Sandbag
@sandbag-eu
We conduct data-driven and evidence-based advocacy to improve EU climate policy. 🌐
For our latest report, we modelled the impact of the CBAM for India and how the country might respond using our updated CBAM Simulator. We invite you to try it and analyse how your country or industry might be impacted by the CBAM. Try it here: sandbag.be/cbam-simulat... 🧵4/4
What makes our new CBAM Simulator 2.0 unique? ➕It simulates different responses of exporting countries, and potential scope extensions of the CBAM. 📊 Costs are given for each year from 2026 onwards, using the regulation’s methodology with CBAM benchmarks. 🧵3/4
What makes our new CBAM Simulator 2.0 unique? 🌏It estimates CBAM fees per country, sector, and even single products. 💶It estimates the net cost of the CBAM, after deducting revenues expected from higher EU market prices for CBAM goods. 🧵2/4
👩💻We updated our CBAM Simulator! Explore comprehensive trade impacts of the EU CBAM, e.g. how total net costs may become negative. Our simulator takes into account that EU selling prices may rise, allowing exporters to recover part of the additional carbon cost through higher revenues. 🧵1/4
🚨 New report: “The EU CBAM’s Real Impact on India” 👩💻 Based on our CBAM Simulator, we found thatwith optimisations by exporters and rising EU market prices, total CBAM costs may drop to only €79 million. ❗Additionally, India could even turn a profit. 👇Read our report: sandbag.be/2026/08/04/r...
📅Don’t forget to sign up for our upcoming #Webinar tomorrow, 4 August at 2pm CET! We will present our upcoming report on #CBAM and India and discuss it with an impressive panel. 🔗https://events.teams.microsoft.com/event/34046ba6-b951-4c3f-9c41-f79098dd1611@5ecf805f-e446-4719-873a-df45f899b8ce
📢 We’re #hiring a #Communications Assistant (internship) Do you like to create impactful messages through visual content? We are seeking a talented and creative intern to increase the impact of our policy messages. Join our team: sandbag.be/careers/
🔎What is the impact of reducing the LRF from 4.4% to 3.4%, as proposed by Peter Liese, MEP? 👩💻 With our updated EU ETS Simulator, you can find out! 👇 Explore our EU ETS simulator: sandbag.be/euets-simula...
🔎 What is the impact of the EU Commission’s proposal to stop the invalidation of emission allowances in the Market Stability Reserve after 2030? 👩💻 With our updated EU $ETS Simulator, you can find out! 👇 Explore our EU ETS Simulator: sandbag.be/euets-simula...
The European Commission’s proposed rules on the carbon price paid in third countries have real weaknesses. Read our consultation response to find out more: sandbag.be/2026/06/12/c...
🌐 We invite you to explore our latest website update! Our new page on our impact and our advocacy, you can find: 📖 our position papers and responses to policy developments 🏛️ an overview of how we have shaped policy developments. 👉 Explore the new page: sandbag.be/impact-and-a...
Our April newsletter is out now! We share insights from our latest CBAM position paper, technical briefs, and our work on the impact of the CBAM on Algerian and South-East Asian exports to the EU. We also outline our advocacy to strengthen the EU ETS. 👉Our newsletter: sandbag.be?mailpoet_rou...
💶🌍A strong, predictable carbon price under the EU ETS is essential. Weakening that certainty risks delaying modernisation and diverting clean investment elsewhere. Today we call on national leaders at the informal European Council meeting to recognise the importance of the EU ETS. 3/3
📬 Sandbag’s January newsletter is out! As CBAM enters its implementation phase, we cover: • Commission impact assessment citations • CBAM dialogues in Africa • Chemicals & CBAM expansion • Steel & circular economy updates 👉Read it here tinyurl.com/2r93x2dj 👉Subscribe sandbag.be/newsletter-s...
Sandbag analysis referenced internationally As CBAM enters its first phase, international media across the UK, Middle East, Asia and Australia are drawing on Sandbag’s analysis. The consistent assessment: CBAM supports EU decarbonisation, with limited early impacts on prices and the economy.
The European Commission’s CBAM Impact Assessment (17 Dec) shows that circumvention risks are now being taken seriously. The assessment explicitly recognises risks of avoidance, including via metal scrap—concerns Sandbag has consistently raised over the past year. 1/5
🇫🇷 France is calling for fertilisers to be exempted from the EU’s Carbon Border Adjustment Mechanism (CBAM). The French Prime Minister has published an open letter to farmers raising concerns about fertiliser costs. Our analysis shows this would be the wrong approach. 1/4
🧭 CBAM horizontal scope expansion — encouraging signs, but why the delay? The European Commission’s CBAM review sets out its approach to horizontal expansion, potentially covering chemicals, refinery products, pulp & paper, glass, ceramics and ferro-alloys. #CBAM #ClimatePolicy 1/4
🔎 Understanding CBAM: A Climate Tool, Not a Trade Barrier The EU’s Carbon Border Adjustment Mechanism (CBAM) continues to raise important questions. In a recent conversation with Energy Intelligence, Sandbag’s Adrien Assous clarified CBAM’s role—and how Sandbag’s new tool helps unpack it. 1/3
The CBAM Simulator shows: •CBAM fees, revenue gains from higher EU prices, and net costs • Costs as % of exports • Country-level impacts • Sector-level results • Product types like flat vs long steel This short video shows the tool in action. 👉 Explore the tool : sandbag.be/cbam-simulat...
📘 New report: “Economic and Political Incentives for Climate Action: Creating a Business Case for the Private Sector From CAPAfrica & KAS Sandbag is proud to have contributed a chapter on how the 🇪🇺 #CBAM affects African exports and how it could support climate-smart growth 🔍 Key insights: 1/3
📰 Sandbag’s CBAM analysis on US trade is making headlines. From the Financial Times to Euractiv Pro, BusinessGreen, Contexte, edie, Trade Finance Global and Carbon Pulse — top outlets are sharing our findings. 👉 Read the research note: sandbag.be/2025/09/24/c... #CBAM #EU #US #ClimatePolicy
Sandbag report covered by Les Echos. Industry could be “deprived of €35bn” by 2034. #CBAM will charge €11.3bn, but importers and Europeans alike will “reflect part of these costs in selling prices,” reducing the net impact to €5bn. 👉 Les Echos: tinyurl.com/t9dtttvh 📘 Report: tinyurl.com/yj9s4ja2
📰 Sandbag’s report as covered by Politico CBAM's net costs to companies "far, far lower" than the €11.3bn charged for certificates, as CBAM will "likely push up prices" for goods such as steel and aluminium. 👉 Politico: pro.politico.eu/news/203508 📘 Report: sandbag.be/2025/08/25/t... #CBAM
📊 CBAM in the Headlines Our report “The EU CBAM: A Two-Way Street to Climate Integrity?” featured in: FT👉 lnkd.in/e3fvffhg Politico👉 lnkd.in/e7p2BFth Les Échos👉 lnkd.in/ei-8XqBq Montel News👉 lnkd.in/eyMHuY8S Carbon Pulse👉 lnkd.in/ea7ddGrp 📑 Full report here 👉 sandbag.be/2025/08/25/t...
📢 The EU’s 2040 climate target relies on international credits & CDR in the ETS. These “flexibilities” could delay crucial domestic emission reductions. 🗓️ 9 July: Sandbag's webinar explores CDR’s potential impact on ETS. 👉 Register for the webinar: lnkd.in/ezYGjDMS #EUClimate #CarbonMarkets