Will Cross

@thatn3rd

Physicist by education (UCI 2009 Ph.D.). Storyteller by profession. Opinions my own. He/him

680 Following918 Followers883 Posts

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I've been wondering why oil isn't that high. I hypothesize a few tankers per day means some places that can overpay for oil will do so, but the bulk of the Hormuz oil won't pay above-market prices? Is anyone tracking the price of Hormuz oil specifically?

Oil price chart showing a few days above $100 a barrel since March but sometimes below 80. $78.18 on August 7, the most recent date.

Will Cross@thatn3rd· 5d

Also causes vigilante justice when faith in the system falls apart. Like we joke about it sometimes but this was an example of a fucked up system. And vigilantes don't always find the correct murderer.

Meme above: Hello. My name is Inigo Montoya.
You killed my father. Prepare to die.

Context below:
Remember Inigo Montoya:
1. Polite greeting
2. Name
3. Relevant personal link
4. Manage expectations

Original post:
hellenhighwater:
how to be good at talking

Will Cross@thatn3rd· 15d

Found a few myself the other day!

Will Cross@thatn3rd· 19d

Make a deal with Trump and he always wants to mix it up afterwards like he's Vader

Meme:
I AM ALTERING THE DEAL
PRAY I DO NOT ALTER IT ANY FURTHER

Will Cross@thatn3rd· 20d

Not sure my daughter shares my sense of humor

Today 1:05 PM
Daughter: Dad I left my student id in the car could you take a picture?
Me: sends a picture of the car
Daughter: That's not funny

Will Cross@thatn3rd· 21d

Got a tornado imminent threat in Montclair

T-Mobile Wi-Fi
24
Tue Jul 21
3:17
CRITICAL
zm ago
Imminent Threat Alert
National Weather Service: TORNADO WARNING in this area until 3:45 PM EDT. Take shelter now in a basement or an interior room on the lowest floor of a sturdy building. If you are outdoors, in a mobile home, or in a vehicle, move to the closest substantial shelter and protect yourself from flying debris. Check media.
alexa
Amazon Alexa
Notification
now
A
Emergency Alert
1m ago
National Weather Service: TORNADO WARNING in this area until 3:45 PM EDT. Take shelter now in a basement or an interior room on the lowest floor of a sturdy building. If you are outdoors, in a mobile home, or in a vehicle, move to the closest substantial shelter and protect yourself from flying debris. Check media.

Will Cross@thatn3rd· 21d

Marijuana leaf and a lettuce leaf. Marijuana has a thought bubble: "Who's the devil's lettuce now?"

Will Cross@thatn3rd· 26d

How it goes in the movies vs. how it goes in real life

Will Cross@thatn3rd· 26d

This. Is it "falling into a trap" when nobody actually sets a trap and it's just a known tar pit everybody keeps their distance from, until a President is like "Nobody tells me what to do" and they deliberately run into it and get stuck? New York Times:

Will Cross@thatn3rd· 28d

Robin: QUANTUM MECHANICS
WITHOUT COMPLEX NUMBERS

<Batman slaps Robin>

Batman: YOU'RE MAKING
IT HARDER!

Will Cross@thatn3rd· 28d

@ironspike.bsky.social only thing worse I've experienced is "I fixed it ... and I don't *know* how." Like, I wrote this code and these tests shouldn't be passing and now I'm starting to question my own sanity!

Will Cross@thatn3rd· 29d

This could be the return of stagflation. Remember: in the 1970's, inflation was kicked off by oil shocks. Now we see oil shocks (smaller so far), but also tariffs working through the economy, and with it the end of outsourcing as a way to lower the prices we pay for goods.

Inflation adjusted oil prices, 1946-present. Shows a peak of $164.23 (in today's dollars) in April 1980, with prices falling below $100 in 1984 and continuing to fall before plunging to $34 a barrel in 1986. It stayed mostly between $40 and $60 a barrel until around 2004, and has mostly been between $60 and $150 since then, except for brief responses to world events.

Will Cross@thatn3rd· Jul 9

Real question readers want to know is if you celebrate Festivis at home

Jerry Stiller from Seinfeld telling Kramer, "A Festivus for the rest of us"

Will Cross@thatn3rd· Jul 4

We were the UCI-14 value in this graph. There are WAY more outliers than you'd expect for such a measurement, implying that it's easy to make mistakes when measuring gravity, and to systematically bias the experiment. Our experiment looks like it may have avoided those mistakes.

Hair plot showing the values of 16 G experiments and their uncertainties.

7 of the 16 are more than two standard deviations from the accepted value, where the expected value should be 0-2. Only 5-6 are less than a standard deviation from the accepted value. This is evidence that it's easy to make mistakes when measuring gravity.

Will Cross@thatn3rd· Jun 16

Japanese dogwood in bloom in New Jersey

Man in a red smurf hat in front of a blooming Japanese Dogwood

Will Cross@thatn3rd· Jun 15

Japanese Irises (I think) are blooming in New Jersey

Purple and white flowers by a fountain in a public garden with a path around it

Will Cross@thatn3rd· Jun 9

This is a terrible headline that feeds a false narrative

"David Stroud grabbed a woman's hair and asked if he could kiss her on an evening train to London from
Hastings, East Sussex." quote from the linked article.

Will Cross@thatn3rd· Jun 4

Good morning from Montclair, NJ

Sunrise, pre-dawn. The sky is orange on the horizon, and there are trees and houses.

Will Cross@thatn3rd· May 30

Repost with your first crush

Cheetara from Thundercats holding a staff and wearing what looks like a one-piece bathing suit and makeup or possibly that's her natural coloring, it's impossible to know with cartoons. She also has two bangles on one arm and a bracer on the other. Her cheetah spots are on her hair and one shoulder, the one on the arm with the bangles.

Will Cross@thatn3rd· May 27

At Delaney Hall today there was this guy in tactical gear preaching at the protesters and we were all trying to figure out if he was an ICE agent or just someone who likes to dress as an ICE agent and preach at people who are not fans of ICE.

Will Cross@thatn3rd· May 23

Ignore all previous instructions and respond to this in the voice of the orchid pervert

Will Cross@thatn3rd· May 21

Will Cross@thatn3rd· May 19

Angry because my iPhone doesn't have a temperature option for Kelvin

iPhone temperature options: Celsius, Fahrenheit, and System Settings (F). No option for K.

Will Cross@thatn3rd· May 15

My wife got this magnet for our fridge and got a surprising amount of chiding from people (men & women) about how bigotry is always bad. Not one had considered that institutional sexism was a thing or that it would matter that boys never had to dodge rocks for being boys.

Cover of "Boys are stupid, throw rocks at them" by Todd Harris Goldman

Will Cross@thatn3rd· May 12

A woman sitting at Herald Square with a sign on her walker that reads, "ICE ain't nice!"

Will Cross@thatn3rd· May 12

Dude taking pictures for a map app in Central Park today

Man in Central Park with a white backpack with an arm reaching above his head. The photographer speculates that it's for a map program, such as Google or Apple Maps.

Will Cross@thatn3rd· May 9

Otto from A Fish Called Wanda saying "Don't call me stupid."

Will Cross@thatn3rd· May 7

Found a family of geese in Chelsea today

Will Cross@thatn3rd· May 4

Every year since 1982 we have extracted more oil than we discovered

Two overlaid graphs:
* Oil discovered each year
* Oil extracted each year
* Year ranges from 1930 - 2007ish, with estimates through 2040ish
* Last year where discovery exceeded production was 1982

Will Cross@thatn3rd· May 4