Dan O'Hara
@skeuomorphology
UK PCR positivity map: No DMs. Signal: dan.9999 literary history | philosophy of tech | EXTREME METAPHORS: Interviews with JG Ballard | www.danohara.co.uk
In the UK, at an ordinary garden centre in case people steal a shrubbery, or attack a gardener Make it make sense
In Scotland it seems to be all along the west coast, with North Ayrshire the highest. Otherwise fairly low levels in Dundee and Edinburgh. 6/7
In the North, a dearth of reporting from Cumbria to Tyneside. Bury and York are both around 5%. The west looks to have a firmer upwards trend than the east. 5/7
Last week's hotspots Bedford and Herefordshire have stopped reporting but were still elevated when they did. Milton Keynes and Worcestershire are above 7%; West Northamptonshire approaching 6%. 4/7
In the South more generally there's a trend upwards in all reporting areas, though we're lacking Dorset, Devon, Kent. Swindon's result is on very sketchy reporting and I don't have high confidence in it. 3/7
We can see last week's spike in Camden, which has only just stopped reporting, in lots of London boroughs this week. Similarly we don't have a result from Medway, but we do have a spike in Southend. All of the areas in yellow are really worth checking. 2/7
The PCR positivity map is out, national positivity has held steady, and last week's hotspots seem to be spreading out. Areas that didn't report last week have reported this week, and vice versa. jamestindall.info/skeuomorphol... 1/7
In Scotland, there's a simple increase in areas reporting not-zero, indicating a wider spread. The highest is in the Shetlands, with Moray, Aberdeen, Angus, Edinburgh and East Lothian, and Ayrshire & Lanarkshire all reporting cases. 5/6
The same in the North: a clear band of non-reporting all across the country, but spikes in Blackpool and the Wirral, Bury and Salford, Rotherham and Barnsley. There may be lower prevalence further north. 4/6
In the Midlands, well, we could do with some reporting. Only Herefordshire and Bedford are showing a clear signal, though most areas that are reporting are rising. 3/6
In the South, Medway is the outlier, but one can see spikes in multiple areas all along the Thames and scattered throughout London. I'll remind you how to check the 0% yellow areas at the end of the thread. 2/6
The PCR positivity map is out, and positivity has bounced back up from 0.6 to 1%. Adjusted for non-reporting, we make that 3.97% in England; there are clear hotspots. jamestindall.info/skeuomorphol... 1/6
By the way, in British English 'slops' are the spilled-over beer, the undrinkable waste They gets collected in buckets and fed to the pigs This pub's slop AI messaging is saying an awful lot - more than intended, I reckon
But wait, there's more I have no idea what that crest is playing at between the lion and the sadly under-endowed unicorn and the Palace of Westminster has got itself in a right old muddle
The boar is wearing a crown And yes, those *are* slopified faux stained glass windows screaming soullessness from between the mullions and the stone grotesques
This looks like a charming old English pub on a narrow, winding street Wait, what's that banner And that sign
You can check this year's survey results here, at national, ICS, PCN, or even individual GP practice level: gp-patient.co.uk/latest-surve... 7/7
It's been a good year for covid levels, and I'd have expected a decrease in people reporting LC. But it's also a sign of the erosion of LC services, lack of access to diagnosis, and stigma. Look at the steadily increasing percentage of "I'd prefer not to say" responses. 6/7
Despite all the press & gov brou-ha-ha about disability benefits, there's no sign of a rapidly-building mental health crisis. Do remember this when the next story about 'spiralling anxiety' comes out. 5/7
Here's this year's overview of all long-term illnesses. People can be uncertain when answering, or reluctant to disclose, so the way to look at this slide is to look at the people who say "No": it indicates a continuing decrease in good health. 3/7
This year's NHS GP-Patient Survey is now out. It's a massive survey (650,000 responses this year) that gives us a snapshot of key health trends. 1/7
Much of Scotland is reporting genuine zero levels, but there are patches: Dundee, Edinburgh, West Dunbartonshire, East Ayrshire, Renfrewshire. Midlothian is highest on 2.9%. 4/5
In the North York, Redcar, Rotherham, Cumbria all have rising levels. Bury's the highest on 4.35%. There's a greater amount of zero reporting across the North and the Midlands; I'll remind you how to check these areas at the end. 3/5
Of note in the South: Cornwall and Devon are predictably showing an increase, as is Brighton, London, Oxford - all the tourist & holiday spots. West Berkshire is highest on 5.26%. 2/5
The PCR positivity map is out and there's been reassuringly little change since last week. NHS stats show covid beds have bounced back up again from their low of mid-June, but only to the level we saw earlier in the year. jamestindall.info/skeuomorphol... 1/5
And in Scotland there are cases only in Angus, Aberdeen, Midlothian, and North Lanarkshire. 4/5
In the north, there's more missing reporting, but Hartlepool and Stockton-on-Tees stand out. There's clearly some activity across Lancashire and West Yorkshire, but difficult to say how much. 3/5
In the south, Medway has a definite outbreak, as do Luton, Camden & Barnet, Hertfordshire. As most of their neighbouring areas are reporting 0%, they need checking individually - see the link at the end of the thread. 2/5
The PCR positivity map is out and there seems to be slightly more reporting this week, most of it reactive and from areas that have not been reporting for a while but which have small recent outbreaks. National surveillance signals are mixed. jamestindall.info/skeuomorphol... 1/5
One point I may as well add, even though we don't have very up-to-date sequencing: BA.3.2 seems to have lasted 6 months in dominance before ceding to XFG/XFJ again. These older variants have more catholic tastes in who they prefer to infect.