to injuries, Patriots/Jaguars due to potential role changes.
Relevant workloads for RBs on the Week 11 FanDuel NFL DFS main slate. Assumed Bucky and and Pacheco were still out (though maybe not on Bucky?) and omitted Broncos due to Dobbins' likely absence.
Relevant workloads for RBs on the Week 10 FanDuel NFL DFS main slate. Lots of injury question marks, so multiple splits for Bucs, Patriots, Cardinals. Assumed James Cook and Aaron Jones as in, D'Andre Swift as out.
Workloads for relevant RBs on the Week 9 FanDuel NFL DFS main slate. Omitted the Panthers due to likely role changes plus the Chiefs and Giants due to injuries.
Glad the Saints gave the young buck a shot, but sometimes, you need the steadying hand of an older vet.
Relevant workloads for RBs on the Week 7 FanDuel DFS main slate. Assuming here Chuba Hubbard is out again this week. Adj Opp = carries + 2x targets RZ share = percentage of team carries or targets inside the red zone
NASCAR on between the late window and SNF so I can actually listen to Leigh Diffey?
Relevant samples for RBs on the Week 6 @FanDuel NFL DFS main slate. Omitted Chargers and Patriots due to injuries. Assumed Chuba Hubbard as out, Jaylen Warren as in.