Post-Allergy Paul

@paulfish

Urbanist and Economist who likes Cats and Beta hats. Also writes mysteries for tabletop games. Site: pauljfisher.com Hot takes are my own and not employers. 🌩️👀 zQxLY643dPah

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Post-Allergy Paul@paulfish· 1d

Most aesthetic picture I’ve taken:

A photo of a ruined stone chimney standing in the fog filled woods.

Post-Allergy Paul@paulfish· 2d

@beryl-works.bsky.social @romancingthevote.com The auction teapot is great!

Little teapot with a ceramic cat on top in front of an orange cat.

Post-Allergy Paul@paulfish· 10d

Exactly, look at my boi:

Orange cat lying on bed facing the camera head first with outstretched paw.

Post-Allergy Paul@paulfish· 12d

Paul Cornell predicting Brexit in 2012

Book text reading: I sometimes think Hell would suit the British down to the ground, and that, given the chance, they'd vote for it. You'd better make sure they never get the chance, eh?"

Post-Allergy Paul@paulfish· 14d

Address: 5701 N Assembly St, Spokane, WA 99205 Yellow arrow is the likely direction of view with skatepark in the foreground.

Satellite photo of ball park with nw view marked with an arrow.

map of Spokane with sports complex marked.

Post-Allergy Paul@paulfish· 14d

This video is at 4225 W Indian Trail Rd; Spokane, Washington.

One of the buildings in google street view.

Post-Allergy Paul@paulfish· 15d

Here are a couple of examples. Each image took me ~3 hours while watching TV. The left maps use real roads and parks with the zoom in to the town of New Thrace being made of a rotated Tulare. Using GIS let me manipulate details to make a plausible fake place. 1/

A pair of maps. One shows southern California's major roads, parks and has some towns labled. The other is zoomed in on the street grid of one town with a number of locations marked.

Overhead view of a campsite with RVs, trailers, and a pickup truck drawn digitally.

Post-Allergy Paul@paulfish· Jul 6

I think this really captures the problems of prediction markets - that they generate a financial incentive to mess with stuff to make a quick buck. The more comprehensive these become, the worse the problem. Via @matt-levine.bsky.social

Regular financial markets sometimes create incentives to manipulate other financial markets. Any time the stock market goes up, you could have some theory about quant funds conspiring to inflate it or whatever, and of course people sometimes really do make trades in one financial market to influence prices in another. And remember what Keynes said. You can always question whether some financial-market price
"reflects reality" in a meaningful way.

What prediction markets have
accomplished is opening up all of reality, not just financial markets, to that sort of doubt. You can make money on Kalshi, now, not just by manipulating stock or Bitcoin or whatever markets, but by manipulating Spotify streams or temperature gauges or the words people say at press conferences or the location of a gorilla. The upshot is that now you can't be sure whose song was the most popular last month, or what the temperature is in Paris, or why a gorilla is wandering around your neighborhood.

Post-Allergy Paul@paulfish· Jul 5

Bru is named for the Brunels who invented underwater tunneling. Here is the first picture I took of him: Support @romancingthevote.com for more!

Post-Allergy Paul@paulfish· Jul 5

Keep buying them: www.32auctions.com/organization... Look at his little chubby cheeks!

Post-Allergy Paul@paulfish· Jul 5

It's all exciting today.

The parent post and 3 post celebrating Norway's latest World Cup goal.

Post-Allergy Paul@paulfish· Jul 5

I’ll give @despinakarras.com credit for getting the next Bru pic unlocked for @romancingthevote.com Bru did not like construction noises.

A startled looking cat under the covers with big cute eyes and airplane ears.

Post-Allergy Paul@paulfish· Jul 5

We have another bookmark out the door! @romancingthevote.com Bru is almost as excited as he is by morning sunbeams. If people buy the remaining 11, y’all will get 11 more cute pics of him. www.32auctions.com/organization...

An orange cat lying on his side looking up.

Post-Allergy Paul@paulfish· Jul 4

The answer is to cuddle: www.32auctions.com/organization...

An orange cat on a bed with a protective paw over a leg.

Post-Allergy Paul@paulfish· Jul 4

Even himbos have to go to the vet.

Post-Allergy Paul@paulfish· Jul 4

Sometimes cats can have meet cutes too: @romancingthevote.com

A middle aged woman crouching and staring down at an orange cat who is looking up at her. He will shortly lick her legs.

Post-Allergy Paul@paulfish· Jul 4

Time for the first pictures. Bru loves sleeping on top of stuff:

Orange cat curled up on top of a blue cat tree.

Orange cat staring down from a cat shelf.

Orange cat curled up in a cat bed on a couch.

Post-Allergy Paul@paulfish· Jul 3

Bru will do his part to sell stuff:

An orange cat with just his head and front paws up on a couch.

Post-Allergy Paul@paulfish· Jul 2

Unlikely is deliberate for this but more the typical east coast tendency to push black (and other non-white communities). To areas downwind of industry.