Scott Supak
@supak
“We are living in an interminable succession of absurdities imposed by the myopic logic of short-term thinking.” Jacques-Yves Cousteau Retired stage technician turned professional predictor of politics and climate on this pyretic planet. Supak.com
A lot of that extent was pretty thin mush, too. The market @kalshiofficial.bsky.social will settle at the daily high which was 14.358 on 3/13. Rapid switch to super Nino will likely not be good for the minimum this fall.
Going to break my never-quote-the-motherfucker rule here to say, wtf? He thinks white people invented rock and roll???
You can see how much black carbon from these fires winds up in the arctic (and eventually lands on the sea ice, which causes it to melt faster): aerosol-alerts.atmosphere.copernicus.eu?lat=68.06146...
Way ahead of you (and Kalshi is legal)! I got in at 40c. kalshi.com/markets/kxre...
Imagine how much it costs to pay people answering the phone when Rasmussen calls.
Decades of betting on bad things happening has numbed me to the guilt. For hurricanes and tornadoes, I donate to charities to help those affected, but I'm not sure who to donate to in this case... maybe a vaccine advocacy group?
lol, Gal acting like what Americans think matters to Donald Fucking Trump or the GOP
The Kalshi prediction market for 2025 measles cases is here: kalshi.com/markets/kxme...
The Kalshi measles market is now predicting over 2000 cases for this year. Here's a good article from @sciam.bsky.social on how even small drops in vaccination rates can mean big numbers of cases. www.scientificamerican.com/article/see-...
Either it's time for Kalshi to open the hurricane markets, or the President got a new set of colored markers.
The trick, of course, is to get some facts thru the cloud of ignorance they willfully surround themselves with.