Estimated voting intention movement to/from Reform, since the 2024 GE

Estimated voting intention moves to/from Labour since the 2024 GE

Estimated voting intention movement to/from Green party, since the 2024 GE

I wrote up my approach, and included some further refinement here: oskanberg.github.io/2026-voter-f... Here's another Sankey diagram for all you chart nerds. I prefer this one because it is less confounded by the lack of Ref 2024 candidates.

Frustrated with the election pundits talking as if votes only 'swing' from one party to another. I did some analysis of the results, and my modelling (based on votes only, not polls) suggests that the largest movement since 2024 local elections (by a long way) is from 'Did Not Vote' -> Reform

Berlin (same scale as central London)

Central London (smaller scale than previous examples). The answer seems to be 'parks and along the river'.

Brighton. Unsurprisingly, the seafront is popular!

Lewes. A lot of access east/west along the South Downs.

Where can I go to explore or exercise, away from roads? 🚗 I put together a quick tool to map areas of exercise (according to the Strava heatmap) that are not near a road. Here's an example of Winchester. (a few more in thread 🧵)

greater stitchwort